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NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 17 2018, 10:05 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jul 17 2018, 08:50 AM) *
Winter storm threads make the world go round


It wont be the same without them, that's for sure.

QUOTE(davidt08 @ Jul 17 2018, 09:15 AM) *
If you guys have other website/forum ideas, definitely let us usual lurkers know..


Try the Citydata weather forum
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331613 · Replies: · Views: 7,765

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 17 2018, 08:28 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Solstice @ Jul 16 2018, 10:38 PM) *
So what options do we have now? Are there any other weather forums? Is this system getting a "revamp" / replacement from AccuWeather?

I personally hope the data is saved... Lots of great content here that should be recorded. Sometimes I enjoy cracking open an old forecasting thread and reading it... Not sure how others feel.


QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Jul 17 2018, 06:24 AM) *
Not sure when the site will disappear,
Gonna be weird not making a daily visit either looking at latest modeling output or personal thoughts on the next big event. Don't do Twitter and Facebook is losing its appeal, wish I knew how to start up a forum.


It's been fun interacting with all you guys and learning especially!

I look back at old threads myself. Would almost feel like it was such a waste of life posting. Hope they can be archived and saved and Maybe a new accuforum started with the new server and site?

Try Citydata weather forum for now. Mods do great job there and there's tons of threads. Easy to use too unlike AmericanWx. Not sure if individual storm threads would be allowed though but worth a shot
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331592 · Replies: · Views: 7,765

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 16 2018, 03:42 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Jul 16 2018, 09:54 AM) *
Based on current RRWT interval rates a recent trough in the Hudson Bay region will ignite the Autumn spirit come mid October. smile.gif

[attachment=356927:dwm500_t...20180709.gif]


Interesting pattern being shown now (in mid July) coming up next 2 weeks how the troughs are back to digging down again like back in June. Made me wonder if it will continue or be back for fall. And naturally air gets colder after August so would be fun to see....and feel the crisps
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331546 · Replies: · Views: 1,347

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 15 2018, 11:46 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(KDPPenmen @ Jul 15 2018, 11:02 AM) *
So in my town in CT, we are seeing A LOT of acorns falling already. Isn't a lot of acorns a sign of a bad winter coming?


Haha. what?? blink.gif Oak leaves just got full few weeks ago. Acorns take 4+ months to mature and a month to drop...No way at all acorns have grown and or fell yet. I suspect the tree is sick or maybe its another type of nut?
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331508 · Replies: · Views: 28,876

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 15 2018, 07:58 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


With the way the Jet stream keeps dipping and these troughs coming in with blocking in the Atlantic it should make for an interesting setup.

This will not only keep temps down but also bring a chance of a coastal storm forming. Lets keep an eye on this pattern.. Chris and Beryl came within few hundred miles of hitting the coast and take a look at the setup coming.


This mornings look at the Upper Height. See loop below.



Pretty persistent Atlantic HP and even gets closer to East coast towards the end of the run.




I think the East coast may be entering a wet period as a parked High Pressure over the Atlantic will bring a southeast flow up the coast and stall fronts coming in. Kinda Like what we had in Spring especially in Northeast?
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331494 · Replies: · Views: 27,709

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 15 2018, 07:09 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(weather_boy2010 @ Jul 14 2018, 10:38 AM) *
I just want it to cool the h-eck off. This relentless heat and humidity is really getting to me.
Congrats on the FD news!


Relentless?? Aren't you near Lake Michigan west of South Bend? Do you mean relentless 80s? Do you mean July only? Cause June was sure cool and July only has a handful of well above normal days.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331492 · Replies: · Views: 27,709

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 14 2018, 06:33 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Attached Image
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331458 · Replies: · Views: 27,709

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 14 2018, 06:32 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Here comes another dry stretch... Trough with Cooler drier Canadian air comes in and looks like stays for couple days. That would be amazing to have 50s dews for multiple days straight. We'll see.

