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WeatherMonger
Rank: F5 Superstorm
44 years old
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Springfield, IL
Born Aug-17-1974
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Last Seen: 12th August 2018 - 08:02 PM
Local Time: Aug 17 2018, 05:58 AM
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WeatherMonger

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18 Jul 2018
Might as well get an OBS/FC thread going. Not offline yet.


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14 Jul 2018
I have seen no mention of it, nothing being said by anyone as to what or why.

Looks like all the moderators have been removed of their roles.


Was the site sold to another? What is the current status of the forum and should we expect further changes as well?


Care to update your members and supporters on the recent changes?

Not afraid to ask and couldn't find anything relevant. This seems to be the most active forum of the site.

Thanks
24 May 2018
Local forecast has 10 straight days of temps in the 90's May is bringing June in with a vengeance. If any regions need removed let me know, just did a general regional thread as to not clog up severe threads with temps.

Luckily have a 4 day weekend starting tomorrow.
7 Apr 2018
SPC mentioning the possibility/probability of severe weather during this time period. Delineation possible in subsequent outlooks. Will add regions if/when necessary.

QUOTE
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0332 AM CDT Sat Apr 07 2018

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Through the middle of the upcoming week, persistent northwesterly
flow aloft over the central US will generally maintain broad surface
high pressure east of the Rockies, precluding substantive inland
destabilization. A few storms may develop across northern Florida on
D4/Tuesday, but unimpressive lapse rates and modest low/mid-level
wind fields should preclude widespread organized severe weather.

By mid-week, a western US ridge is forecast to flatten, and
increasing westerly flow across the Rockies will yield a deepening
lee trough. The resultant surface pressure gradient will enhance
return flow across the southern/central Plains during the latter
half of the week. Meanwhile, medium-range guidance indicates an
energetic trough and strong west/southwesterly mid-level jet maximum
will approach the Plains late D6/Thu into D7/Fri. As it does so,
strengthening southwesterly flow is forecast to spread steepening
mid-level lapse rates across much of the region.

While severe weather seems possible, if not probable, to occur
across parts of the Plains/Mississippi Valley by D7/Fri,
considerable spatial uncertainty remains, owing to several factors:

1) Notable timing/amplitude differences amongst model guidance with
regards to the main trough and associated closed cyclone that is
forecast to develop over the north-central US.
2) The potential for a relatively narrow warm/moist sector ahead of
a dry line -- the placement of which is difficult to determine at
this forecast range due to the timing/amplitude differences noted
above.
3) The possibility that only modest moisture return renders
convective inhibition too great for more organized open warm sector
development, reducing the areal coverage of potential severe
weather.

Considering these concerns, predictability too low is maintained for
D6/Thu-D8/Sat. Nonetheless, severe probabilities may be introduced
in upcoming forecast cycles.

..Picca.. 04/07/2018
4 Dec 2017
Figured why not

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QUOTE
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0137 PM CST Mon Dec 04 2017

Valid 042000Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THROUGH MISSOURI...EASTERN IOWA...NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHWESTERN WISCONSIN...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
SURROUNDING AREAS OF THE PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU INTO THE UPPER
MIDWEST...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are expected across eastern
Oklahoma and the Ark-La-Tex region, northward across Missouri into
portions of the Upper Midwest, late this afternoon into tonight.

...20Z Outlook Update...
Severe weather categorical and probabilistic areas have been
expanded westward some to account for the current frontal position,
and some lingering uncertainty concerning exact timing of storm
initiation late this afternoon. The axis of strongest pre-frontal
surface heating currently extends northward near/east of
Bartlesville, OK through the Chillicothe, MO area, and seems likely
to provide the focus for strongest storm development through early
evening. Modest boundary layer destabilization is also ongoing
within a narrow pre-frontal corridor as far north as the deepening
surface low center, now near Minneapolis, and severe categorical/
probabilistic lines have been expanded northward through the Upper
Midwest to account for this.

..Kerr.. 12/04/2017
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