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> Long Range Winter 2017-2018: Thoughts, Outlooks and Discussion, Share your thoughts, forecasts, on-going trends and more
psu1313
post Jan 11 2018, 03:45 PM
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QUOTE(DCBlizzard @ Jan 11 2018, 02:25 PM) *
What I don't understand is why push your business (Weatherbell or Weather.us) and post political views. You can only screw yourself out of business with 50% of the population. IF i were the business, I would not want the person to mix personal and professional stuff on either type of account. Keep it separate IMO.


Why do you think guys like Colin Cowherd have an audience? Why do you think guys like Lavar Ball gain notoriety. In today's society, barking at the moon gets you views and clicks. Clicks equal money. Even though they may turn a few off, the benefit is much greater than the risk from a Marketing perspective. I'm not saying it's right and I'm saying it's quite annoying, but it works.....

With that said, the Brazilian model? He's basing his forecast on the Brazilian model? I tend to believe in a pattern reload for February but I wouldn't base it on that model.
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 04:02 PM
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1/11 12Z Euro EPS 5 day 850 mb temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS850Day0_5.PNG ( 778.51K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS850Day5_10.png ( 682.46K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS850Day10_15.png ( 652.44K ) Number of downloads: 2
 
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 04:03 PM
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1/11 12Z Euro EPS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay0_5.PNG ( 843.34K ) Number of downloads: 2
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay5_10.PNG ( 764.44K ) Number of downloads: 2
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay10_15.PNG ( 703.16K ) Number of downloads: 3
 
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NorEaster07
post Jan 11 2018, 06:07 PM
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Drip drip drip. Thats the sounds of today. And birds.


Wild 10-15 days this month.
  • Constant Arctic Air Jan 1-7
  • Blizzard & teens Jan 4th
  • Strong winds Jan 4-5
  • 50s with heavy rain & thunderstorms Jan 12-13
  • Thick Fog Jan 11-13
  • Ice Jams? Jan 13-
  • Snowstorm Jan 16-17?
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 07:49 PM
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CPC Day 8 to 14 probabilities

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Attached File  814prcp.new.gif ( 44.11K ) Number of downloads: 2
 
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Gnutella
post Jan 11 2018, 08:55 PM
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At least California and the West will get some precipitation, and at least I'm going to enjoy a nice, cold 7-10 days ahead before the crappy mild weather comes back late in the month.
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MotownWX
post Jan 12 2018, 08:19 AM
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QUOTE(Gnutella @ Jan 11 2018, 08:55 PM) *
At least California and the West will get some precipitation, and at least I'm going to enjoy a nice, cold 7-10 days ahead before the crappy mild weather comes back late in the month.


You and I should switch geographic locations. laugh.gif A nice college town in scenic, hilly north Georgia with a milder climate would suit me fine. Alas, I'm stuck in Michigan.
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RobB
post Jan 12 2018, 08:43 AM
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1/12 0Z NAEFS:
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Attached File  naefs.png ( 98.36K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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RobB
post Jan 12 2018, 08:44 AM
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1/12 0Z Euro EPS 5 day 850 mb temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS5day850temp0_5.PNG ( 847.52K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS5day850temp5_10.PNG ( 781.57K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS5day850temp10_15.PNG ( 801.34K ) Number of downloads: 0
 
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RobB
post Jan 12 2018, 08:45 AM
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1/12 0Z Euro EPS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS5day2metertemp0_5.PNG ( 947.96K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS5day2metertemp5_10.PNG ( 887.7K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS5day2metertemp10_15.PNG ( 816.85K ) Number of downloads: 2
 
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RobB
post Jan 12 2018, 04:46 PM
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1/12 12Z NAEFS:
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RobB
post Jan 12 2018, 04:47 PM
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1/12 12Z Euro EPS 5 day 850 mb temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS850Day0_5.PNG ( 861.07K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS850Day5_10.png ( 794.42K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS850Day10_15.png ( 766.84K ) Number of downloads: 0
 
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RobB
post Jan 12 2018, 04:47 PM
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1/12 12Z Euro EPS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay0_5.PNG ( 901.21K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay5_10.PNG ( 824.24K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay10_15.PNG ( 830.34K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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jdrenken
post Jan 12 2018, 06:59 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 12 2018, 03:46 PM) *
1/12 12Z NAEFS:


What I see are the anomalies in the plains disappear.


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idecline
post Jan 12 2018, 08:53 PM
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...um...is that a 'big' storm digging into the West by next Tuesday...??? blink.gif

Attached File  P_96hrsfc.gif ( 299.28K ) Number of downloads: 7


QPF's 7-day

Attached File  p168i.gif ( 43.43K ) Number of downloads: 5


...don't be surprised if rain shifts further south than this QPF shows...this is a really rich moisture train ... wink.gif


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conifer1
post Jan 13 2018, 06:06 AM
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Keep hearing of a warm up but then I see tweets about some type of warming in the atmosphere that could lead to more cold end of month. Anyone have any thoughts on this?


--------------------
Snow in the South is wonderful. It has a kind of magic and mystery that it has nowhere else. And the reason for this is that it comes to people in the South not as the grim, unyielding tenant of Winter's keep, but as a strange and wild visitor from the secret North - Thomas Wolfe
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RobB
post Jan 13 2018, 08:22 AM
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1/13 0Z NAEFS:
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RobB
post Jan 13 2018, 08:23 AM
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1/13 0Z Euro EPS 5 day 850 mb temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS850Day0_5.PNG ( 853.22K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS850Day5_10.png ( 797.4K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS850Day10_15.png ( 785.77K ) Number of downloads: 3
 
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RobB
post Jan 13 2018, 08:23 AM
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1/13 0Z Euro EPS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay0_5.PNG ( 883.94K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay5_10.PNG ( 846.14K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay10_15.PNG ( 834.4K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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NorEaster07
post Jan 13 2018, 11:58 AM
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Thanks for the Front loaded winter. Now back to our regularly scheduled program?

Attached File  page.jpeg ( 222.52K ) Number of downloads: 3


My opinion...I dont think we'll get "sustained" below normal cold anymore. I think we made our lowest lows for 2018. Snow chances seem minimal after Tuesday here. Ups and Downs mostly so timing has to be perfect for us. Unlike when we had arctic air sustained it was easier to get snow.

Maybe an Early Spring coming? 50s-60s in February. 70s in March?
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