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> Jan 6-10 SE Winter Storm, Thread Closed: Please Refer To OBS Thread
Wild Weather Mon...
post Dec 27 2009, 08:24 AM
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The GFS has had a huge storm off and on during this time frame for quite a few runs now. Yesterdays 18z and today's 06z had essentially the same solution. Last nights 00z was completely different for the whole country, and I would like to think it is an outlier.

This potential storm is now at the ten day time frame. It is as currently forecast, a powerhouse dream storm that is preceded and followed by what would be some of the coldest air in decades. If this thing of beauty verifies, it and the storm behind it would have much of the Eastern US covered in snow right down to the Gulf Coast!

Link to the 06GFS numbers for Atlanta. Read em and weep: http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KFTY





This post has been edited by Wild Weather Monger: Jan 5 2010, 09:07 AM
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Removed_Member_ATLANTAMAN_*
post Dec 27 2009, 08:40 AM
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QUOTE(Wild Weather Monger @ Dec 27 2009, 08:24 AM) *
The GFS has had a huge storm off and on during this time frame for quite a few runs now. Yesterdays 18z and today's 06z had essentially the same solution. Last nights 00z was completely different for the whole country, and I would like to think it is an outlier.

This potential storm is now at the ten day time frame. It is as currently forecast, a powerhouse dream storm that is preceded and followed by what would be some of the coldest air in decades. If this thing of beauty verifies, it and the storm behind it would have much of the Eastern US covered in snow right down to the Gulf Coast!

Link to the 06GFS numbers for Atlanta. Read em and weep:http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KFTY






wow, below 0 for Atlanta.....
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rdusnow
post Dec 27 2009, 09:00 AM
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QUOTE(ATLANTAMAN @ Dec 27 2009, 08:40 AM) *
wow, below 0 for Atlanta.....

How can you tell the temps from these maps or are you looking at other data? Thanks
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Wild Weather Mon...
post Dec 27 2009, 09:06 AM
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QUOTE(rdusnow @ Dec 27 2009, 09:00 AM) *
How can you tell the temps from these maps or are you looking at other data? Thanks


Not sure why the link didn't work. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KFTY
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avianman
post Dec 27 2009, 11:28 AM
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Check out Henry's latest post:

http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...og=meteomadness
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post Dec 27 2009, 11:59 AM
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its promising , but gotta remember its still nearly 10 days out. this will change a few times
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Removed_Member_setenza_*
post Dec 27 2009, 12:00 PM
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QUOTE(ATLANTAMAN @ Dec 27 2009, 08:40 AM) *
wow, below 0 for Atlanta.....

i dont think its that cold, but it does get much colder.
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Removed_Member_setenza_*
post Dec 27 2009, 12:03 PM
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QUOTE(avianman @ Dec 27 2009, 11:28 AM) *

i saw that, and i think its a little too son for him to be talking about any storm that rivals 93. henry at his hyping best
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Weatherlover
post Dec 27 2009, 12:07 PM
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QUOTE(avianman @ Dec 27 2009, 11:28 AM) *


As odd as it may seem to hear, I think a rival to the Superstorm of 93' is not completely out of the question, the setup/teleconnections will be place for something similar to that storm to occur, of course it's WAY too early to go into the track/ QPF/ strength of the storm and how much cold will be in place. I think what's most encouraging is that the storm that arrives before this one will already drag in arctic air so cold air may not be as much of a struggle to get to stay in place. Also what's amazing or ironic is that if this monster does happen, it will be predicted on models 7+ days out in advance just like the Superstorm was, that's something to ponder on.


--------------------
Winter of 2011 - 2012 in Review
Number of Snowstorms this winter --> 0
Number of Icestorms this Winter --> 0
Number of Sleetstorms this winter --> 0
Total Snowfall Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Ice Accumulations --> 0 inches
Total Sleet Accumulations --> 0 inches


"Never underestimate the power of mother nature."

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Hawksfan
post Dec 27 2009, 12:34 PM
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QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Dec 27 2009, 12:07 PM) *
As odd as it may seem to hear, I think a rival to the Superstorm of 93' is not completely out of the question, the setup/teleconnections will be place for something similar to that storm to occur, of course it's WAY too early to go into the track/ QPF/ strength of the storm and how much cold will be in place. I think what's most encouraging is that the storm that arrives before this one will already drag in arctic air so cold air may not be as much of a struggle to get to stay in place. Also what's amazing or ironic is that if this monster does happen, it will be predicted on models 7+ days out in advance just like the Superstorm was, that's something to ponder on.



I remember the Blizzard of '93 here. The mets were just positive that it was coming and it would be a monster. This storm and extream cold has been popping on and off the GFS for about a week now. I call that a trend. Something big might be coming and soon, let's cross our fingers.

The Monster appeared again on the 6Z GFS this morning but was gone again at 12Z. This storm has popped up on at least 1-2 GFS runs a day for a week now.


