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> March 9-18 GL/MW/OV/Plains Cold Spell, Forecast, Discussion, and Observations
OhioBlizzard
post Mar 9 2017, 02:41 PM
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As infrequent as below average temperatures have been this winter, I figured this upcoming cold spell certainly warranted a thread. 12z GFS weekend high temps below.

This post has been edited by OhioBlizzard: Mar 18 2017, 03:25 PM
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--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
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OSUWx2
post Mar 9 2017, 02:49 PM
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No offense to you Blizzard, but this is the worst thread possible. This coming week might put me in a worse mood than no-snow all of winter. Lots of factors at play here:
-Ready for spring since it's mid-March
-+7.2F temps for January
-+9.4F temps for February
-Now it's March, it decides to get cold
-Significant snow chances likely fleeting
-Deficit of 16" of snow for the season only to get worse

/rant
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 9 2017, 02:53 PM
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As I mentioned in another thread, this cold spell will be more sustained and significant than at any point in February IMBY, and quite possibly going all the way back to early January. Never thought I would be saying that about a mid-March cold spell.

Point and click for my location is below. Highs in the mid-20s to near 30 and lows in the mid teens for the next week as temps are currently progged to remain below freezing here through next Thursday (starting tomorrow).

I know I'm in the vast minority at this point (and maybe the only one), but after this brutal "winter" I'm looking very much forward to some colder weather. smile.gif
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--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
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JoeyD
post Mar 9 2017, 06:53 PM
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QUOTE(OhioBlizzard @ Mar 9 2017, 02:53 PM) *
I know I'm in the vast minority at this point (and maybe the only one), but after this brutal "winter" I'm looking very much forward to some colder weather. smile.gif


I'm sure there are some others out there. wink.gif

Other than liking the snow chances, I'm hoping this cold slows down the trees. I would hate to have budding/blossoming progress to be hit by an April freeze.


--------------------
It's all relative...especially the weather.
Residing 1235' up a north facing slope, where the highs are low and the lows are high.
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 11 2017, 04:52 PM
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Low of 12 this morning imby and stuck in the low to mid 20s all afternoon here. Certainly not unheard of for mid-March, but chilly nonetheless.


--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
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RobB
post Mar 11 2017, 05:38 PM
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35.6 was my high and the low this morning was a chilly 20 degrees on the button.
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RobB
post Mar 12 2017, 08:08 AM
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This morning's low IMBY was 20.3 degrees.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 12 2017, 12:44 PM
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forecast lows of 14 and 15 respectively tues-wed blink.gif who knows with clear skies and snow cover pending...could make a run at singles

14 and 15 is actually based on cloudy skies so no doubt if they could clear

This post has been edited by ohiobuckeye45: Mar 12 2017, 12:44 PM
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RobB
post Mar 12 2017, 12:47 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Mar 12 2017, 01:44 PM) *
forecast lows of 14 and 15 respectively tues-wed blink.gif who knows with clear skies and snow cover pending...could make a run at singles

14 and 15 is actually based on cloudy skies so no doubt if they could clear



Quite chilly indeed. Who would have thought that my lawn mowing would be delayed some after such warm January and especially February..
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 14 2017, 01:07 PM
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Current temp IMBY is holding steady at 21 F. Pretty solid for mid March.


--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
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RobB
post Mar 14 2017, 01:15 PM
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QUOTE(OhioBlizzard @ Mar 14 2017, 02:07 PM) *
Current temp IMBY is holding steady at 21 F. Pretty solid for mid March.



27.1 currently though was at 28.6 a while ago. Pretty impressive down here in ole SW Ohio.

20.1 was the low. My place has been darn consistent with 20 degree mornings. 3 out of the last 4 days..
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 14 2017, 01:28 PM
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QUOTE(OSUWx2 @ Mar 9 2017, 03:49 PM) *
No offense to you Blizzard, but this is the worst thread possible. This coming week might put me in a worse mood than no-snow all of winter. Lots of factors at play here:
-Ready for spring since it's mid-March
-+7.2F temps for January
-+9.4F temps for February
-Now it's March, it decides to get cold
-Significant snow chances likely fleeting
-Deficit of 16" of snow for the season only to get worse

/rant

Oh none taken, but I respectfully disagree. March and April are my least favorite time of year due to the transition from winter to Spring which can bring significant snow here, but also bring along the arrival of mud season. I absolutely dread mud season having dogs, so a nice cold spell this time of year to keep frost in the ground makes things a lot easier in that aspect.

