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> Hurricane Jose, 9/17 5PM EDT CAT 1 - 90 MPH - 967mb - Movement: N @ 9mph
longislander
post Yesterday, 02:56 PM
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QUOTE(stilko4 @ Sep 19 2017, 03:48 PM) *
It's in the process.
Unfortunately I believe that once it does the loop it'll head into jersey and pull maria with it.


That's like 9 days out, remember the Irma models 9 days out.
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stxprowl
post Yesterday, 05:17 PM
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NJ waves and flooding pics/video from North Wildwood.
https://www.google.com/amp/6abc.com/amp/wea...-shore/2431529/
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longislander
post Yesterday, 07:29 PM
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Those eastern facing beaches get it the worst.
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mmi16
post Yesterday, 07:46 PM
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QUOTE(risingriver @ Sep 19 2017, 02:29 PM) *
Jose is a well behaved hurricane. He stayed away from the island groups for the most part and now his loitering on the East Coast may well keep Maria from making a major landfall on the US. A little minor breeze and some beach erosion are small prices to pay to keep a major hurricane from striking the coast for the third time in a year.

Course I don't think Jose can hang around until the end of October, can he? tongue.gif


Anyone know what is the longest period of time that a Named storm churned around?


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stxprowl
post Yesterday, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE(mmi16 @ Sep 19 2017, 08:46 PM) *
Anyone know what is the longest period of time that a Named storm churned around?

I found this.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Atl...rricane_records
Attached Image

Jose is at 15 days.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atla.../hurricane-jose

This post has been edited by stxprowl: Yesterday, 08:23 PM
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stretchct
post Yesterday, 09:08 PM
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USCG station Chincoteague had TS force winds
Millsboro was close
South Dock sustained at 41, gusts 45
Ocean City nj with 38mph
Beach Haven still blowing in the 40s
Sedge Island had a bunch in the 40s, with 47 as the high.
Texas tower had 34kt and 40kt gusts and 20 footers.


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My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

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First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Yesterday, 09:59 PM
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Finally - weakened and turning

11:00 PM EDT Tue Sep 19
Location: 37.9N 70.8W
Moving: NE at 9 mph
Min pressure: 973 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

Send some cold beer!


First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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RochesterSnow
post Today, 01:45 AM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Sep 19 2017, 10:59 PM) *
Finally - weakened and turning

11:00 PM EDT Tue Sep 19
Location: 37.9N 70.8W
Moving: NE at 9 mph
Min pressure: 973 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph


Attached Image


Can see the last gasp off the coast.

Bonus: Check out that line of T-Storms in MN! Wow!


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NorEaster07
post Today, 05:21 AM
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0.10" of rain here yesterday from the first distinctive band Jose had.


6am Map with wind gusts on. Winds gusting to 20mph here from the North now as Jose is closer.


It's about 200 miles south of Nantucket now. Moving slowly at 8mph and about to make a uturn soon





In motion. 2-6am. only Eastern MA with the rains and looks like CT wont get anymore as it pulls further away





Onto the next Tropical Cyclone..... Maria!
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Qdeathstar
post Today, 06:44 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Sep 20 2017, 06:21 AM) *
0.10" of rain here yesterday from the first distinctive band Jose had.
6am Map with wind gusts on. Winds gusting to 20mph here from the North now as Jose is closer.


It's about 200 miles south of Nantucket now. Moving slowly at 8mph and about to make a uturn soon





In motion. 2-6am. only Eastern MA with the rains and looks like CT wont get anymore as it pulls further away





Onto the next Tropical Cyclone..... Maria!



Models in pretty good agreement. Ots.


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GossipKing
post Today, 06:49 AM
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QUOTE(Qdeathstar @ Sep 20 2017, 07:44 AM) *
Models in pretty good agreement. Ots.

How many times have people had to tell you 8 or 9 or 10 days out? It doesn't matter how good in agreement they are.
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Qdeathstar
post Today, 06:53 AM
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QUOTE(GossipKing @ Sep 20 2017, 07:49 AM) *
How many times have people had to tell you 8 or 9 or 10 days out? It doesn't matter how good in agreement they are.


I've also had people tell me trends are important. Trends ots and if that changes there is plenty of time to get the word out. I honestly have no idea what the deal is with arguing with factual statements... models are in agreement ots. Never said that meant 100% without a doubt it was going ots.


QUOTE(NHC)
There is some increase in the
spread of the models at days 4 and 5, with the latest ECMWF
prediction near the western edge of the guidance envelope but with
all of the reliable models well offshore of the southeast U.S. at
the end of the period.
The official forecast is very close to the
latest FSU Superensemble track.




This post has been edited by Qdeathstar: Today, 07:20 AM


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Jan 6 - 8 SNOW (and possibly a blizzard) Webcam:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pq1flRwxdRM
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GossipKing
post Today, 10:56 AM
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QUOTE(Qdeathstar @ Sep 20 2017, 07:53 AM) *
I've also had people tell me trends are important. Trends ots and if that changes there is plenty of time to get the word out. I honestly have no idea what the deal is with arguing with factual statements... models are in agreement ots. Never said that meant 100% without a doubt it was going ots.

Just because it is OTS for southwest US does not mean it will be OTS for the rest of the CONUS.

you astonish me
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stretchct
post Today, 11:49 AM
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Attached Image


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

Send some cold beer!


First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Today, 01:54 PM
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Some WU stations in the area of Jose (sustain/gust)

Peconic Bay winds 30mph gusting to 40
Block Island with winds of 40mph gusting to 45
Reeves Beach (LI) 39w, 40g
Montauk Lighthouse 45w, 51g (ignore other winds, not likely)
Lagoon Pond Vineyard Haven 47s/53g
Siasconset (ACK) 32s/44g
ACK Airport 33s/42g
Nobska Point Woods Hole 38s/42g

Buoy 44008 33kts/47kts 17ft waves


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis

Send some cold beer!


First measurable
First flakes
First freeze
First frost

Seasonal snow - normal 44"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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