Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

294 Pages V   1 2 3 > » 

sw03181
Posted on: Feb 8 2017, 07:34 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


I had to do a double-take on that RPM image. It looked like it was from an old storm.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2192574 · Replies: · Views: 198,145

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 25 2015, 01:18 AM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


0z Euro is 24-30" for all of CT, lolls to 35" in the Western and Eastern Hills.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1954350 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 25 2015, 12:16 AM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


QUOTE(ctdryslot @ Jan 25 2015, 12:03 AM) *
Hoping that someone is me - never hit 30 in my life. Amazing to see so many models painting out 15 to 24 inches across CT within a couple days of start time. Hoping it all holds. Storms like this make me feel like a kid again. Hope everyone makes out well....

There's likely to be an area of subsistance somewhere in the state. Some models have it just west of BDL and down western Hartford County, others have it near the MA border in Tolland County. Suffice to say there's going to be a shaft zone in our area from being in between the CCB and the main convection area.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1954243 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 10:04 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


I think something's off with the regular 0z NAM. 4K was much further west.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953924 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 07:00 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


LOL Channel 3 doesn't have a clue. Even TWC is more bullish than them.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953493 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 05:15 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


GFS has near CAT1 force winds for the Cape and the Twin Forks. Yikes.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953319 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 05:04 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


IF this storn is really "the big one" then after 0z tonight you won't see much wobble in track.

This has the chance to be my generation's '78.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953286 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 04:03 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


BOX sounds like they don't have a clue.

QUOTE
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* DRY AND SEASONABLE SUNDAY
* WINTER STORM "MAY" BE BACK ON THE TABLE LATE MON/TUE - LOW
CONFIDENCE
* VERY COLD MON-WED WITH MODERATING TEMPS THU/FRI

DETAILS...

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...

VERY LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST. A FEW OF THE GFS ENSEMBLES AND
PARTICULARLY THE 00Z OPERATIONAL ECMWF ARE NOW STRONGER WITH THE
SHORTWAVE ENERGY DROPPING INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. THIS ALLOWS
FOR A MORE AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN...WHICH CAPTURES LOW
PRESSURE ALLOWING A TRACK CLOSER TO THE COAST. FOR WHAT ITS
WORTH...THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWS A MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND WITH HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. KEEP IN MIND THIS IS JUST
ONE OPERATIONAL MODEL RUN AND THE FIRST TO SHOW IT. MUCH OF THE 00Z
GUIDANCE IS STILL WAY SOUTHEAST AND PRETTY MUCH A MISS FOR MOST OF
THE REGION. WILL NEED TO SEE IF THIS WAS JUST A HICCUP OR IF THE
ECMWF AND A FEW OF THE GEFS ARE ONTO SOMETHING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REGARDLESS IF WE GET A WINTER STORM OR NOT...OCEAN EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS WILL LIKELY AFFECT SOUTHEAST MA/CAPE ISLANDS WITH VERY COLD
NORTHEAST WINDS BLOWING OVER THE OCEAN. IT WILL ALSO BE QUITE COLD
MON AND ESPECIALLY TUE...WHEN HIGHS MAY REMAIN IN THE TEENS FOR MUCH
OF THE REGION.


http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...p;highlight=off
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953148 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 03:53 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


I can say with every shread of confidence that that is NOT the final NAM solution. I wouldn't get too hung up on QPF in E MA/RI either, with big stroms like this the heaviest axis changes every model cycle.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953109 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 03:43 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


IMO the NAM is suffering from convective feedback issues more than the EURO is.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1953062 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 24 2015, 10:03 AM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


The 12z NAM had is essentially 1' + from I87 east with 18-24 running from I91 east. Parts of the ORH hills and the Cape get over 30".
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1952369 · Replies: · Views: 530,683

sw03181
Posted on: Jan 21 2015, 03:17 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


HPC has an exact BM track.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1949226 · Replies: · Views: 341,209

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 25 2014, 11:08 AM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


Final call:

1-4, PHL, NYC (immediate 5 boroughs only, highest in northern Bronx, northern Queens), W LI up to Nassau County (highest on north shores), most of NJ, and GON
4-8, Immediate NYC burbs not on LI, HPN, BDR, HVN, north to I84 and west to the GSP. BOS as well.
8-12 NW NJ, NEPA, and anyone along and NW of I84. Weak potential for 12-15 somewhere in this area.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1919802 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 24 2014, 07:01 AM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Nov 24 2014, 06:56 AM) *
All 8 counties in CT have a Winter Storm Watch up. NWS Albany has 10-14" for Litchfield County (NW)

Here's for Hartford County.

Bet you 10 bucks they downgrade me to an advisory. Less than half the county has 6" or more on their snow map because of valley shadowing.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918780 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:53 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


UKMETs an all-out paste bomb just N&W of the city. Like maybe 12"+.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918680 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:46 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


I disagree with Anthony, I think the UKmet is on the BM or slightly west of it. But it certainly doesn't hug the coast.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918673 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:37 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html
QUOTE(IronWill @ Nov 23 2014, 11:36 PM) *
Link to CMC?

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918664 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:34 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


Canadian is all snow for NYC. Impressive.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918658 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:22 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


Canadian will be just east of the BM.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918644 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:16 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


Canadian is coming west some.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918640 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 23 2014, 11:03 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


Watches will need to be up for NYC N&W by 0z tomorrow. This storm is likely going to have major travel impacts.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1918629 · Replies: · Views: 382,077

sw03181
Posted on: Nov 1 2014, 03:19 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


This is the region's best shot at flakes given that the 6-8th event will likely be a lakes cutter.

Canadian is also on board for this.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1912448 · Replies: · Views: 20,162

sw03181
Posted on: Oct 28 2014, 10:00 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


rolleyes.gif I think the NAM thinks its January. 0C 850s to the deep south.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1911532 · Replies: · Views: 109,677

sw03181
Posted on: Oct 28 2014, 04:56 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Oct 28 2014, 05:50 PM) *
Accugraphics and story (Bernie video on there)

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news...n-stor/36303863
[attachment=240522:snow1.jpg]

As usual, my house is hidden behind a dotted line sad.gif

I think its too early for them to nail down p-types. Also, the tracks look like they're a day old, all the models have moved to showing more of a Miller A track.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1911479 · Replies: · Views: 109,677

sw03181
Posted on: Oct 28 2014, 04:36 PM


EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
****

Group: Member
Posts: 7,354
Joined: 7-December 08
From: South Windsor, CT
Member No.: 16,373


QUOTE(MaineJay @ Oct 28 2014, 05:32 PM) *
GYX discussion
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?si...p;highlight=off
Precip for just days 4-5
[attachment=240521:95ep48iwbg_fill.gif]

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day4-7.shtml

Cut that in half and those are plausible snow amounts, assuming your area stays all snow.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #1911472 · Replies: · Views: 109,677

294 Pages V   1 2 3 > » 

New Posts  New Replies
No New Posts  No New Replies
Hot topic  Hot Topic (New)
No new  Hot Topic (No New)
Poll  Poll (New)
No new votes  Poll (No New)
Closed  Locked Topic
Moved  Moved Topic
 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 21st November 2018 - 07:26 AM