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> Hurricane Irene, Archive
grace
post Aug 26 2011, 09:25 PM
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QUOTE(longislandwx @ Aug 26 2011, 09:20 PM) *
[attachment=140116:sc.PNG]


I don't think it will strengthen much but this doesn't surprise me, I just posted a page back that on the latest satellite loop it's looked a little healthier the past hour or so.
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jdrenken
post Aug 26 2011, 09:25 PM
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QUOTE(TheSons @ Aug 26 2011, 09:24 PM) *
Anderson Cooper just talked to a hurricane hunter pilot who just flew through Irene. At one point the pilot said, "We just passed through the center of tropical s--- excuse me, Hurricane Irene".

It's like some conspiracy that we're unaware of. NHC is in on it, keeping this thing at category 2 strength.


Now THAT is funny!


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longislandwx
post Aug 26 2011, 09:25 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 26 2011, 10:23 PM) *
NOAA Flight recorded 69kt surface, 99kt inbound flight level, 79kt outbound flight level, 951mb, no discernible eyewall.

Im well aware, his thoughts not mine.


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Phased Vort
post Aug 26 2011, 09:25 PM
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Want to see how the NHC will handle the better satellite presentation of Irene as of now concerning colder cloud tops over and near the center, and those high flight level winds, while seeing the lower surface winds.

Pretty interesting stuff.


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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 26 2011, 09:25 PM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 26 2011, 10:23 PM) *
NOAA Flight recorded 69kt surface, 99kt inbound flight level, 79kt outbound flight level, 951mb, no discernible eyewall.



Off topic: Where do you get those reports (hurricane hunter flight data) from?
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grace
post Aug 26 2011, 09:26 PM
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QUOTE(410mdweather @ Aug 26 2011, 09:24 PM) *
TWC keeps showing the Jersey shore and Cantore in NYC...and I cannot understand why they are not showing whats going on in North Carolina


NE always steals the show no matter what!! It gets on my last nerve! mad.gif

I'm with ya!
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 26 2011, 09:26 PM
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QUOTE(410mdweather @ Aug 26 2011, 10:24 PM) *
TWC keeps showing the Jersey shore and Cantore in NYC...and I cannot understand why they are not showing whats going on in North Carolina



Because TWC is all about hype, and ratings.
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NYCSuburbs
post Aug 26 2011, 09:26 PM
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QUOTE(DomNH @ Aug 26 2011, 10:21 PM) *
The NAM is awful. Takes this W of Morehead City in NC and the storm will be lucky to scrape the Outer Banks at its current trajectory.

That's exactly why I said FWIW... it looks like the NAM might be a bit too west with this; by now, nowcasting would be a more efficient way to forecast Irene as the models are entering the very short range.

QUOTE(jdrenken @ Aug 26 2011, 10:23 PM) *
NOAA Flight recorded 69kt surface, 99kt inbound flight level, 79kt outbound flight level, 951mb, no discernible eyewall.

I don't have all of the data that some posters here have, but from the information I'm seeing posted here, nothing seems to really support a quickly organizing and intensifying hurricane as Steve D seems to be portraying.
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Brightwaters LI
post Aug 26 2011, 09:27 PM
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QUOTE(Kitagrl @ Aug 26 2011, 10:20 PM) *
10" of rain in PA is a "little"? 50 mph sustained wind for 12 hours with higher gusts?

Let's not say "waste" until we all emerge Monday with full electrical power and no damage...

u are correct. what we have prepared for on LI vs what will happen is probably another lesson in futility.
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Mafa
post Aug 26 2011, 09:27 PM
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QUOTE(410mdweather @ Aug 26 2011, 10:24 PM) *
TWC keeps showing the Jersey shore and Cantore in NYC...and I cannot understand why they are not showing whats going on in North Carolina


My thoughts exactly
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 26 2011, 09:28 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Aug 26 2011, 10:26 PM) *
That's exactly why I said FWIW... it looks like the NAM might be a bit too west with this; by now, nowcasting would be a more efficient way to forecast Irene as the models are entering the very short range.
I don't have all of the data that some posters here have, but from the information I'm seeing posted here, nothing seems to really support a quickly organizing and intensifying hurricane as Steve D seems to be portraying.



No pressure increase = no intensification.
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spacecitycomics
post Aug 26 2011, 09:28 PM
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Flight stuff, poke around and bookmark

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/URNT15/KNHC/


--------------------
WHAT HAPPENED TO MY ORIGINAL 12,000 POSTS ? ORIGINAL FOUNDING MEMBER.
I WAS HERE WHEN THIS PLACE WAS GREEN ! CARRY ON !
29.794956, -95.174025
I have been in the eye of the hurricane. It's a hoot !
So you can't forecast weather without a computer and a model ? Too bad.
We forecast weather before we had computers.
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DomNH
post Aug 26 2011, 09:28 PM
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Wilmington, NC already gusting to 42kts.

2011/08/27 02:21 KILM 270221Z AUTO 02025G42KT 1 1/4SM +RA BR SCT008 BKN015 OVC023 23/23 A2937 RMK AO2 PK WND 02050/0210 P0043


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jdrenken
post Aug 26 2011, 09:28 PM
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QUOTE(longislandwx @ Aug 26 2011, 09:25 PM) *
Im well aware, his thoughts not mine.


I know...was just posting the raw data.

By the way...Dvorak graph showing just how much Irene is struggling.


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QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_*
post Aug 26 2011, 09:28 PM
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QUOTE(Brightwaters LI @ Aug 26 2011, 10:27 PM) *
u are correct. what we have prepared for on LI vs what will happen is probably another lesson in futility.



Like I said before, tell me that it is nothing on Monday morning.
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Phased Vort
post Aug 26 2011, 09:30 PM
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The pass RECON will make now towards the NW quad and then the center will be quite telling and important, for us as well NHC.


Plane is heading towards the center again now for another pass as we discuss.


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Weatherlover
post Aug 26 2011, 09:31 PM
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QUOTE(410mdweather @ Aug 26 2011, 10:24 PM) *
TWC keeps showing the Jersey shore and Cantore in NYC...and I cannot understand why they are not showing whats going on in North Carolina



They showed a reporter in Nags Head, NC about 30 minutes ago.


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Cabinetsales
post Aug 26 2011, 09:32 PM
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Buoy having fun riding out the storm....

Wind Direction (WDIR): NE ( 40 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 38.9 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 50.5 kts
Wave Height (WVHT): 27.6 ft
Dominant Wave Period (DPD):15 sec
Average Period (APD): 9.6 sec
Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SE ( 125 deg true )
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES):29.07 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY):-0.14 in ( Falling Rapidly )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 78.6 F
Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.9 F

wave chart

This post has been edited by Cabinetsales: Aug 26 2011, 09:33 PM


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keelo2000
post Aug 26 2011, 09:32 PM
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the last few frames show Irene starting to break NNE
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-wv.html
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410mdweather
post Aug 26 2011, 09:33 PM
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QUOTE(Weatherlover @ Aug 26 2011, 10:31 PM) *
They showed a reporter in Nags Head, NC about 30 minutes ago.


Really? I've been watching it for the last half hour and I've seen Cantore twice, Asbury in NJ a couple times, but no NC
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