Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

32 Pages V  « < 22 23 24 25 26 > »   
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> May 12-23 MidAtl/NE Stationary Fronts - Rain | Severe | Flooding Potential, Extended Period Forecasts and Observations
MD Blue Ridge
post May 17 2018, 11:15 AM
Post #461




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 6,968
Joined: 1-February 11
Member No.: 25,332





QUOTE(SnowIn21702 @ May 17 2018, 12:11 PM) *
I will say the creek project is doing its job though. As far as the river guages go, there just aren't that many in the County. Fredericknewspost.com has some articles. The frederick scanner facebook page is also a good place to see videos and pictures.


well thats good. its pretty too.


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 11:24 AM
Post #462




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(LUCC @ May 17 2018, 10:30 AM) *
GFS has this clearing out by Sunday.


QUOTE(STEVE392 @ May 17 2018, 12:06 PM) *
wcbs news 2 is saying the rain is going to stay south of the NYC area tomorrow. Are all models showing this or only the one the met is hugging?


There are conflicting runs in the short term and hi res models, some have a push South, some North, one can only hope this starts to break down. Guess we will have to wait and see how things progress today. Looks like on radar at least it is pushing a bit south and may even clear NYC/LI this afternoon if it continues.

3K has drier air nosing in from NE for today and overnight with weak high pressure, then that departs and the front comes back as warm front for Friday afternoon into Saturday. Steve CBS 2 I think is out to lunch cause tomorrow is the main push of tropical moisture and it will pour from all guidance I have seen. Sunday into Monday we are still in the tropical/moist air mass so daytime heating with popcorn storms are possible anywhere eastern US. The midwest disturbance isn't budging so we need dry air to come from the North to clear this out cause it wont be coming from the West.



--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 11:27 AM
Post #463




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 17 2018, 12:24 PM) *
There are conflicting runs in the short term and hi res models, some have a push South, some North, one can only hope this starts to break down. Guess we will have to wait and see how things progress today. Looks like on radar at least it is pushing a bit south and may even clear NYC/LI this afternoon if it continues.

3K has drier air nosing in from NE for today and overnight with weak high pressure, then that departs and the front comes back as warm front for Friday afternoon into Saturday. Steve CBS 2 I think is out to lunch cause tomorrow is the main push of tropical moisture and it will pour from all guidance I have seen. Sunday into Monday we are still in the tropical/moist air mass so daytime heating with popcorn storms are possible anywhere eastern US. The midwest disturbance isn't budging so we need dry air to come from the North to clear this out cause it wont be coming from the West.


Yeah, the quicker this moves out the better. That NAM loop has just about all precip gone by Sunday, hopefully that pans out. The crazy 8"+ totals talked about the last couple days for this area seem to be dwindling with each model run, hopefully that a trend that continues.


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 11:30 AM
Post #464




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





Boy is it possible to have anything more annoying then that images side bar that covers the posts so I cant read anything? Anyone have the same issue?


Attached Image


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 11:31 AM
Post #465




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 17 2018, 12:30 PM) *
Boy is it possible to have anything more annoying then that images side bar that covers the posts so I cant read anything? Anyone have the same issue?


Attached Image

Yes, don't know if it's a Chrome issue or if other browsers are having same issue. I have also been having issues with wunderground's website too, specifically the radar.


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 11:39 AM
Post #466




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(LUCC @ May 17 2018, 12:31 PM) *
Yes, don't know if it's a Chrome issue or if other browsers are having same issue. I have also been having issues with wunderground's website too, specifically the radar.

I get the same in Opera, Edge and Firefox so its a site issue. Also WU is just a mess very poor front end development on that site, its almost un-browsable (if thats a word) at times. The radar is terrible especially if you have ad block enabled its totally whacked.


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 11:41 AM
Post #467




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 17 2018, 12:39 PM) *
I get the same in Opera, Edge and Firefox so its a site issue. Also WU is just a mess very poor front end development on that site, its almost un-browsable (if thats a word) at times. The radar is terrible especially if you have ad block enabled its totally whacked.

Using Intellicast now, what are you using?


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 11:46 AM
Post #468




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(LUCC @ May 17 2018, 12:41 PM) *
Using Intellicast now, what are you using?


Using DuPage Meteo site for the most part, has a great assortment from models to radars and GOES. I jump all over NWS, WU, Tidbits and Rammb as well.

http://weather.cod.edu

Nice to see this sagging south, rain ready to shut off here, first time in 30 hours. Looks like will stay dry at least into early tomorrow morning.



This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 17 2018, 11:55 AM


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 11:53 AM
Post #469




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 17 2018, 12:46 PM) *
Using DuPage Meteo site for the most part, has a great assortment from models to radars and GOES. I jump all over NWS, WU, Tidbits and Rammb as well.

http://weather.cod.edu

Nice to see this sagging south, rain ready to shut off here, first time in 30 hours. Looks like will stay dry at least into early tomorrow morning.


