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> March 20-22nd MidAtl/NE Storm Forecast
jordan4385
post Mar 17 2013, 05:53 PM
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ok so i think this thread should be created. Its a recent development i believe. lots of energy swirling around on the nam and gfs around this period.
gfs :





oh god how do i change the topic name smile.gif

This post has been edited by jordan4385: Mar 17 2013, 06:01 PM


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NYCSuburbs
post Mar 17 2013, 05:54 PM
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QUOTE(jordan4385 @ Mar 17 2013, 06:53 PM) *
ok so i think this thread should be created. Its a recent development i believe. lots of energy swirling around on the nam and gfs around this period.
gfs :

Currently the GFS (and the NAM) are the most bullish with this; have yet to see how this plays out, if precip stays offshore or scrapes the coast, but an interesting minor potential to track anyways.

QUOTE(jordan4385 @ Mar 17 2013, 06:53 PM) *
oh god how do i change the topic name

Do "full edit" on your post and the options should appear on the top of the post.
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jordan4385
post Mar 17 2013, 06:01 PM
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thanks, cheers.


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shane o mac
post Mar 17 2013, 07:16 PM
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Looks like we could finally get something big at the end of the week
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NorEaster07
post Mar 17 2013, 07:35 PM
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LoveNYCSnow
post Mar 17 2013, 09:57 PM
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And in the winter of never ending snowstorms for SNE, the NAM has this

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=n..._wnd_precip.gif



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2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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SnowMan11
post Mar 17 2013, 11:40 PM
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0z GGEM has that little wave for Wednesday night

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn...pe_gem_reg.html


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NYCSuburbs
post Mar 18 2013, 09:37 AM
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0z ECM - this is as far west as it gets this run:

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d-_-b
post Mar 18 2013, 09:47 AM
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So close! Maybe we'll be surprised here in Boston on the day of with a slightly more west track.


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2017-18: 9.2"
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SnowMan11
post Mar 18 2013, 10:24 AM
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Nam still has some snow for Philly and NYC


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SnowMan11
post Mar 18 2013, 12:37 PM
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GEFS members for Wednesday night. Really interesting.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_12...rsloopmref.html


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LUCC
post Mar 18 2013, 03:01 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Mar 18 2013, 12:37 PM) *
GEFS members for Wednesday night. Really interesting.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_12...rsloopmref.html

Very interesting.....


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Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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let it dnow
post Mar 18 2013, 09:08 PM
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Where is every one if this looks so good I'm down here in southern new jersey and and this past storm sucks for us all rain and I would like to know what going on for this storm ?


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NYCSuburbs
post Mar 18 2013, 09:26 PM
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QUOTE(let it dnow @ Mar 18 2013, 10:08 PM) *
Where is every one if this looks so good I'm down here in southern new jersey and and this past storm sucks for us all rain and I would like to know what going on for this storm ?

A coastal low starts to develop on Wednesday night, this mostly takes place too far offshore but could still affect coastal areas with some snow, the question is how much, whether it's just snow showers or actual accumulating snow.
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SnowMan11
post Mar 18 2013, 10:58 PM
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RGEM looks interesting at 48 hours

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn...pe_gem_reg.html


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Bellhorn12
post Mar 19 2013, 07:02 AM
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QUOTE(d-_-b @ Mar 18 2013, 10:47 AM) *
So close! Maybe we'll be surprised here in Boston on the day of with a slightly more west track.


Snow breeds snow and everything has come through SNE since the calendar turned to February.

This would be a marginal event anyway, but you never know exactly what will happen when these hit the ocean. I didn't expect a 9-12" event today.


--------------------
Winter, 2014-2015:

Nov 26; 3"
Nov 28; 3"
Jan 3; 3"
Jan 24; 7"
Jan 27; 29"
Jan 30; 2"
Feb 2; 17"
Feb 7-9; 19"
Feb 12; 2"
Feb 15; 17"
Feb 22; 3"
Feb 25; 2"
Mar 1; 2"

Season; 109"

Winter, 2013-2014, Snowfall - 79"
Winter, 2012-2013, Snowfall - 71"
Winter, 2011-2012, Snowfall - 9.5"
Winter, 2010-2011, Snowfall - 89.5"
Winter, 2009-2010, Snowfall - 40"
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d-_-b
post Mar 19 2013, 09:12 AM
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I'll be in Florida for this one and possibly the end of the week Nor'Easter (if it were to come this far north), so enjoy this one everyone who gets snow.


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NYCSuburbs
post Mar 19 2013, 10:25 AM
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The 6z GFS reminds me of the 3/20/09 surprise event a bit; they were completely different setups as that even was associated with a cold front, but it also had an unexpected round of moderate-heavy snow along the coast with light accumulations as a coastal low developed well offshore. The GFS if verifies would easily support snow in most of NJ/NYC/LI, with the CMC, RGEM similar and the ECM a bit east and weaker. At this point I couldn't care less about what the NAM shows. Thursday morning might be a bit interesting for some...
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grandpaboy
post Mar 19 2013, 11:17 AM
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CMC (which was on this event) is starting to lose interest........which I had a feeling would happen as we got closer to the event....

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?C...71.0603&e=0


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let it dnow
post Mar 19 2013, 04:10 PM
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12 z gfs still has us getting snowWednesday night into Thursday

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...bTSLPp06042.gif

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...bTSLPp06048.gif

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...bTSLPp06054.gif

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...bTSLPp06060.gif

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs...bTSLPp06066.gif

looks good for southern nj for sum snow.

This post has been edited by let it dnow: Mar 19 2013, 04:31 PM


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