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If you're not enjoying life as much as I am, it's not my fault!
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Rank: F5 Superstorm
57 years old
Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Born May-22-1960
On Fb as the WxWiinii
Joined: 12-February 10
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Local Time: Mar 24 2018, 04:12 AM
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My Content
22 Mar 2018
I say we need an "Onion Snow" before the "winter" season can truly end. I offer that this one is "it".


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12z MREF 3/22/18

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Obvious points - such storms do not favor most of MidAtl (for wintery side) unless time of day/event is just right. ATTM I think a MAX, if stars align, accum COULD be 6" atop the tulips somewhere. Such events have strong temp contrast and can spark random rumbles of thundersnow, which can be intense for brief periods. Other than that, rain or mix for many.

But this should favor MidAtl, by geographic consideration - IOW, the storm does hit from NC and North, but again, has a limited "white" side to it.

The GFS Op map seems to want to make more of it. I'm not buying just yet.

Looooooonnnnngggg way to go.
18 Mar 2018
Well, everyone is talking about it already - but using the Spring Awakening storm thread to do so. So, I figured I'd give those posts a place to land
GFS slides along Mason Dixon
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Euro takes I-76 from OH to NJ
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WPC lays out the front to suggest that either is possible, with most probable being a slightly south of Mason Dixon sidle

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On the OFM side of the ledger, we have the EAR

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(this post will be built upon as time allows)
15 Mar 2018
Figured we'd need a place for posters to give their obsx eventually.

Our little "inland diver" system. ( Yes, I know NE is not in this one and it's MA only, but rules are rules)

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17 Feb 2018
Here we go again, looking down the road and seeing signal favorable to more winter woes

This time around, (note: this post was edited by the author to remove erroneous content)

We will need enough cold - check

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Some support from OFM would be nice - check

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Blend in some traditional stuff like spaghetti, for example

Looking blockish

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What about Op runs??

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CFS version

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I do believe we have to "step back" before we can March 4th - howze bout yuze?
9 Feb 2018
Well, since the prior thread was originally for 2/15-16 and not these dates. AND since this is a very historical date range for winter storms in the East, I figured I'd better open a thread for it.

I'm nearly tempted to open a Daytona 500/ P Day thread (first time both have been on same day, since 2011) based solely on that "JD-ism" and some features I've been watching within the ensembles. With a split flow at present, it will be tough for models to get this or the Daytona500 time pd correct.

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OFM via a JD'ism - warm in winter, watch what follows. wink.gif wink.gif

Let's see if we can get this to turn left at all ( like a race car driver might) smile.gif

Daytona 500 on P'day weekend - 15 years anniversary. https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news...-blizzard/45874
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