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> Jan. 12th-13th MidAtl/NE Winter Storm OBS, Last Minute Forecasts - Observations
NorEaster07
post Jan 12 2018, 06:51 AM
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I know, so many threads... but we have precip going on now. Rain will change to Ice, Sleet and Snow for some..

QUOTE
National Weather Service State College PA
558 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A slow moving cold front will push southeast into Pennsylvania
today. A developing wave of low pressure on the front will track
across southeast Pa late tonight.


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NAM3km future radar loop. Now till Saturday 13th evening





This post has been edited by NorEaster07: Jan 12 2018, 06:56 AM
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NorEaster07
post Jan 12 2018, 06:53 AM
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Couple Accu Graphics

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JDClapper
post Jan 12 2018, 06:57 AM
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59 here... 6z NAM already busted 7 degrees low, GFS 2 degrees. How does that factor later? Does it factor at all? I will know tomorrow morning for sure.


--------------------
Avg. Snowfall 2001-2017: 34Ό"

Current Season: 22Ύ"

Last Season: 2016-2017 = 44"

Best Season: 2002-2003 = 63"

Worst Season: 2015-2016 = 7Ό"

Largest Storm: 3/14/2017 = 17½"


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Undertakerson
post Jan 12 2018, 06:58 AM
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I was wondering why no obsx thread opened earlier.

58F IMBY as the tropical feed produces waves of wind driven rain and showers. That has seemed to mostly move off to the east and my zones should lull for a good while before late afternoon to evening starts up again as the prefrontal precip moves in.


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NorEaster07
post Jan 12 2018, 07:05 AM
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Current Map.. 60s in parts of PA and CT now.

It's foggy outside with sounds of drips everywhere. Wicked cold front coming. Seeing rapid temp drop and 40-50 degree cooler vs previous 24hrs.

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NorEaster07
post Jan 12 2018, 07:12 AM
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Actually I think Hartford reading is bad. But wow at Allentown.


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stretchct
post Jan 12 2018, 07:13 AM
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40f. Dense fog. 4-5 inches of snow left.

Edit. Correction on the temp. Now 50. It was 40 a half hr ago.

This post has been edited by stretchct: Jan 12 2018, 07:18 AM


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8°
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2°
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77°
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 12 2018, 07:22 AM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Jan 12 2018, 07:13 AM) *
40f. Dense fog. 4-5 inches of snow left.

Edit. Correction on the temp. Now 50. It was 40 a half hr ago.

all my snow is gone. I had some left before I went to bed, but either someone stole it from my yard or it melted.
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plowxpress
post Jan 12 2018, 07:27 AM
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Reporting from the Lehigh Valley. Current temp 63°, yes you read that right and rain. That's almost a 60° swing from last Friday ohmy.gif ohmy.gif
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NorEaster07
post Jan 12 2018, 07:31 AM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Jan 12 2018, 07:13 AM) *
40f. Dense fog. 4-5 inches of snow left.

Edit. Correction on the temp. Now 50. It was 40 a half hr ago.


Temp at 43° here but I just felt a hot wind while outside. Rising fast.

My snowpack now under 3" and there's Fog everywhere.

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Mike W IN herkim...
post Jan 12 2018, 07:35 AM
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Kbuf went from a track up the spine of the apps to a dc to nyc storm track..

This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Jan 12 2018, 07:36 AM


--------------------
Seasonal Snowfall 95/96-Current
2017-2018 Snowfall 172.3”(as of 3/17)
2016-2017 Snowfall 160.2”
2015-2016 Snowfall 106.2”
Source

Top 6 snowiest winters of the past 20 years

1)95/96- 273.9"
2)03/04- 255.4"
3)10/11- 247.3"
4)00/01- 244.0"
5)06/07- 232.6"
6)02/03- 226.1”
My PWS
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wtkidz
post Jan 12 2018, 07:48 AM
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62 dark and showers.. enough said.


--------------------
The weather is what it is and nothing will change it
but trying to forecast it is a lot of fun.



It’s Meteorology NOT Modelology
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telejunkie
post Jan 12 2018, 08:04 AM
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Got a moderate inversion going here this morning with some light fog development. Temp at 44F here in the valley with 50s being observed in higher elevations...just waiting for the rain to get going

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Jan 12 2018, 08:05 AM


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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Supertyphoon
post Jan 12 2018, 08:21 AM
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So quiet in here. Guess up state NY and NW New England isn't in the interest zone of many and/or high enough priority to discuss here. I'm watching!!


--------------------
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Forecast Challenge 2017-18 update:

Later this season!
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WhiteChristmas
post Jan 12 2018, 08:22 AM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Jan 12 2018, 07:22 AM) *
all my snow is gone. I had some left before I went to bed, but either someone stole it from my yard or it melted.

You think this storm will be a joke as usual for NEPA?


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MD Blue Ridge
post Jan 12 2018, 08:22 AM
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QUOTE(Supertyphoon @ Jan 12 2018, 08:21 AM) *
So quiet in here. Guess up state NY and NW New England isn't in the interest zone of many and/or high enough priority to discuss here. I'm watching!!


I'll be in here bruh. Inland storms just don't break the thread count bank.


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
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StormFreak
post Jan 12 2018, 08:25 AM
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I'm here since this could be our best storm for Pittsburgh in years, but I know we aren't as well represented on this board as we are those NE/MW in-betweeners...


--------------------
Josh M
Pittsburgh, PA
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geeter1
post Jan 12 2018, 08:27 AM
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Rain and 62F here.
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Supertyphoon
post Jan 12 2018, 08:34 AM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 12 2018, 08:22 AM) *
I'll be in here bruh. Inland storms just don't break the thread count bank.


Apparently they don't. You expecting anything at your elevation besides liquid?


--------------------
On the left...
Back to the Rockers....the best!

Davis Weather Station my backyard in Ashburn: www.stormysweather.com/WxFlash

Forecast Challenge 2017-18 update:

Later this season!
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Supertyphoon
post Jan 12 2018, 08:34 AM
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QUOTE(StormFreak @ Jan 12 2018, 08:25 AM) *
I'm here since this could be our best storm for Pittsburgh in years, but I know we aren't as well represented on this board as we are those NE/MW in-betweeners...


Always welcome. Another target to convert to the Caps.


--------------------
On the left...
Back to the Rockers....the best!

Davis Weather Station my backyard in Ashburn: www.stormysweather.com/WxFlash

Forecast Challenge 2017-18 update:

Later this season!
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