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If you're not enjoying life as much as I am, it's not my fault!
Personal Info
Rank: F5 Superstorm
57 years old
Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Born May-22-1960
On Fb as the WxWiinii
Joined: 12-February 10
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Last Seen: Today, 07:17 AM
Local Time: Jul 23 2017, 08:34 AM
27,169 posts (10 per day)
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My Content
18 Jul 2017
Interesting battle zone situation unfolding in the region. Delineated by the Mason Dixon boundary, some areas down in VA/MD/DE could see century mark values for highs and the overnight lows appear to remain above average as well. Up into PA/NJ, there is lesser heat but still meet criteria of a HW

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So, what about New England? Appear to be spared, for the most part - though could be humid still in the lower NE regions.

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The spine of the Apps, at the lower end of the MidAtl - now, that's some sizzle right there.
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6 Jun 2017
I guess we don't talk about coastal storms that travel inside the 40/70 benchmark, unless they can deliver snow. sad.gif

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Of course, good ol (sometimes progressive) GFS does not agree

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Euro seems to favor the GFS version - but hooks it back in (?)

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NAVGEM corollary, anyone?

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CTPAFD barely mentions anything - must be ignoring the UKIE, I suppose.
30 May 2017
I'm not too impressed with the set up, nor the dynamics - but I guess it's possible. (*shrugs*)

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
409 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-
Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
409 AM EDT Tue May 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater and large
hail exceeding 1 inch in diameter are possible between noon and 6 pm
today. An isolated weak, short-lived tornado is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Isolated severe thunderstorms with strong winds and hail are
possible Wednesday afternoon.


Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.
15 May 2017
Looks like we have a one week window of warmth for the region. Still a touch below average today, but tomorrow through Thursday go HOT, calming back a bit for the weekend before the cooler (than average) temps make a run at us near 5-22/23.

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Model spread and resulting forecast uncertainty ramps up
Fri-Sun, revolving around timing and southern reach of a back
door cold front.

Frontal passage Friday, followed by a return of warm front late
in the weekend
ahead of a surface low tracking west of PA.
2 May 2017
With the passing of last night's storms, the region (esp. the MidAtl) will fall into an extended period of below seasonal average - outright chilly and at times cold. This probably lasts to near mid-month as indicated by the BSR and CPC guidance (not to mention the LR GFS).

I don't have time to post images, but figured I might as well start thread (but come on now, I can't start them ALL - or can I? laugh.gif )

Of course, we have the late week system to get to first, so I'll use that as the start date.

FXUS61 KCTP 021520

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1120 AM EDT Tue May 2 2017

The cold front that produced Monday`s line of strong to severe
thunderstorms was nearing the New Jersey coast this morning. A
secondary cold front at the surface and aloft will push east
across Central Pennsylvania today bringing some additional
showers across the northern and western mountains. Quite strong
and gusty west to southwest winds will develop for this
afternoon. Fair weather will occur Wednesday through much of
Thursday morning as an area of high pressure builds in from the
western lakes and becomes centered right over the state
Wednesday night. The next, moisture laden storm system will be
the result of a rapidly amplifying upper trough and deepening
surface low that will evolve into an anomalously strong and
nearly stationary upper low that will meander across the
Northeast U.S. over the upcoming weekend and through the first
half of next week.
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