--------------------
2010-11 Meteorological Winter Stats 12/1/10-3/1/11:

Total Snow for 2010-2011 - 7.0" - Yearly average 2" = 350% of normal
12/5/10 - first snow flurries
12/12/10-12/13/10 - Light dusting of snow
12/15/10-12/16/10 - Trace of snow - change over to ice
12/25/10-12/26/10 - about 2" of snow
1/9/11-1/10/11 - 4" of snow followed by 1/8"-1/4" of ice
1/11/11 - Trace of snow
1/12/11 - Trace of snow
2/9/11 - 2/10/11 - 1" accumulation
Lowest Temperature recorded - 13 on the morning of 12/14/10
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chattownsnow
post Dec 27 2009, 01:22 PM
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Unfortunately I do not remember the 93 superstorm while I was living in D.C at age 8. I remember 96 vividly though as it had a much larger effect on my area while living in D.C.

I only wish I could have been here in Chattanooga when the 93 storm came through and seen the 20+ inches on the ground here. That is just unheard of for a place like this that is lucky to get 2 inches a year. I just hope we get some more snow this year at least.
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Snowlover32
post Dec 27 2009, 01:45 PM
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Does anyone know how much snow Shelby, NC received from the 93 storm, is there a website where I could find that out?


--------------------
QUOTE(Tarheelflyfishing @ Nov 28 2010, 0711 PM) *
Forecasting a winter storm down to the last detail here in the NC Piedmont is like nailing Jell-O to a tree.
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D.J.
post Dec 27 2009, 02:06 PM
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QUOTE(Snowlover32 @ Dec 27 2009, 01:45 PM) *
Does anyone know how much snow Shelby, NC received from the 93 storm, is there a website where I could find that out?

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avianman
post Dec 27 2009, 02:07 PM
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QUOTE(Snowlover32 @ Dec 27 2009, 01:45 PM) *
Does anyone know how much snow Shelby, NC received from the 93 storm, is there a website where I could find that out?

Hickory, NC received 14 inches and was under a blizzard warning for 5 hours or so during the '93 storm.

This is kind of interesting. It shows some screen shots from TWC for Hickory during the '93 storm.

http://www.weathermatrix.net/education/blizzard93/
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Snowlover32
post Dec 27 2009, 02:31 PM
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Thanks for answering my question yall. We probably got 5-10" of snow here.


--------------------
QUOTE(Tarheelflyfishing @ Nov 28 2010, 0711 PM) *
Forecasting a winter storm down to the last detail here in the NC Piedmont is like nailing Jell-O to a tree.
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Carolina IceAge
post Dec 27 2009, 02:39 PM
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QUOTE(Snowlover32 @ Dec 27 2009, 01:45 PM) *
Does anyone know how much snow Shelby, NC received from the 93 storm, is there a website where I could find that out?


http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/...um.19930313.gif
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1234snow
post Dec 27 2009, 02:50 PM
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QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Dec 27 2009, 12:07 PM) *
As odd as it may seem to hear, I think a rival to the Superstorm of 93' is not completely out of the question, the setup/teleconnections will be place for something similar to that storm to occur, of course it's WAY too early to go into the track/ QPF/ strength of the storm and how much cold will be in place. I think what's most encouraging is that the storm that arrives before this one will already drag in arctic air so cold air may not be as much of a struggle to get to stay in place. Also what's amazing or ironic is that if this monster does happen, it will be predicted on models 7+ days out in advance just like the Superstorm was, that's something to ponder on.


While it is not completely out of the question like most things in life, the probablity isn't great. Yes the pattern looks good to favorable for a big storm, but it is pretty tough to compare any storm to the extremeness of that one. I think I liked Henry on how he predicted the last storm for most areas as he didn't hype it and the East Coast got a big storm. Now he is back into hype mode which has gotten him trouble in the past. To get storm a Superstorm or something that would rival that you need a triple phaser where all three jets come together (Pacific, Polar, and Subtropical). There have only been four triple phasers in recorded history while only 1 went up the East Coast. So it is extremely rare to happen and probably won't but it is something to talk about though.

But you never know! That's the beauty of it!


--------------------
"The path we have chosen for the present is full of hazards, as all paths are. The cost of freedom is always high, but Americans have always paid it. And one path we shall never choose, and that is the path of surrender, or submission."

John F. Kennedy

Total Snowfall for 2010-11 Winter: 13.25 inches

Total Ice Accumulation for 2010-11: .25 inches

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Removed_Member_ATLANTAMAN_*
post Dec 27 2009, 02:58 PM
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QUOTE(Snowlover32 @ Dec 27 2009, 01:45 PM) *
Does anyone know how much snow Shelby, NC received from the 93 storm, is there a website where I could find that out?



This is amazing output for Atlanta, says 10''of snow and highs in the teens lows near 0...

http://www.myforecast.com/bin/expanded_for...mp;metric=false
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spidyr2k
post Dec 27 2009, 03:12 PM
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With all the hype about potential winter weather during the next two weeks, thought it might be interesting to revisit the "Blizzard of 2000" that slammed central North Carolina. We were forcasted to receive an inch to a dusting. The link below gives great synopsis of what actually caused the event and where the mets missed the target.

http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/20000125/


--------------------
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dawgnkitten
post Dec 27 2009, 03:15 PM
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Definately would be something...

13.29"...interesting to say the least.


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Just having fun in FL...miss it at times, especially the gorgeous sunsets...taken on 7/14/11
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