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Lake effect
Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Barrie
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Joined: 17-December 12
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Local Time: Jan 23 2018, 04:33 PM
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Lake effect

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7 Jan 2018
18Z GFS giving over 40cms for the GHTA, Ottawa and points East.

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_22.png ( 199.19K ) Number of downloads: 6


Attached File  gfs_asnowd24_us_21.png ( 99.1K ) Number of downloads: 11


Attached File  gfs_asnowd24_us_23__1_.png ( 96.51K ) Number of downloads: 1


Attached File  gfs_asnow_secan_29.png ( 127.9K ) Number of downloads: 4
15 Dec 2017
Might as well get this one started as it has been in the models all week, and will determine what the landscape looks like for Christmas, (and whether I will be spending Christmas here or in the UK!). It has been flip-flopping between mostly snow, to a messy mix. It now seems to be starting as rain, with a switch over giving varying amounts of snow, but still lots of time to run on this.

06z OP GFS:

hr 168

Attached File  06_GFS_hr_168.png ( 190.22K ) Number of downloads: 3


hr 180

Attached File  06_GFS_hr_180.png ( 193.95K ) Number of downloads: 1


hr 192
Attached File  06_GFS_hr_192.png ( 192.22K ) Number of downloads: 2


The East

Attached File  NF_map.png ( 159.23K ) Number of downloads: 1


snow depth change

Attached File  snow_depth_change.png ( 148.38K ) Number of downloads: 10


GFS ensembles

Attached File  ooZ_15th_ensembles.gif ( 128.25K ) Number of downloads: 3


mean GFS ensemble

Attached File  GFS_ensemble_mean.png ( 114.06K ) Number of downloads: 1


Euro ensemble

Attached File  ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_9.png ( 121.92K ) Number of downloads: 3
13 Dec 2017
Seeing as the current LES thread expires this week, thought I'd start a new one. This one has me really excited for this area (Barrie), and it's been in the models a few days. I'm liking the look of it with plenty of NW winds in it, and the potential for the setting up of strong stable squalls penetrating over 100kms inland and dropping 30-50cms on some locales. Maps will no doubt materialize as this one nears (followed by potential for big storm).


Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png ( 199.36K ) Number of downloads: 6

2 Sep 2017
Thought I'd start this in case the run below, this morning's GFS, transpires. Would be a very damaging scenario for Ottawa/Montreal, and other parts, if it does. Serious flooding and damaging winds. Will more likely head up the coast than come inland like this, but that could be nasty for NS and St John's.

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_34.png ( 166.33K ) Number of downloads: 4
8 Feb 2017
This is looking better every day on the GFS. They have been rock solid with this, as were they with yesterdays storm, so feel this one may well lift our spirits:

Friday evening:

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_11.png ( 186.43K ) Number of downloads: 3


Total snowfall...looks like a solid 5-10 cms for many in southern and central Ontario.

Attached File  gfs_asnow_neus_13.png ( 147.94K ) Number of downloads: 8
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