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> Mar 29-30th MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Possibility: Med Range [4-8 Days Out] forecast & discussion
MaineJay
post Yesterday, 06:37 AM
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Torturing folks with another thread. Looks like we will see a bit of a wave train rolling through. Not a ton of amplification, but who knows.

ECMWF

Attached Image


GFS

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UKie (pregame)

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--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far" - Theodore Roosevelt.

MJ SN-o-meter. Each dash represents 1", 84 in total for 7', my average
//////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

***bonus snow***
//////////////////////////////

116.5" season to date
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MaineJay
post Yesterday, 06:40 AM
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GEFS ensemble lows

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ECMWF ensembles with spread

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Same view of GEFS

Attached Image

This post has been edited by MaineJay: Yesterday, 06:41 AM


--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far" - Theodore Roosevelt.

MJ SN-o-meter. Each dash represents 1", 84 in total for 7', my average
//////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

***bonus snow***
//////////////////////////////

116.5" season to date
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telejunkie
post Yesterday, 07:02 AM
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Beat me to it MJ, was going to open the thread if 12z GFS showed it too. Originally I thought this was the final bundle of energy from the cut-off low, but it does look to be a separate s/w bundle traversing. 0z GFS:

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Yesterday, 07:05 AM
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 80"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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Undertakerson
post Yesterday, 11:42 AM
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12z GFS FWIW (the most wintry time panel)

Attached Image


This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Yesterday, 11:42 AM
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risingriver
post Yesterday, 12:01 PM
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Looks good for the NE, but calling this a MA storm is pushing the envelope. Good luck to our NY and NE breathren still in snow mode.

I'm getting 70s in Virginia on Saturday and am glad spring is returning after taking most of this month off. ohmy.gif
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SnowMan11
post Yesterday, 01:04 PM
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QUOTE(risingriver @ Mar 22 2017, 01:01 PM) *
Looks good for the NE, but calling this a MA storm is pushing the envelope. Good luck to our NY and NE breathren still in snow mode.

I'm getting 70s in Virginia on Saturday and am glad spring is returning after taking most of this month off. ohmy.gif



Not really. Lets see where we stand a few days from now.


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psu1313
post Yesterday, 03:16 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Mar 22 2017, 02:04 PM) *
Not really. Lets see where we stand a few days from now.


You should have led with your second comment about thread titles. With that said it also depends how you define mid-Atlantic. In my definition, it's PA, NJ, MD, VA, DE. Others believe it's slightly further north including NY and not VA and others believe PA and NJ are out and NC is in.

Alas, northern PA has a shot at snow, especially at elevation and MA is acceptable. lol
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joeman
post Yesterday, 03:35 PM
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MidAtl/NE Winter Storm

its a large area to cover


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gloryboy1417
post Yesterday, 03:38 PM
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QUOTE(psu1313 @ Mar 22 2017, 04:16 PM) *
You should have led with your second comment about thread titles. With that said it also depends how you define mid-Atlantic. In my definition, it's PA, NJ, MD, VA, DE. Others believe it's slightly further north including NY and not VA and others believe PA and NJ are out and NC is in.

Alas, northern PA has a shot at snow, especially at elevation and MA is acceptable. lol


This has been debated so many times in the past, its not changing how the areas are defined.



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Undertakerson
post Yesterday, 04:03 PM
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QUOTE(gloryboy1417 @ Mar 22 2017, 04:38 PM) *
This has been debated so many times in the past, its not changing how the areas are defined.

Yep - that is why I try to add other commonly understood boundaries - such as N of I-80, or S. of Mason Dixon or S/N of 40N. Others use I-90 as a reference point.

Point being, this forum has set the boundaries of this sub forum to include VA/WV up to and including ME. Guidelines say you cannot further sub-divide the region and be within bounds.

This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Yesterday, 04:04 PM
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MaineJay
post Yesterday, 06:15 PM
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CPC analogs advertising quite the split flow regime.

Attached Image


I always find it amusing how the debate always goes this time of year.


--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far" - Theodore Roosevelt.

MJ SN-o-meter. Each dash represents 1", 84 in total for 7', my average
//////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

***bonus snow***
//////////////////////////////

116.5" season to date
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so_whats_happeni...
post Yesterday, 06:18 PM
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Ahhh still trying I see. Looks like NNE (sorry Canada) is about to get some stuff again. I already know where my mind is at after this past storm we got.

laugh.gif


--------------------
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Millersville University


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shane o mac
post Yesterday, 07:12 PM
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Still 7 days out folks lol no need to jump to conclusions let it play out , and if someone does get snow its a "bonus" we are almost in april ..
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telejunkie
post Yesterday, 07:42 PM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Mar 22 2017, 07:18 PM) *
Ahhh still trying I see. Looks like NNE (sorry Canada) is about to get some stuff again. I already know where my mind is at after this past storm we got.

laugh.gif

Something like this... wink.gif
Attached Image

PS Congrat SWH!!

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Yesterday, 07:48 PM


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 80"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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so_whats_happeni...
post Yesterday, 08:12 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Mar 22 2017, 08:42 PM) *
Something like this... wink.gif
Attached Image

PS Congrat SWH!!



Hahahaha I was but now im looking toward warmth and severe weather wink.gif You guys can keep your snow. Im about to get myself a nice camera from my tax return to start getting a catalog of nice weather pics going.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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jdrenken
post Yesterday, 11:01 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Mar 22 2017, 01:04 PM) *
Not really. Lets see where we stand a few days from now.


Can't...stop...laughing. It took you less than 24 hours on the 22nd-23rd storm to call it.

QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Mar 18 2017, 09:13 PM) *
It keeps trending northward. I would watch that especially with cold air in place.


QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Mar 19 2017, 06:13 PM) *
This threat isnt really a threat for anyone



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SteelerFan420
post Today, 01:54 AM
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We must start talking sun angles this time of the year tongue.gif


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Red
sky in morning, sailor’s heed warning!
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PoconoSnow
post Today, 06:40 AM
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032306z gefs mslp placement with spread


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“The strength and weakness of physicists is that we believe in what we can measure. And if we can’t measure it, then we say it probably doesn’t exist.” – Michio Kaku
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PoconoSnow
post Today, 06:56 AM
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032300z Eps mean with norm and hi res op std spread


This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Today, 06:56 AM


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“The strength and weakness of physicists is that we believe in what we can measure. And if we can’t measure it, then we say it probably doesn’t exist.” – Michio Kaku
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