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NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 06:15 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Nov 18 2017, 05:33 PM) *
A yucky day. At the high for the day 38F. All rain and fog. Hoping we clear up and warm up a bit. Areas close are warming but I imagine they're fogless.


Kinda interesting seeing and hearing the 30s out there. I thought with a track like that and 850s above freezing I wouldn't see any 30s out there today. It's like the cold got stuck for some.

2-6pm Loop. All that blue in Maine and not 1 station was reporting snowflakes.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253094 · Replies: · Views: 7,098

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 05:31 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(SyracuseStorm @ Nov 18 2017, 04:19 PM) *
Winter Storm Watches have been posted for Syracuse area...not sure why Lake Effect watches not posted


You missed the big memo. Gonna take me a while to get used to the changes.

QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Jun 16 2017, 04:11 PM) *
NWS Makes big changes to Winter Weather products!

http://products.weather.gov/PDD/PDDforWint...eformatting.pdf


  • The Freezing Rain Advisory and Lake Effect Snow Advisory products will no longer be issued
  • The “Blizzard Watch” and “Lake Effect Snow Watch” products will no longer be issued
  • The “Lake Effect Snow Warning” product will no longer be issued at these sites.(Duluth (DLH), Marquette (MQT), Green Bay (GRB), Milwaukee (MKX), Chicago (LOT), Northern Indiana (IWX), Grand Rapids (GRR), Gaylord (APX) and Detroit (DTX).


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253088 · Replies: · Views: 1,762

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 05:23 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Mid 50s and light rain. Almost 0.15" now.

Warm front didn't go as far north as thought.

Attached Image


990mb Over Ohio now

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253086 · Replies: · Views: 7,098

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 12:29 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Actual radar loop 8am-12pm. Front edge of rain is close. Should be raining in NYC within couple hours


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253060 · Replies: · Views: 7,098

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 12:28 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Nov 18 2017, 01:23 PM) *
Close man. Not done with this time period.

Page topper boom!

Why do cows have hooves?

They lactose...

Earned it.


Do you realize we have the option to display certain number of posts per page? I have it set at 50.

That wasn't a page topper. #FakePageTopperPost! lol
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253059 · Replies: · Views: 14,720

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 09:26 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


People asking me if it's gonna snow today. lol. It does feel like it. Only 33° at 9:30am with moisture on the way.

Warm front lifting north today then the cold front tonight.

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253027 · Replies: · Views: 7,098

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 09:25 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Is Syracuse Ready?

Attached Image


NAM3km now till Monday 1pm

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2253026 · Replies: · Views: 1,762

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 07:02 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Ski Areas Open in 4 States This Weekend - NewEnglandSkiIndustry.com

This was from last weekend.. Probably again this weekend.

Maine
Sugarloaf - opens Sunday
Sunday River - opens Saturday

Massachusetts
Wachusett - opens Sunday

New Hampshire
Bretton Woods - open
Wildcat - opens Saturday

Vermont
Killington - open
Okemo - opens Saturday
Mount Snow - opens Saturday

Attached Image


Even in CT. biggrin.gif

https://twitter.com/MohawkMountain/status/930810005921718272

Attached Image
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2253013 · Replies: · Views: 55,985

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:45 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


For Wednesday 22nd

QUOTE
National Weather Service New York NY
934 PM EST Fri Nov 17 2017

Wednesday remains a bit of a question. A cold front will be
approaching from the west. In addition, there remains the
suggestion that some semblance of a coastal low will develop.
The 12Z GFS is way off the Southeast coast and not a factor. The
12Z ECMWF is trending west and now produces a solid swath of
rain across the area. The forecast has been trended towards the
ECMWF
, with low chances for precipitation included for all
areas. The rain would help to suppress high temperatures as
well. The cooler SuperBlend was used as a result.

The cold front comes through Wednesday night. The ECMWF is much
different than the GFS, which pours the cold air into the
region. The ECMWF keeps the coldest air locked to the north of
the area, most likely due to the dynamics of the strengthening
offshore low. A blend of the models was used, however depending
on how the pattern ultimately develops, Thanksgiving
temperatures could end up being roughly plus or minus 5 degrees
from the current forecast for highs. All solutions are dry for
the day however, followed by a continuation of the dry weather
on Friday.


For Saturday 25th

QUOTE
The GFS does spin up a low along the subtropical jet and tracks
it east of the area on Friday. The ECMWF spins up something
similar on Saturday. This feature will need to be watched for
any westward trend
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252981 · Replies: · Views: 14,720

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:32 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Changed the ? to the 20th. #ShortestColdThreadEver? lmao.

No more thread starting for me! laugh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252980 · Replies: · Views: 1,082

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:30 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Nov 17 2017, 04:20 PM) *
So the 7 day forecasts from a week ago aren't verifying well. I'm not sure how this image helps with interpreting today's model guidance other than confirming that, on average, the Euro ensemble mean is still the best model guidance available.


Yeah, the biggest change was that deep cold coming that was being shown last week after this front tomorrow.. In fact I still have a "?" on the cold thread. SMH. lol Going now to fix. Should just delete entire thread. lol
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2252978 · Replies: · Views: 55,985

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 03:48 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Lock it in! Lol. I miss those Euro snowmaps. 1st one I seen.

https://twitter.com/PWMwxME/status/931613280036114437

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252934 · Replies: · Views: 5,131

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 03:00 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


"FWIW, Euro skill score past day 5 drops 40%, and by day 7 its less than 35%. So...just saying.:."

https://twitter.com/WeatherInTheHud/status/...610127970504705
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252887 · Replies: · Views: 5,131

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 02:57 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(KENNYP2339 @ Nov 17 2017, 03:55 PM) *
I'll put an end to this... going to dry fit the plow on the truck


What's your email address, I'd like to send some hate mail.