If I were a bit farther south were I could get consistent Spring like weather this time of year, I would probably be more-so in Spring mode. But generally speaking what I consider nice Spring weather for my location is typically a ways down the pike, so I'd rather have cold at this point. I was in cbus not long ago and the grass was green and looked like in needed mowed in spots, so I see where you are coming from though in terms of mindset.

QUOTE(JoeyD @ Mar 9 2017, 07:53 PM) *
I'm sure there are some others out there. wink.gif

Other than liking the snow chances, I'm hoping this cold slows down the trees. I would hate to have budding/blossoming progress to be hit by an April freeze.

True. I probably could have phrased that better. It seems like most posters this time of year are fine with colder temps if it is accompanied by snow. If not, I think most folks are ready to move on however. I would take it even without snow however. Like you said, we needed this to slow things down, which it certainly did. Otherwise we could possibly have been mowing come the beginning of April or even late March. I'm certainly not ready for that early of a start.

This post has been edited by OhioBlizzard: Mar 14 2017, 01:30 PM


--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 14 2017, 01:36 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Mar 14 2017, 02:15 PM) *
27.1 currently though was at 28.6 a while ago. Pretty impressive down here in ole SW Ohio.

20.1 was the low. My place has been darn consistent with 20 degree mornings. 3 out of the last 4 days..

Yeah that is quite impressive for mid-March. Some pretty significant departures for sure. It looks like you probably will break that streak as you go a bit lower tonight.


--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
Go to the top of the page
 
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RobB
post Mar 14 2017, 01:38 PM
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From: Dayton, Ohio
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QUOTE(OhioBlizzard @ Mar 14 2017, 02:36 PM) *
Yeah that is quite impressive for mid-March. Some pretty significant departures for sure. It looks like you probably will break that streak as you go a bit lower tonight.



Indeed. I wish these anomalies were in January and early February instead smile.gif
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 14 2017, 01:46 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Mar 14 2017, 02:38 PM) *
Indeed. I wish these anomalies were in January and early February instead smile.gif

Sure would have made for an impressive cold spell!


--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
Go to the top of the page
 
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ncinthenext3
post Mar 14 2017, 01:48 PM
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Looks like we should extend the dates on this thread past the 16th.....yuck


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If it doesn't snow enough to shut it all down, it might as well be Summer!

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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 14 2017, 07:34 PM
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Just your typical mid-March evening. Wind chill here is currently +1. Just got inside, its pretty brutal out there, whether going by March or January standards.

This post has been edited by OhioBlizzard: Mar 14 2017, 07:35 PM
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--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
Go to the top of the page
 
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RobB
post Mar 15 2017, 09:22 AM
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From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16





Had a low of 16.3 this morning. Here are my March stats that include this cold time period.

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for MAR. 2017

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  52.2  61.8   1:15a  37.4  11:52p  12.5   0.0  1.22   6.4  33.0  10:19p   WNW
2  36.3  41.4   3:55p  30.5  11:56p  28.3   0.0  0.00   4.5  22.0  12:07a   WNW
3  30.0  35.7   2:15p  24.5  11:32p  34.9   0.0  0.00   2.8  19.0  12:15p   WNW
4  29.5  36.7   4:11p  23.7   1:27a  34.3   0.0  0.01   1.5  12.0   3:16p     E
5  46.0  63.5   4:10p  29.5   7:17a  18.7   0.0  0.00   1.9  14.0   2:54p     S
6  54.3  58.2  11:50p  50.5  10:02a  10.4   0.0  0.34   4.0  21.0  12:37a     S
7  53.3  59.9   4:41a  40.3  11:59p  11.5   0.0  0.49   3.8  21.0   6:45a     S
8  48.7  59.0   3:14p  40.1  12:08a  15.9   0.0  0.00   4.2  32.0  12:22p   WSW
9  47.7  66.6   3:24p  31.1   7:10a  17.0   0.0  0.15   1.9  17.0   7:36p     N
10  34.2  39.9   3:08p  23.3  11:54p  30.4   0.0  0.05   5.4  24.0   1:23p     N
11  27.2  35.6   2:58p  20.0   6:46a  36.7   0.0  0.00   2.4  16.0  12:45a     N
12  28.2  36.1   4:26p  20.3   7:53a  35.1   0.0  0.00   1.8  12.0   1:39a     N
13  30.5  38.1   2:11p  26.4   8:05a  34.0   0.0  0.00   1.6  13.0  10:30p     N
14  23.7  28.6   1:05p  19.7  11:47p  40.3   0.0  0.02   6.0  25.0   1:37p     N
15  17.8  23.6  10:20a  16.3   5:59a  19.8   0.0  0.00   2.2  18.0  10:12a   WNW
16
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    37.3  66.6     9    16.3    15   379.8   0.0  2.28   3.4  33.0     1       N

