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> March 12-14 Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm OBS, Post last minute forecasts and OBS
JymGanahlRocks
post Mar 8 2017, 08:54 PM
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QUOTE(Southern Missouri Snow Fan @ Mar 8 2017, 08:22 PM) *
Would u care to post the ones showing southern MO for the rest of the winter when u post these? Money was tight and we've had no winter here basically since December so I cancelled my wb early this year sad.gif


Those GEFS images are free...here you go: link
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Juniorrr
post Mar 8 2017, 09:10 PM
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QUOTE(Southern Missouri Snow Fan @ Mar 8 2017, 08:22 PM) *
Would u care to post the ones showing southern MO for the rest of the winter when u post these? Money was tight and we've had no winter here basically since December so I cancelled my wb early this year sad.gif

Sure, I'll just post the whole CONUS since they don't have an option that covers our entire region without posting 3 images laugh.gif
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 8 2017, 09:32 PM
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QUOTE(Southern Missouri Snow Fan @ Mar 8 2017, 08:20 PM) *
Yes,that would be just awful considering all,the riches of the 2 inches of snow that has piled up here so far this winter ... MO needs to spread the wealth of our overabundance of snow this summer... I mean,winter ... blink.gif

Two back to back 4-6" storms Missouri would instantly put the entire threads winter to shame lol
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Southern Missour...
post Mar 8 2017, 10:06 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Mar 8 2017, 10:32 PM) *
Two back to back 4-6" storms Missouri would instantly put the entire threads winter to shame lol


True laugh.gif
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Southern Missour...
post Mar 8 2017, 10:07 PM
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QUOTE(JymGanahlRocks @ Mar 8 2017, 09:54 PM) *
Those GEFS images are free...here you go: link


Thanks! I've been so out of winter mode here with no winter I forgot about those!
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Southern Missour...
post Mar 8 2017, 10:07 PM
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QUOTE(Juniorrr @ Mar 8 2017, 10:10 PM) *
Sure, I'll just post the whole CONUS since they don't have an option that covers our entire region without posting 3 images laugh.gif


Thanks 😂
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snowlover2
post Mar 8 2017, 11:19 PM
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0z GFS a little farther south.


--------------------
First Flakes: 10/28/17

First 1"+ of Snow:2.0" 12/9/17

Biggest Snowfall:4.5" 2/7/18

# of Winter Storm Watches:1

# of Winter Storm Warnings:
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 9 2017, 05:16 AM
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Closer we get this is starting to suffer the same fate....weaker, South, suppressed followed by coastal bomb. The ecm is pretty bare bones until you get to the NE
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 9 2017, 05:20 AM
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6z brings some strength back quick enough east for the OV
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snowlover2
post Mar 9 2017, 05:26 AM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Mar 9 2017, 05:20 AM) *
6z brings some strength back quick enough east for the OV

Much better than what 0z had.


--------------------
First Flakes: 10/28/17

First 1"+ of Snow:2.0" 12/9/17

Biggest Snowfall:4.5" 2/7/18

# of Winter Storm Watches:1

# of Winter Storm Warnings:
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Juniorrr
post Mar 9 2017, 11:05 AM
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I've noticed this system has sped up on the GFS, maybe why the less bombtastic solutions until way out into the ATL atm.

This post has been edited by Juniorrr: Mar 9 2017, 11:08 AM
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 9 2017, 11:14 AM
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12z looks good again...slowest moving winter storm we would get here in quite some time....I'd welcome it with open arms and embrace it for its entire duration laugh.gif
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JymGanahlRocks
post Mar 9 2017, 11:15 AM
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Sign me up!


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Juniorrr
post Mar 9 2017, 11:17 AM
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The only thing saving us is the strong Canadian vort, while the PAC energy storms off the coast. Lets hope for a cutoff for extra love.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 9 2017, 11:19 AM
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theres actually a "wave 4" that hits the MW/Plains before dying off
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StL weatherjunki...
post Mar 9 2017, 11:33 AM
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Assuming the GFS is a perfect model and no melt occurs then I'm poised to quintuple my winter season snowfall ... during the 2nd week of March. About half the expected snow comes from this clipper event, which looks like a great noreaster ... I think I'm going to move to northern NE eventually ...
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--------------------
All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and to appropriately communicate the forecast to the users.

Fervent supporter of the idea to make GFS output beyond hour 168 proprietary! Anyone wanting to post/share/tweet/etc GFS output beyond day 7 should have 1) a limited set of graphics available with the option to 2) contribute a nominal fee to get a full suite of products while improving future GFS output. #EURObusinessfor-the-win
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VASnowstormHunte...
post Mar 9 2017, 11:35 AM
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QUOTE(JymGanahlRocks @ Mar 9 2017, 11:15 AM) *
Sign me up!


Actually more excited for this potential than I was for the Saturday event when it existed.

By Tuesday, most in the forum will have had 3 cold days/nights. That should help take some of the heat out of the ground, which was going to be a rather large inhibiting factor for wave 2.
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StL weatherjunki...
post Mar 9 2017, 11:53 AM
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QUOTE(VASnowstormHunter @ Mar 9 2017, 12:35 PM) *
Actually more excited for this potential than I was for the Saturday event when it existed.

By Tuesday, most in the forum will have had 3 cold days/nights. That should help take some of the heat out of the ground, which was going to be a rather large inhibiting factor for wave 2.

Cooler air temperatures will help, but I'm not sure they will be enough given the strong March sun angle. At this time of year accumulations largely depend on whether the heaviest snow falls during the day or night.


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All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and to appropriately communicate the forecast to the users.

Fervent supporter of the idea to make GFS output beyond hour 168 proprietary! Anyone wanting to post/share/tweet/etc GFS output beyond day 7 should have 1) a limited set of graphics available with the option to 2) contribute a nominal fee to get a full suite of products while improving future GFS output. #EURObusinessfor-the-win
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 9 2017, 12:18 PM
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CMC is more of just a cold blooded Miller A...luckily its the CMC
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VASnowstormHunte...
post Mar 9 2017, 01:19 PM
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QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Mar 9 2017, 11:53 AM) *
Cooler air temperatures will help, but I'm not sure they will be enough given the strong March sun angle. At this time of year accumulations largely depend on whether the heaviest snow falls during the day or night.


Absolutely, but to your point, I'll take all the help any of us can get to mitigate inhibiting factors. smile.gif

Mid March sun angle is brutal for most south of 43-44N
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