Hmmm, maybe I'll reverse jinx that. Havent put snow tires on yet..maybe I should
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252883 · Replies: · Views: 5,131

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 02:46 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Mute Mute Mute! Lol. Poor Seth. Havent been on twitter yet but I can imagine whats being posted. Lol

Euro12z for Hartford.

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BDL    LAT=  41.93 LON=  -72.68 ELE=   180

                                            12Z NOV17
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
SAT 00Z 25-NOV   1.7    -2.2    1008      79      91    0.00     551     545    
SAT 06Z 25-NOV   0.6    -1.9    1007      83      81    0.00     549     544    
SAT 12Z 25-NOV  -0.5    -2.2    1004      91      89    0.00     546     543    
SAT 18Z 25-NOV   2.6    -2.3    1000      95      98    0.06     543     543    
SUN 00Z 26-NOV   1.3    -1.5     998      99      99    0.33     539     541    
SUN 06Z 26-NOV   0.3    -0.9     995      95      97    0.34     533     537    
SUN 12Z 26-NOV  -1.0    -1.8     995      90      99    0.26


Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252879 · Replies: · Views: 5,131

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:20 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(grace @ Nov 17 2017, 09:37 AM) *
I think the models are onto something. laugh.gif

You need to tweet that image & get the word out


Lol. "Hour 888" isnt on that mute list. Tweet away. Lol tongue.gif
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2252845 · Replies: · Views: 231,105

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 05:51 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(grace @ Nov 17 2017, 12:29 AM) *
Why are so many professional guys bothered by cold tweets & not by blowtorch tweets? I've never understood that. Post a cold or blocking map & they'll slap your hand....post a fantasy heat ridge & they'll like it. #twitterpoliceareannoying smile.gif


lol. Same with rain. How come its ok to post 10" rainfall maps but posting a 10" snowfall map is bad..

Also, Same can be said for the "bust" word. Why when someone doesn't get the 6" of snow they were forecasted to get its a bust, but when they get less rain than forecasted being a bust never comes up.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2252828 · Replies: · Views: 231,105

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 10:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Lol. If these words were eliminated from my news reel Id have too many political tweets showing up. Lol tongue.gif

https://twitter.com/sethbinau/status/931191295804047360

Attached Image
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2252809 · Replies: · Views: 231,105

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 05:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Wow, did GFS win for today's event?

https://twitter.com/KeithCarson/status/931258656322179073

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252754 · Replies: · Views: 1,753

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 05:04 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Still waiting.. Nothing in the works next 7 days at least.

IMBY 1st snows:

2010: Nov 8 (0.2")
2011: Oct 29 (6")
2012: Nov 7 (5.75")
2013: Nov 12 (0.5")
2014: Nov 13 (0.3")
2015: Oct 18 (T)
2016: Nov 20 (0.4")
2017: ??

This yr resembling 2007 in the way of having a record warm October & Late 1st snow


15% of this general area still has green leaves. blink.gif

From yesterday



  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2252744 · Replies: · Views: 55,985

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 08:25 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Checked gauge before I left.

7am 0.03"
8am 0.36"

So over 1/4" that hour.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252685 · Replies: · Views: 1,753

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 07:37 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Steady rain here from 7am. Probably over 0.10" now.

7:35am Radar and Temps

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252683 · Replies: · Views: 1,753

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 06:55 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(MaineJay @ Nov 16 2017, 07:36 AM) *
1012mb low


Yup. Didnt realize there was a weak LP and the front following.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252681 · Replies: · Views: 1,753

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 06:48 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


#DeepFail

Good hashtag? Looks like the deep cold coming has been tamed. Nothing to write home about, nothing record breaking. but should be below normal. When i get back later I'll try to grab the end date.

Upton:

QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
419 AM EST Thu Nov 16 2017

Friday.

987 mb low over the maritimes continues to provide blustery NW winds
across the region. Despite lots of sunshine highs will remain cooler
than normal with temps 40-45 but wind chills in the 30s.

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

Highlights...

* Showers expected late Saturday into midday Sunday
* Gusty winds as a cold front moves across Sat night
* Blustery and cold conditions early next week
* Temperatures will run close to or below normal into the
middle of next week


Overview...

Overall progressive mid and upper level steering flow continues
across the northern hemisphere, with fast moving surface
systems pushing across the region through the long term period.
Expect temperatures to run mainly near or below seasonal
normals, with brief readings a bit above ahead of the passing
fronts.

Strong low pressure moving across southern Quebec this weekend
will bring another round of showers and blustery winds ahead and
behind the quickly moving cold front. Gusty northwest winds are
likely into early next week, with wind advisories possible.
Mainly dry conditions expected through the middle of next week
with temps running close to or below normal
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252680 · Replies: · Views: 1,082

NorEaster07
Posted on: Nov 16 2017, 06:20 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,429
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Drizzling and a tropical 50° here.

Radar loop 2-6am.

Center of the storm over Ontario. Dragging a front across with a southerly flow. Some spots getting snow in New England but nothing big.


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2252678 · Replies: · Views: 1,753

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