Max >=  90.0:  0
Max <=  32.0:  2
Min <=  32.0: 11
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 1.22 ON 03/01/17
Days of Rain: 6 (>.01 in) 4 (>.1 in) 1 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration

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RobB
post Mar 16 2017, 07:30 AM
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Hit a low of 17 on the nose this morning IMBY.
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OhioBlizzard
post Mar 16 2017, 08:47 AM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Mar 15 2017, 10:22 AM) *
Had a low of 16.3 this morning. Here are my March stats that include this cold time period.

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for MAR. 2017

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  52.2  61.8   1:15a  37.4  11:52p  12.5   0.0  1.22   6.4  33.0  10:19p   WNW
2  36.3  41.4   3:55p  30.5  11:56p  28.3   0.0  0.00   4.5  22.0  12:07a   WNW
3  30.0  35.7   2:15p  24.5  11:32p  34.9   0.0  0.00   2.8  19.0  12:15p   WNW
4  29.5  36.7   4:11p  23.7   1:27a  34.3   0.0  0.01   1.5  12.0   3:16p     E
5  46.0  63.5   4:10p  29.5   7:17a  18.7   0.0  0.00   1.9  14.0   2:54p     S
6  54.3  58.2  11:50p  50.5  10:02a  10.4   0.0  0.34   4.0  21.0  12:37a     S
7  53.3  59.9   4:41a  40.3  11:59p  11.5   0.0  0.49   3.8  21.0   6:45a     S
8  48.7  59.0   3:14p  40.1  12:08a  15.9   0.0  0.00   4.2  32.0  12:22p   WSW
9  47.7  66.6   3:24p  31.1   7:10a  17.0   0.0  0.15   1.9  17.0   7:36p     N
10  34.2  39.9   3:08p  23.3  11:54p  30.4   0.0  0.05   5.4  24.0   1:23p     N
11  27.2  35.6   2:58p  20.0   6:46a  36.7   0.0  0.00   2.4  16.0  12:45a     N
12  28.2  36.1   4:26p  20.3   7:53a  35.1   0.0  0.00   1.8  12.0   1:39a     N
13  30.5  38.1   2:11p  26.4   8:05a  34.0   0.0  0.00   1.6  13.0  10:30p     N
14  23.7  28.6   1:05p  19.7  11:47p  40.3   0.0  0.02   6.0  25.0   1:37p     N
15  17.8  23.6  10:20a  16.3   5:59a  19.8   0.0  0.00   2.2  18.0  10:12a   WNW
16
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-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    37.3  66.6     9    16.3    15   379.8   0.0  2.28   3.4  33.0     1       N

Max >=  90.0:  0
Max <=  32.0:  2
Min <=  32.0: 11
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 1.22 ON 03/01/17
Days of Rain: 6 (>.01 in) 4 (>.1 in) 1 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration


Thanks for sharing!


--------------------
Great Lakes Lifer. Lake Effect Enthusiast. Earth's Most Unique Subregion. ...Its the Lake Effect.

Average Seasonal Snowfall IMBY: 92.3"
Updated for 2016-2017: Last Update 10-28-2016
2016-2017 Winter Total Thus Far: 0.0"
Current Snow Depth: 0"

Significant Events:

2015-2016 Winter Total: 52.3"
2013-2014 Winter Total: 97.5" --------------- 2014-2015 Winter Total: 72.0"
2011-2012 Winter Total: 56.0" --------------- 2012-2013 Winter Total: 64.2"
2009-2010 Winter Total: 91.1" --------------- 2010-2011 Winter Total: 130.0"

Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! "A Year To Remember"
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851
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