Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

2 Pages V   1 2 >  
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> January 23rd to 25th Snowstorm
nin05
post Jan 16 2009, 07:43 PM
Post #1




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 55
Joined: 15-December 08
From: Wasaga Beach, ON
Member No.: 16,493





I know it's super early, but any opinions from the experts on what the GFS is showing for these days?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Jan 17 2009, 12:04 AM
Post #2




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,928
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





GFS is showing a storm during this period. Recent models would translate into 15-25cm near Lake Ontario and Erie with 10-20cm for areas south of Georgian bay. Its still WAY to early to begin estimating accumulations. If this storm is still on the models by Monday then we have something to work with. There is several opportunities for big storms over the next 3 weeks because of the huge dome of cold air in place plus the warm Gulf air slowly trying to spread north. Between the two air masses (-20C VS +25C) is the storm zone. Southern Ontario will fall into this zone especially in the last week of January and into much of February. The next 6 weeks will be VERY active over Southern Ontario.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
theyoungweatherm...
post Jan 17 2009, 07:48 AM
Post #3




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,448
Joined: 31-January 08
From: toronto, ontario
Member No.: 13,371





it looks like the pattern this year. Active/Snowy VS Cold/Clippers/LES

Its either we have alot of storms tracking our way for a few weeks(with us mostly on the snow side). Or extreme arctic cold with Constant clippers an lake effect snow.

Both is good in my books laugh.gif

onto this storm. I think the models are extraggerating on the cold air on the 00z GFS and I expect a warmer and further north track than what is showing, which means must of Southern Ontario is in mixing or at least some rain. Still early though, but thats my thinking right now.

This post has been edited by theyoungweatherman: Jan 17 2009, 07:50 AM


--------------------
Southern Ontario(and Quebec) weather blog!

http://weatherintoronto.blogspot.com/
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jan 17 2009, 09:35 AM
Post #4







Guests








QUOTE(travis3000 @ Jan 17 2009, 01:04 AM) *
GFS is showing a storm during this period. Recent models would translate into 15-25cm near Lake Ontario and Erie with 10-20cm for areas south of Georgian bay. Its still WAY to early to begin estimating accumulations. If this storm is still on the models by Monday then we have something to work with. There is several opportunities for big storms over the next 3 weeks because of the huge dome of cold air in place plus the warm Gulf air slowly trying to spread north. Between the two air masses (-20C VS +25C) is the storm zone. Southern Ontario will fall into this zone especially in the last week of January and into much of February. The next 6 weeks will be VERY active over Southern Ontario.


Way to early to talk about total. Track could change easily. There will be a high pressure off the coast which could allow for a SW wind, or the high pressure wil move away, and we get a E TO NE wind. But the pattern looks very active, each of these storm will bring a shot of colder air. So far here are the totals for Toronto:

November: 14cm
December: 66cm
January so far: 37cm ( Last January only 23cm the whole month)
Total: 117cm ( Average-125cm)

This post has been edited by Snowstorms: Jan 17 2009, 09:38 AM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jan 17 2009, 09:46 AM
Post #5







Guests








It is a colorado low, so it can track any direction
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jan 17 2009, 05:44 PM
Post #6







Guests








Models havent rely gotten the totals, but giving me a estimate of 10cm right now. Remeber it could be more or less, tracking of the lows determines it all.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jan 18 2009, 10:16 AM
Post #7







Guests








y isnt anyone talking about this Low, this is pretty strong.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jan 18 2009, 10:29 AM
Post #8







Guests








It loooks like a Snowstorm.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
theyoungweatherm...
post Jan 18 2009, 10:32 AM
Post #9




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,448
Joined: 31-January 08
From: toronto, ontario
Member No.: 13,371





the storm disappeared on the last few runs.. and no other models shows it.


--------------------
Southern Ontario(and Quebec) weather blog!

http://weatherintoronto.blogspot.com/
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
yulegill
post Jan 18 2009, 10:37 AM
Post #10




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 82
Joined: 28-January 08
From: Toronto,Ontario,Canada
Member No.: 13,270





Your right about this storm it came and now the cleanup begins
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
sumdude86
post Jan 18 2009, 11:10 AM
Post #11




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,457
Joined: 5-March 08
From: St.Thomas
Member No.: 14,163





I love snow but i really don't need anymore its getting to be too much i mean im near or at 2 feet on the ground already
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Weather X
post Jan 18 2009, 02:09 PM
Post #12




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,281
Joined: 26-January 08
From: Toronto
Member No.: 13,145





The more the merrier
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Removed_Member_Snowstorms_*
post Jan 18 2009, 04:39 PM
Post #13







Guests








This storm might come, track keeps changing as the models keep changing we will know for sure by Tuesday.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
kitfoxflyer
post Jan 18 2009, 04:45 PM
Post #14




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 335
Joined: 15-February 08
From: Ilderton Ontario
Member No.: 13,711





QUOTE(sumdude86 @ Jan 18 2009, 12:10 PM) *
I love snow but i really don't need anymore its getting to be too much i mean im near or at 2 feet on the ground already



