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> Feb 14-16 MidAtl/NE Mild Spell, Possibility: Medium Range (4-7 Days Out) Forecasts
NYCSuburbs
post Feb 12 2013, 02:44 PM
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No one's probably going to care but a brief 2-3 day torch is on the way. It's a miserable scene out here... whatever snow fell on Friday mostly melted and it's just patches of grass in between the melting slush with no snow in the forecast until Sunday, unless that one doesn't happen either, then it's onto the late month. If I can't have snow I'd rather have it all melt and enjoy whatever brief warmth there is for now.

Thursday and Friday look like classic underestimated warmth scenarios IMO - wouldn't be surprised to see 50s easily make it up to the NYC area on Friday. Whatever snow falls on Wednesday night is going to quickly melt.

Thursday MOS highs:


Attached Image


12z ECM Friday highs:


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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 12 2013, 02:47 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Feb 12 2013, 02:44 PM) *
No one's probably going to care but a brief 2-3 day torch is on the way. It's a miserable scene out here... whatever snow fell on Friday mostly melted and it's just patches of grass in between the melting slush with no snow in the forecast until Sunday, unless that one doesn't happen either, then it's onto the late month. If I can't have snow I'd rather have it all melt and enjoy whatever brief warmth there is for now.

Thursday and Friday look like classic underestimated warmth scenarios IMO - wouldn't be surprised to see 50s easily make it up to the NYC area on Friday. Whatever snow falls on Wednesday night is going to quickly melt.

Thursday MOS highs:


Attached Image


12z ECM Friday highs:


Attached Image


It's a sign of spring. Snow rapidly melting, A foot on Friday and I already see grass peaking out in some spots with the piles still around already fairly ugly looking. The above 32 night which is still kind of rare for us in Mid Feburary really killed the snowpack. Although according to intellicast maps, NYC already has almost no snow on the ground although idk if those are accurate.

This post has been edited by LoveNYCSnow: Feb 12 2013, 02:48 PM


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2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 12 2013, 03:04 PM
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QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Feb 12 2013, 02:47 PM) *
It's a sign of spring. Snow rapidly melting, A foot on Friday and I already see grass peaking out in some spots with the piles still around already fairly ugly looking. The above 32 night which is still kind of rare for us in Mid Feburary really killed the snowpack. Although according to intellicast maps, NYC already has almost no snow on the ground although idk if those are accurate.

We're in February after all, when averages warm up and sun angle starts to become an issue. The pattern isn't very cold, with seasonable temperatures which in this time of the year is enough to reduce the snow pack at a faster rate. Friday especially looks conductive for mild temps with mostly sunny skies and light SW/WSW winds which should melt the snow pack even faster for locations that still have it (without a doubt New England). It would've been nice though if we had the blizzard much earlier in January so the snow pack would actually last for a while...
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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 12 2013, 03:09 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Feb 12 2013, 03:04 PM) *
We're in February after all, when averages warm up and sun angle starts to become an issue. The pattern isn't very cold, with seasonable temperatures which in this time of the year is enough to reduce the snow pack at a faster rate. Friday especially looks conductive for mild temps with mostly sunny skies and light SW/WSW winds which should melt the snow pack even faster for locations that still have it (without a doubt New England). It would've been nice though if we had the blizzard much earlier in January so the snow pack would actually last for a while...



That's true somewhat but I remember I used to see pretty decent snowpacks in upstate NY in late Feburary coming up as a child. I guess winters have changed though over the years.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 12 2013, 03:44 PM
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As soon as I note the models underplaying the warmth, the NAM takes a step closer to my thinking - now has widespread 40s, with 50 degrees up to NYC:

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Removed_Member_Dave12308_*
post Feb 12 2013, 05:27 PM
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QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Feb 12 2013, 03:09 PM) *
That's true somewhat but I remember I used to see pretty decent snowpacks in upstate NY in late Feburary coming up as a child. I guess winters have changed though over the years.


Heck, as a kid I even remember decent storms in March. In shady spots, there was a snowpack into June.

People can say what they want about the weather and how it "really isn't changing", but I say BS.

I don't know if it's really global warming like people claim, but SOMETHING has happened to the weather. I think Texas gets more snow nowadays that interior upstate NY.
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loafer1989
post Feb 12 2013, 05:28 PM
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The weather forecast moving forward looks good to enable the huge amount of snowcover that we have here in Connecticut to slowly melt away. I don't see any 3" rainstorms or 60F weather in the extended forecast and thats a good thing to avoid flooding.


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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 12 2013, 07:34 PM
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I know we are not part of this threads time yet but it looks like another night with clouds here keeping temps above freezing. Above freezing nights are killer for a snowpack. I doubt I have much left at all after Friday the way things are looking.



--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 13 2013, 03:56 PM
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12z MOS highs - 50s up to NYC, scattered 50s in SNE

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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 15 2013, 01:55 PM
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Am I the only one enjoying the warmth? laugh.gif
Warmth over performing as expected... Upper 40s here, northern NJ already in low-mid 50s.
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Blizz
post Feb 15 2013, 01:54 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Feb 15 2013, 01:55 PM) *
Am I the only one enjoying the warmth? laugh.gif
Warmth over performing as expected... Upper 40s here, northern NJ already in low-mid 50s.


My eyes are on the sky.. Don't want debris falling on my head.


--------------------
WINTER 17-18
MBY Avg. Snow: 44" per year
Season to Date: 26.9"
Winter Storm Warnings: 1
Winter Weather Advisories: 7


Previous Winter Totals (2011-2017)
21.1", 40.0", 65.0", 52.2", 22.0", 48.4"
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 15 2013, 02:50 PM
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Current NJ temperatures:

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Mike W IN herkim...
post Feb 15 2013, 05:47 PM
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Got up to 38 today, snow pack is down to 6"..According to the nws all of next week should be below normal (besides 1 day), starting tomorrow with temps in the mid 20's..


--------------------
Seasonal Snowfall 95/96-Current
2017-2018 Snowfall 133.7(as of 2/7)
2016-2017 Snowfall 160.2
2015-2016 Snowfall 106.2
Source

Top 6 snowiest winters of the past 20 years

1)95/96- 273.9"
2)03/04- 255.4"
3)10/11- 247.3"
4)00/01- 244.0"
5)06/07- 232.6"
6)02/03- 226.1
My PWS
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Fire/Rescue
post Feb 15 2013, 07:08 PM
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59 degrees here IMBY for a high today, now as much as I like SNOW I must admit it felt VERY nice doing things outside today with just a long sleeve t-shirt on smile.gif
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