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“Climate is what you expect; weather is what you get,” Both have always and will always be changing.
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NorEaster07
Rank: F5 Superstorm
43 years old
Male
SW Coastal CT
Born Dec-17-1974
Interests
[size=1]Season Snow Totals: Avg=27"
2010-11 - 64.5"...(60" Happened in 4 weeks)
2011-12 - 14.0"
2012-13 - 46.8"
2013-14 - 65.3"
2014-15 - 61.5"
2015-16 - 29.9"
2016-17 - 40.2" [/size]

Synopsis


Previous Storms:

[url="http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=32993"]Dec 11-12, 2016 [/url]

[url="http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=32958"]December 6th-8th 2016[/url]

[url="http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=32972"]Dec 4-5, 2016[/url]

[url="http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=32963"]Nov 28-30, 2016[/url]
Statistics
Joined: 10-August 09
Profile Views: 138,604*
Last Seen: Today, 08:32 AM
Local Time: Apr 21 2018, 11:59 PM
20,958 posts (7 per day)
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NorEaster07

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6 Mar 2018
Here we go with our second big storm within 5 days. Some folks still have no power and could be dealing with heavy wet snow.

Good luck and stay safe out there.

Approaching low pressure system currently over the Central Plains region.
This low and its associated frontal system will approach the area tonight.
As the front approaches the southeast coast, it will induce a secondary low
to develop over or near the Carolinas. This low will
become the primary low, track northeast, and strengthen over the Gulf Stream
as it does so. It will move over/near Nantucket and into the Gulf of Maine.


Link to the forecasting thread for this storm.

Link to the NorEaster OBS 4 days ago.

Current Alerts.

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NWS Snowfall total forecast

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Tracks

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NAO & PNA

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1 Mar 2018
Here we go. Good luck and enjoy this interesting storm.

Link to the Forecasting Thread

The energy associated with the Ohio Valley low is expected to
transfer to the waters off Delaware, New Jersey and Long Island
tonight. The developing low off the coast is forecast to intensify
rapidly. The Anomalous sub 980mb storm system will begin to pull out to sea, but
stall over the weekend keeping the region in a more north/northeast
flow.

Radar and Metars last 4hrs.



Current Alerts.

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Surface Map

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Snow total forecast

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Winds

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NAO Value

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17 Feb 2018
Good luck and have fun folks..
Link to Forecasting Thread.

QUOTE
.SYNOPSIS...
A northern stream shortwave tracks into the lower Great Lakes
this evening and to near the S New england Coast by Sunday
morning. This shortwave will help intensify and kick a low
northeast from near the mid Atlantic coast late today, to the
south/east of the 40N/70W benchmark tonight.

While the system is fairly fast moving, it should have fairly
strong dynamics able to help maximize the production of
precipitation.

The CMC and ECMWF have trended
wetter, towards the NAM and SREF. The GFS is a relatively drier
outlier due to its more southern low track (due to well
documented issues the GFS has in dealing with damming highs east
of the Appalachians). AS a result have followed a NAM/ECMWF/CMC regional/SREF blend for the forecast for tonight.


Current Alerts...

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Current Surface Map

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Tracks

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Snow Total Forecast

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Moisture moves in after lunch today.. 2pm to 2pm loop from NAM3km

6 Feb 2018
Since it will be early morning when precip comes into the region I figure get this going now. Looks like precip soon entering NC and Virginias.

Link to forecasting thread.


.SYNOPSIS...
A sharp northern stream shortwave digs over the Great Lakes
and phases with a southern stream shortwave. This turns the
upper flow more from the southwest and forming a surface low
that moves up the Southern Appalachians and towards the Canadian Maritime Provinces
and draws above average moisture north from the Gulf of Mexico.


2:30-6:30pm loop with upper heights.




Alerts Map

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Snowfall Total Forecast Map

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Surface Map

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[



3 Feb 2018
Good luck and have fun,

Link to the Forecasting Thread.

Precip starting to blossom into the regions.. still lots of virga around but figured I start this up.


QUOTE
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure has moved off the Virginia coast this evening,
with southerly flow established

A storm system will move north of the region Sunday dragging a
cold front through the area later in the day and overnight.

Thickening clouds late this evening in broad region of warm
advection in advance of low pressure over the Grt Lks.

Steady or slowly rising temps expected overnight, beneath
thickening cloud cover and warm advection.

Lead shortwave, over the southern plains at 00Z, will link up
with Gulf of Mexico moisture tonight, resulting in a blossoming
area of precip over the Tenn/Ohio valleys tonight.


Loop



Tracks

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Surface

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Alerts

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Snow Total Forecast

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Last Visitors


4 Apr 2018 - 17:54


11 Mar 2018 - 20:47


7 Mar 2018 - 19:55


7 Mar 2018 - 11:24


3 Mar 2018 - 17:52

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