Quite unusal for St Thomas. Here is our place just outside London in 2006 . You complain about 2 feet after a few weeks ? We had 3 feet overnight smile.gif and was all gone 6 days later.
http://cfisher.com/decsnow/

Dec 2006 3 feet of snow overnight

The next day after that snow i did a video flying from our runways ..
Skiflying in 3 feet of snow CFisher.com




--------------------
Snow coming - PLOW time Video Plow in Action
even some Weather links :-)
http://www.cfisher.com/
Movies from TNT to airplane flying to Tornado damages
http://www.youtube.com/profile_videos?user=kitfoxflyer
Twitter- Join the crowd
https://twitter.com/kitfoxflyer
Live weather from our airstrip
Ilderton London Ontario
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jody
post Jan 18 2009, 07:57 PM
Post #15




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 414
Joined: 10-February 08
From: N. shore Lake Erie
Member No.: 13,585





Hey, Kitfoxflyer....Did you happen to see A Channel weather tonight? They said "heavy flurries from a Colorado low on Thursday". I don't think we've ever had "heavy flurries" from a Colorado low. Usually that is called a "storm".
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Weather X
post Jan 18 2009, 08:04 PM
Post #16




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,281
Joined: 26-January 08
From: Toronto
Member No.: 13,145





QUOTE(Jody @ Jan 18 2009, 08:57 PM) *
Hey, Kitfoxflyer....Did you happen to see A Channel weather tonight? They said "heavy flurries from a Colorado low on Thursday". I don't think we've ever had "heavy flurries" from a Colorado low. Usually that is called a "storm".

the only times i've seen "heavy flurries" when lake effect and snowsqualls are in the forecast, never system snow.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
patuqun
post Jan 18 2009, 09:08 PM
Post #17




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 70
Joined: 7-March 08
From: Ottawa, ON
Member No.: 14,227





QUOTE(kitfoxflyer @ Jan 18 2009, 06:45 PM) *
Quite unusal for St Thomas. Here is our place just outside London in 2006 . You complain about 2 feet after a few weeks ? We had 3 feet overnight smile.gif and was all gone 6 days later.
http://cfisher.com/decsnow/

Dec 2006 3 feet of snow overnight

The next day after that snow i did a video flying from our runways ..
Skiflying in 3 feet of snow CFisher.com


I remember that very clearly. I had done a day trip to Toronto that day with Greyhound. On the way we passed through some squalls...not that bad. On the way back at night...different story. Our bus skid just outside London, and while we waited, I made merry with my phone, taking pictures of the insane snowfall and ignoring the stares! Saw quite a few cars skid every now and then...it was crazy! After about a half an hour wait we were pulled out and managed to make our way back to Windsor without any troubles. It's the first time I ever saw the true power of squall lines...what fun it would be to live in the heart of a snowbelt (apart from the driving issues of course)!

Good thing I wasn't driving then...
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
sumdude86
post Jan 18 2009, 09:37 PM
Post #18




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,457
Joined: 5-March 08
From: St.Thomas
Member No.: 14,163





QUOTE(kitfoxflyer @ Jan 18 2009, 05:45 PM) *
Quite unusal for St Thomas. Here is our place just outside London in 2006 . You complain about 2 feet after a few weeks ? We had 3 feet overnight smile.gif and was all gone 6 days later.
http://cfisher.com/decsnow/

Dec 2006 3 feet of snow overnight

The next day after that snow i did a video flying from our runways ..
Skiflying in 3 feet of snow CFisher.com


Oh yes i remember that day quite well seeing as st thomas ended up with around 50 cm of snow from that as well laugh.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Jan 18 2009, 10:57 PM
Post #19




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,928
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





Models lost the storm for the end of the week. They have been fairly consistent in showing something big towards the end of the month (around the 30th). Even further out we seem to be starting a pattern with more Colorado lows bringing warm air into the Great Lakes which will collide with the cold air in place. As I've stated before...from Jan 30th onwards we will see a new pattern emerge with more storms from the US. This also means warm air will flow into S. Ontario creating a threat of freezing rain, ice and even flooding in extreme Southwestern Ontario.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
hockeynut
post Jan 19 2009, 11:30 AM
Post #20




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 615
Joined: 11-November 08
From: guelph
Member No.: 16,128





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Jan 18 2009, 11:57 PM) *
Models lost the storm for the end of the week. They have been fairly consistent in showing something big towards the end of the month (around the 30th). Even further out we seem to be starting a pattern with more Colorado lows bringing warm air into the Great Lakes which will collide with the cold air in place. As I've stated before...from Jan 30th onwards we will see a new pattern emerge with more storms from the US. This also means warm air will flow into S. Ontario creating a threat of freezing rain, ice and even flooding in extreme Southwestern Ontario.

will that aply for here in guelph or will we have a nother cold month like jan. where do conceder extreme southwestern ont? would guelph be in that part?

thanks

hockeynut
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

2 Pages V   1 2 >
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 22nd July 2018 - 04:45 PM