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jdrenken
Posted on: May 19 2017, 12:37 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ May 18 2017, 05:48 PM) *
Euro OP supports the thoughts for the last week of May per BSR... EPS says lol nope



FWIW...

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2228660 · Replies: · Views: 82,481

jdrenken
Posted on: May 11 2017, 06:12 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


Went ahead and shaved a few days off. That being said...not bad estimation of the end date that far out.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2228017 · Replies: · Views: 3,183

jdrenken
Posted on: May 11 2017, 06:08 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(Undertakerson @ May 11 2017, 03:08 PM) *
Straight out of the Caribbean (as I mentioned in the OFM thread)

[attachment=325960:gfs_mslp...zn_us_46.png]

No telling whether this is going to play out as this Op run depicted, but the signals seemed to be there and continue to be there.


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2228016 · Replies: · Views: 9,135

jdrenken
Posted on: May 3 2017, 12:22 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


When a climate scientist doesn't understand that a forecasted Wave number 6 pattern didn't cause the severe weather event last night.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227419 · Replies: · Views: 9,135

jdrenken
Posted on: May 3 2017, 12:20 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


When a climate scientist doesn't understand that a forecasted Wave number 6 pattern didn't cause the severe weather event last night.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227418 · Replies: · Views: 6,359

jdrenken
Posted on: May 3 2017, 12:19 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


When a climate scientist doesn't understand that a forecasted Wave number 6 pattern didn't cause the severe weather event last night.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2227417 · Replies: · Views: 82,481

jdrenken
Posted on: May 3 2017, 12:33 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(kpk33x @ May 2 2017, 03:22 PM) *
: :lol:lol: along with hour 384 GFS

Hope you guys are not underwater in MO, saw some footage.


Here in Columbia we are fine. SW St. Louis is another story. I was planning a trip to High Ridge, MO but they are cut off from the Northern side of the river. I-55 is going to close tonight in South county and I-44 is closed in multiple locations all the way to Springfield, MO.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227394 · Replies: · Views: 9,135

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 01:27 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


If this was the winter it would've been created 15 days ago! laugh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227353 · Replies: · Views: 9,135

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 01:26 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


A few local tv station feeds.

Stl channel 4
Stl channel 5

Jefferson City channel 13
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227352 · Replies: · Views: 7,915

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 01:23 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


To show some 'gravity' in this situation...

Attached Image

So to see this type of agreement in the GFS and Euro is very concerning for Central Missouri!
Attached thumbnail(s)
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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227351 · Replies: · Views: 7,915

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 01:04 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


Forecast Rodeo Comparisons
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2227349 · Replies: · Views: 82,481

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 01:03 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


Forecast Rodeo Comparisons
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2227348 · Replies: · Views: 305,519

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 10:27 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


My post from april 30th in the "other" non-existent thread and yet no thread for the MidAtl/NE.

QUOTE(Undertakerson @ May 2 2017, 05:32 AM) *
Agreed. The D6-8 GFS looks to feature darned near CPF influence. Will be quite the shock to the system on the heels of a "mostly" warm April in the Mid Atl.


QUOTE(jdrenken @ Apr 30 2017, 07:26 PM) *
5 day means from EPS


Attached Image


Might we start a new one for the NE/MidAtl?

Attached Image


CPC latest

6-10

Attached Image


8-14
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227343 · Replies: · Views: 4,011

jdrenken
Posted on: May 2 2017, 12:36 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ May 1 2017, 07:04 PM) *
End date should probably be removed, going to take a while for the levels to drop, and as it stands highest crests are more likely mid next week or longer depending on how the upcoming rains unfold.

Either way there is a stopper in the drain down south


I agree...placing a question mark in the title.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227321 · Replies: · Views: 7,915

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 30 2017, 07:26 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


5 day means from EPS


Attached Image


Might we start a new one for the NE/MidAtl?

Attached Image


CPC latest

6-10

Attached Image


8-14

Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227166 · Replies: · Views: 3,183

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 30 2017, 07:12 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


I am in the process of finding out what's going on with the organicforecasting.com website. Hopefully the answer comes quickly.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2227165 · Replies: · Views: 305,519

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 28 2017, 11:56 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


My sump pump has already been working hard.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2226908 · Replies: · Views: 7,915

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 28 2017, 11:51 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Apr 27 2017, 06:44 PM) *
For me it is a welcomed change, not having to turn the A/C on for the summer in mid to late April. Tired of going from a should have been Winter to a never was Spring, Fall to Summer.

Below normal now isn't a crappy weather scenario, might take a bit longer for the pools to warm up or the gardens to take off, but that will be made up for by opening windows to cool the house and mowing the yard during peak heating rather than early or late.

Kudos to OF for showing the way


OF was considered hype on social media. rolleyes.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2226907 · Replies: · Views: 3,183

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 28 2017, 11:49 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Apr 27 2017, 04:03 PM) *
165 views of a post from a most respected moderator/prognosticator - and not one reply? huh.gif


The Northeast isn't in the title so Snowman11 won't post. lol
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2226905 · Replies: · Views: 3,183

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 26 2017, 02:17 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


April 22nd 6-10 Day
Attached Image


Today's
Attached Image


8-14 Day
Attached Image


April 21st Experimental 3-4 week
Attached Image


OSNW3's tweet on 4-9!

BSR

Attached Image


RRWT

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2226754 · Replies: · Views: 3,183

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 23 2017, 11:00 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


Interesting to see Ventrice join the ERTAF team.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2226590 · Replies: · Views: 82,481

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 23 2017, 10:58 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


I have notified weathermatrix.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2226589 · Replies: · Views: 672

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 21 2017, 07:53 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


QUOTE(Ahoff @ Apr 21 2017, 07:35 AM) *
Is there any signal for a big warm up late next week? Accuweather says Friday (4/28) will be 88 degrees! That's record tying. And the weather app on my phone says both Friday and Saturday will top out at 89! Record breaking both days and the second highest temps ever in April. Obviously its still a ways off, but wondering what models are seeing. Plus, I graduate from college Saturday and dressed nicely and in a cap and gown in near 90 degree weather, not too comfortable.


Signal has been there since the 7th of April via #bsr...
Attached Image


Along with April 5th via #RRWT...

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  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2226446 · Replies: · Views: 82,481

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 19 2017, 02:15 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


Note how the ENH was creeping farther west with each update?
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2226319 · Replies: · Views: 8,533

jdrenken
Posted on: Apr 17 2017, 06:42 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: SuperModerator
Posts: 37,822
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521


Some #organicforecasting tidbits

https://twitter.com/KOPNFMRADIOWX/status/853855437833326592
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2226217 · Replies: · Views: 8,533

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