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Please just refer to me by my first name, Peter. I'm 22 years old, from West Chester, Ohio. As of Fall 2015, I'm a student at Ohio University studying Meteorology. I'm specifically interested in severe weather and tornadoes.
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Rank: F5 Superstorm
24 years old
Dayton, Ohio
Born June-30-1993
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Local Time: Jul 21 2017, 12:51 PM
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My Content
11 Jul 2017
The current zonal flow will turn into a central US ridge. Dry heat (100-110+ degrees) will take over the Plains, while less hot/more humid conditions will be present to the east.

There are currently 80+ degree dew points in the corn belt, 100-110 degree heat index in the central Plains.

In the medium to long range, in addition to the central US ridge, there'll be a ++++NAO. Assuming it verifies, the stronger pressure gradient will result in a stronger jet stream along the north and northeast periphery of the ridge where hot and humid conditions will exist.

30 May 2017
A stationary front is going to set up across the Midwest this weekend, good for the threat for daily storms. Severe weather won't be a huge concern with this system because there's generally weak speed shear. Main concern is the rain for areas that don't need it.. especially Sunday when there's a signal for a complex to push through

20 Apr 2017
GFS and Euro are showing some major severe weather potential associated with a large longwave trough that has numerous shortwaves rotating around it. Seasonably rich moisture (if not slightly unseasonal) will be present in the warm sector... looking at multiple rounds of severe weather.

13 Apr 2017
The active zonal flow regime will break down around the 18th when a shortwave from the Pacific pushes east. GFS has been hinting at major severe weather potential with this shortwave. Timing and track of it are still in question, but it appears ingredients will come together for a noteworthy event - possibly a classic Plains setup.

11 Apr 2017
A zonal flow will set up across the US, and disturbances will roll along the flow and create conditions favorable for lee cyclogenesis multiple times. This thread is for that regime, as long as it holds. GFS suggests a meaningful break in the pattern will occur around day 5-7 with a Pacific system pushing through the country, then a larger trough will make landfall in the west creating a much different pattern. Right now it looks like it may be a northwest flow pattern and/or a west trough/east ridge.

Here's the break in the pattern. Notice the shortwave in the Midwest and the longwave out west. I'm going to refrain from making a thread for the shortwave until there's more talk about it.

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