Yeah, might be able to get our round in this afternoon. cool.gif


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
NorEaster07
post May 17 2018, 12:22 PM
Post #470




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





Last 4hrs with temps. I wish I was in Northern New England this past week. I think Vermont has been warmer and sunnier than here.

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 12:50 PM
Post #471




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(LUCC @ May 17 2018, 12:53 PM) *
Yeah, might be able to get our round in this afternoon. cool.gif


Ugh its soo close! Can see the NE flow from the Northern high over western and central PA but making hardly any inroads EPA to the coast. The flow from the South is strong, we may be right on the dividing line which means wet... sad.gif





--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
phillyfan
post May 17 2018, 12:58 PM
Post #472




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,915
Joined: 13-January 08
From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.)
Member No.: 12,448





Is it me or has the timing for this slowed to an later Friday into Saturday morning. Instead of mostly all day Friday like it was.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MD Blue Ridge
post May 17 2018, 01:03 PM
Post #473




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 6,968
Joined: 1-February 11
Member No.: 25,332





QUOTE(phillyfan @ May 17 2018, 01:58 PM) *
Is it me or has the timing for this slowed to an later Friday into Saturday morning. Instead of mostly all day Friday like it was.


its you.


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 01:04 PM
Post #474




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 17 2018, 01:50 PM) *
Ugh its soo close! Can see the NE flow from the Northern high over western and central PA but making hardly any inroads EPA to the coast. The flow from the South is strong, we may be right on the dividing line which means wet... sad.gif


Looks like precip is drying up to more of a spotty type and then completely in the next couple hours.
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap.asp...amp;layers=0039


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 01:08 PM
Post #475




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(phillyfan @ May 17 2018, 01:58 PM) *
Is it me or has the timing for this slowed to an later Friday into Saturday morning. Instead of mostly all day Friday like it was.


Depending on which model you look at either later Friday on RAP/HRRR - NAM 3K has rain heading back in mid late morning and pouring till Saturday midday or so.

QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ May 17 2018, 02:03 PM) *
its you.


laugh.gif

QUOTE(LUCC @ May 17 2018, 02:04 PM) *
Looks like precip is drying up to more of a spotty type and then completely in the next couple hours.
http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap.asp...amp;layers=0039


Yeah it will dry out eventually just slowing as the drier air is having a hard time of it closer to the coast. I can see the 2M dews dropping and heading east very slowly.


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 01:17 PM
Post #476




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





This certainly isn't good, 3K has isolated strong possibly severe storms firing up early Sunday in WV / Ohio / WPA heading NE. Although not a washout, Sunday could be a another day of dangerous weather if we get good heating as the tropical airmass is still in place.



CAPE values building back North Sunday. This is the end of the 12Z run will have to keep an eye on the next few runs.



This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 17 2018, 01:24 PM


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 01:33 PM
Post #477




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





A slight difference on GGEM:
6z


12z


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post May 17 2018, 01:36 PM
Post #478




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,221
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





Looking at some other 12z guidance and several are backing off the very high totals and long lasting event. Have majority of qpf moving out early Sunday morning, let's hope this continues and verifies!


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
phillyfan
post May 17 2018, 01:57 PM
Post #479




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,915
Joined: 13-January 08
From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.)
Member No.: 12,448





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 17 2018, 02:08 PM) *
Depending on which model you look at either later Friday on RAP/HRRR - NAM 3K has rain heading back in mid late morning and pouring till Saturday midday or so.


I should of stated that better others the past few days had it starting late overnight. Nam3k has 11am-12pm start around my area now. Let's see what the next run has. If that's the case maybe I can get something done outside tomorrow morning for once.

This post has been edited by phillyfan: May 17 2018, 02:06 PM


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
PlanetMaster
post May 17 2018, 02:10 PM
Post #480




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(phillyfan @ May 17 2018, 02:57 PM) *
I should of stated that better others the past few days had it starting late overnight. Nam3k has 11am-12pm start around my area now. et's see what the next run has. It that's the case maybe I can get something done outside tomorrow morning for once.


What I am gathering from the sudden changes today is two things, the southern energy that was supposed to bring the excessive rain isn't as pronounced as the models had a few days ago and on the other end the high to the North is more pronounced than what the models had suggested a few days ago. So the runs today are trying to adjust to these changes and like you said lets see how this correlates in the runs through tonight. Looking better definitely for less flooding potential. I am all for it if thats the way it goes, may even see a half decent weekend.

This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 17 2018, 02:12 PM


--------------------
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

32 Pages V  « < 22 23 24 25 26 > » 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 19th July 2018 - 04:00 PM