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> January 11-14 Plains/MW/OV Winter Storm OBS, OBS Thread For Latest Models & OBS
RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 09:23 AM
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Well that was fun...Not smile.gif
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 11 2018, 09:24 AM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 11 2018, 09:23 AM) *
Well that was fun...Not smile.gif

im in disbelief how bad that run was, even more than last nights GFS
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 09:24 AM
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Current look. Well, all one can do is hope for some surprises...I am in until the end!
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 09:25 AM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 11 2018, 09:24 AM) *
im in disbelief how bad that run was, even more than last nights GFS



When I saw my SREF means lower I wasn't liking the potential dwindling of the NAM. Heck, I had quite a few members give me 0 inches. That would really be something.
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ValpoSnow
post Jan 11 2018, 09:25 AM
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NAM doesn't even want me to have LES.
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Kuotations
post Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM
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The NAM must be dancing to this song when it comes to snow amounts and axis of snow: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gYE5TyijxE
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BuckeyeDiva
post Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM
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The 3K NAM, for what it's worth, still appears a bit slower and stronger.


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"Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning." (George Carlin)
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ncinthenext3
post Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM
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This storm just proves that it stinks to be in the bullseye 3-4 days out. Snowfall totals that would have been the largest in my lifetime just vaporize. Clown maps! Oh well, on to nowcasting. Let's see where this goes. Take your best shot Hunter.


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If it doesn't snow enough to shut it all down, it might as well be Summer!

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Kokomo1
post Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM
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One of the better runs for me since this went wagons east.
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Solution Man
post Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM
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Quick flash freeze here now sleet and snow covering everything
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JymGanahlRocks
post Jan 11 2018, 09:29 AM
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Brings me to the question I've asked so many times in the past...Why do I even look at models over 72 hours before the storm? LOL - they are awful with important details until close range is upon us. Can't believe I wasted so much time the last few days tracking this weak mess.
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ncinthenext3
post Jan 11 2018, 09:30 AM
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QUOTE(JymGanahlRocks @ Jan 11 2018, 09:29 AM) *
Brings me to the question I've asked so many times in the past...Why do I even look at models over 72 hours before the storm? LOL - they are awful with important details until close range is upon us. Can't believe I wasted so much time the last few days tracking this weak mess.


I can answer!! Because it's fun, and you would've been able to say you knew what was coming. Heck, you still can.


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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 09:32 AM
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QUOTE(Solution Man @ Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM) *
Quick flash freeze here now sleet and snow covering everything



Stay safe!

We do have to remember that no matter how this system turns out, it is going to be bad driving conditions with these flash freezes and frozen precip.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 11 2018, 09:32 AM
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it looks like this run of the NAM finds a warm layer that lasts much longer that prior runs and other models leading to its disaster

This post has been edited by ohiobuckeye45: Jan 11 2018, 09:32 AM
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adurb44
post Jan 11 2018, 09:32 AM
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QUOTE(BuckeyeDiva @ Jan 11 2018, 09:27 AM) *
The 3K NAM, for what it's worth, still appears a bit slower and stronger.


Yep, definitely looks better. We'll see. This will be fun nowcasting. I'm just hoping for a solid 4 inches.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 11 2018, 09:33 AM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 11 2018, 09:32 AM) *
it looks like this run of the NAM finds a warm layer that lasts much longer that prior runs and other models leading to its disaster

nearly 4'' of sleet.....wtf for real.
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 09:34 AM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 11 2018, 09:33 AM) *
nearly 4'' of sleet.....wtf for real.



Ouch!
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adurb44
post Jan 11 2018, 09:35 AM
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The interesting thing about this run is the speed differences. Cranky highlighted this in his outlook on the storm.
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BuckeyeDiva
post Jan 11 2018, 09:41 AM
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Much different.


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ingyball
post Jan 11 2018, 09:41 AM
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Are you guys manually calculating sleet? Or is there a map for that.
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