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> Long Range Spring 2017 Outlooks and Discussion, Share thoughts, forecasts, trends, excitement, anxiety here.
OSNW3
post May 15 2017, 08:09 AM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ May 14 2017, 09:08 PM) *
Heh. It feels like Chicago has been much warmer than us most of the year. I guess this is a sort of payback. Probably won't last long though.

I'm digging this weather. Looks like summer-time humidity will be coming shortly, too.


Lake Michigan.

https://twitter.com/MikeHamernik/status/863947561761206272


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ValpoSnow
post May 15 2017, 01:30 PM
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Lake Michigan has kept the city very nice and cool for the first 10 days of the month. Highs were only in the low 50s most of the time with lows dipping to around 40.

Western suburbs have been much warmer, of course.
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ValpoSnow
post May 15 2017, 01:34 PM
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LOT is going much warmer than guidance seems to indicate. I hope they are too warm.
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ClicheVortex2014
post May 15 2017, 01:59 PM
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QUOTE(OSNW3 @ May 15 2017, 09:09 AM) *

brutal


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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Undertakerson
post May 15 2017, 03:38 PM
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The modeling for the upcoming next couple weeks (excluding the one directly in front of us), in the MidAtl/NE region, is showing what the BSR has indicated for some time now.

A persistent/recurring Eastern US trough situation. Per the BSR (see OFM thread) this may last well into June. If that is the case, it would be very reminiscent, (to me) of Spring/Summer 1979 - the year I had earned my very first paid vacation through work. I blew all my funds on a week at Rehobeth Beach, DE, non refundable rooms, etc. Scheduled right after graduation for my, then, sweetheart who was one year behind me.

It rained the entire time, every single day, and temps did not get above the 70F mark. Then it turned pleasant, and stayed that way, the very next week. mad.gif

AT this rate, the real warmth for the East (meaning sustained) could struggle to make a serious appearance until Summer's official (astronomical) start date. blink.gif

This post has been edited by Undertakerson: May 15 2017, 03:58 PM
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bingobobbo
post May 15 2017, 05:16 PM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ May 15 2017, 04:38 PM) *
The modeling for the upcoming next couple weeks (excluding the one directly in front of us), in the MidAtl/NE region, is showing what the BSR has indicated for some time now.

A persistent/recurring Eastern US trough situation. Per the BSR (see OFM thread) this may last well into June. If that is the case, it would be very reminiscent, (to me) of Spring/Summer 1979 - the year I had earned my very first paid vacation through work. I blew all my funds on a week at Rehobeth Beach, DE, non refundable rooms, etc. Scheduled right after graduation for my, then, sweetheart who was one year behind me.

It rained the entire time, every single day, and temps did not get above the 70F mark. Then it turned pleasant, and stayed that way, the very next week. mad.gif

AT this rate, the real warmth for the East (meaning sustained) could struggle to make a serious appearance until Summer's official (astronomical) start date. blink.gif


I remember late spring/early summer 1979 very well--a load of record low temperatures that still stand. I was studying for my Regents (final) exam in Chemistry and had a strong desire to get in the 90s. One day (July 5),, it failed to get past 53 degrees at the airport weather station! Strangely enough, 1979 is also the year of our latest-ever 80-degree day: Oct. 22.


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NorEaster07
post May 16 2017, 11:15 AM
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Cool stats from Paul's blog today. This shows what percentage of the corn has been planted.

Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina & Tennessee about the same as last year this time but the rest of the states have less corn planted this year vs last year so far.

Pennsylvania 35 acres planted this year vs 50 last year this time. Wow.

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/v...documentID=1048

Attached File  Corn.jpg ( 142.57K ) Number of downloads: 2

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ClicheVortex2014
post May 16 2017, 07:51 PM
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Warmest day of the year here... got in the upper 80's across SW OH with mid-upper 50 degree dew points. The warmth without humidity felt good. Expecting the high to get in the upper 80's again tomorrow but this time a bit more humid with dew points 5-10 degrees higher. Fun.

This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: May 16 2017, 08:03 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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ClicheVortex2014
post May 17 2017, 12:46 AM
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Whoa!!

QUOTE
Great example of cold front overtaking dryline, augmenting low-level convergence and aiding convection initiation!

https://twitter.com/JakeMulholland1/status/...680306456055808


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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WeatherMonger
post May 17 2017, 07:52 AM
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ILX made an interactive map of the 24 tornados thus far in IL. Probably not real mobile friendly


Attached File  Screenshot_2017_05_17_07_49_55_1.png ( 92.21K ) Number of downloads: 3


Link

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OSNW3
post May 17 2017, 11:58 AM
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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ May 17 2017, 07:52 AM) *
ILX made an interactive map of the 24 tornados thus far in IL. Probably not real mobile friendly
Attached File  Screenshot_2017_05_17_07_49_55_1.png ( 92.21K ) Number of downloads: 3


Link


That is a fun page! And anyone can build one. http://storymaps.arcgis.com/en/app-list/map-journal/

This post has been edited by OSNW3: May 17 2017, 12:00 PM


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so_whats_happeni...
post May 17 2017, 02:45 PM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ May 17 2017, 01:46 AM) *


Wow! That is one of the more impressive radar-depicted interactions I have seen. Going to have to save that one for the future.


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so_whats_happeni...
post May 17 2017, 03:03 PM
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QUOTE(OSNW3 @ May 17 2017, 12:58 PM) *
That is a fun page! And anyone can build one. http://storymaps.arcgis.com/en/app-list/map-journal/


Yea GIS was pretty fun to learn and fairly simple even for those not so techy folks, including myself.

You might need to know a little python to help you out with coding which again is another fairly simple programming software, by far much more clear cut then fortran (fortran 90 im pretty sure we used) was fairly simple as well but I think GIS runs with python better.

Fun stuff I would have to relook over all my stuff to really get too involved with it.


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Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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NorEaster07
post May 18 2017, 06:14 AM
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For Bridgeport, CT
  • We went 4 weeks with just 4 full sunny days from Mid April to Mid May!
  • Now we finally get full sunny days and the max was 76 and 83 past 2 days.
  • No full sun days with a max temp of 63-75 since mid April.
  • In March we had full sunny days with temps in the 30s & 40s
  • Only 3 full sunny days with max temps in the 50s this Spring? blink.gif


#NoSpring


Attached File  Sky3.jpg ( 233.66K ) Number of downloads: 0



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ClicheVortex2014
post May 18 2017, 10:31 AM
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Amazing what happens when it rains and the sun pops out



--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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ClicheVortex2014
post May 18 2017, 05:48 PM
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Euro OP supports the thoughts for the last week of May per BSR... EPS says lol nope





--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 11 (Last: 9/24/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 7 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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jdrenken
post May 19 2017, 12:37 AM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ May 18 2017, 05:48 PM) *
Euro OP supports the thoughts for the last week of May per BSR... EPS says lol nope



FWIW...



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SnowMan11
post May 19 2017, 07:11 AM
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EPS has a deep trough in the east at 144. I really hope it verifies.

This heat is terrible


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ValpoSnow
post May 19 2017, 11:56 AM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ May 19 2017, 07:11 AM) *
EPS has a deep trough in the east at 144. I really hope it verifies.

This heat is terrible


Ditto.
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MotownWX
post May 19 2017, 02:59 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ May 19 2017, 07:11 AM) *
EPS has a deep trough in the east at 144. I really hope it verifies.

This heat is terrible


I'd take something in between right about now.

I'm fine without 88 and humid, but not looking forward to yet another stretch of stagnant Upper Low chills and showers.
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