I'm sure the airmass will be modified by time it gets to us but still, should be another long stretch of goodness.

Attached Image



WPC Long Range Discussion:

QUOTE
Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1250 AM EDT Sat Jul 14 2018

Valid 12Z Tue Jul 17 2018 - 12Z Sat Jul 21 2018

...Overview...

The flow pattern across the contiguous U.S. will become a bit more
amplified during the medium range period with an upper-level ridge
expanding from the Great Basin to the southern Rockies, and a
series of upper waves gradually carving out a trough across the
Great Lakes. Heights are also expected to fall across the Pacific
Northwest by late next week as an upper low digs south from the
Gulf of Alaska toward the region.


...Guidance Evaluation and Preferences...

A majority deterministic blend including the ECMWF/GFS/CMC was
initially preferred during days 3-5 (Tue-Thu). Models have settled
toward a somewhat slower/more amplified solution with the
trough/upper low passing south of Hudson Bay and moving east into
Quebec during this time frame. The same generally holds true for
additional shortwave energy crossing the north central U.S.
Wed-Thu, which then looks likely to amplify further across the
Great Lakes/Ohio Valley Fri-Sat. Farther west, models continue to
show a compact but energetic shortwave diving southeast across the
Gulf of Alaska toward British Columbia Tue-Wed, with heights
falling across the U.S. Pacific Northwest by later in the week.
Some timing differences remain, but in general guidance has
trended toward somewhat slower/more amplified solutions here as
well. Given the increase in spread, majority weighting was shifted
to ensemble means for days 6-7 (Fri-Sat), including the ECENS and
NAEFS means.


...Weather Highlights/Threats...

Showers and storms with locally heavy rain will accompany a cold
front from the Appalachians to the
Southeast/Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Tue-Wed. The trailing end of the
frontal boundary is expected to stall from the Southeast to the
southern/central plains, which could also focus locally heavy
showers and thunderstorms through later next week. Monsoonal
moisture will also produce scattered afternoon/evening
thunderstorms from the southern Great Basin/Southwest to the
southern/central Rockies through the next week, with locally heavy
rain possible especially early in the week (the building
upper-level ridge should gradually reduce the coverage of
convection by later next week).

In the wake of the cold front, high temperatures are expected to
be 5 to 10 deg below average across the central/northern plains
and portions of the Midwest/Great Lakes through much of next week.
Hot temperatures across the Pacific Northwest (highs 5 to 10 deg
above average) should moderate some by later next week as a
Pacific cold front moves inland.


Ryan:



It wont be anything extreme or crazy next week, but will keep Summer conditions in check for sure. (East of the Plains)





And look what GFS has towards the end of the month. ohmy.gif

Doubt this will happen as strong..

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Attached thumbnail(s)
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  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331457 · Replies: · Views: 27,709

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 13 2018, 06:21 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


https://twitter.com/NickGunterWX/status/1017450715328012293

Attached Image


Edit: That's Astronomical Fall. Meteo Fall starts in 7 weeks (49 days). biggrin.gif tongue.gif
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331438 · Replies: · Views: 1,347

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 10 2018, 05:23 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Tropical Storm Chris to become a Cat 1 but no threat to land. Loop last 4 hrs this morning. 2:15-6:15am July 10, 2018

  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2331325 · Replies: · Views: 3,578

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 9 2018, 06:25 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Here are the temp departures for the 1st week of July.

Caribou is +7.5 above normal for the month so far
Hartford is +5.5 above normal
Bangor is +5.0 above normal
Portland is +5.2 above normal
Bridgeport is +3.3 above normal


I'm guessing we end July above normal. Would have to be some crazy cold for it to end up below normal.

Attached Image

Lucky Northeast..

Attached Image


Here's a fun look at the temp departures from normal the 1st week of each month this year. (Not actual temps).

Attached Image


  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2331291 · Replies: · Views: 27,709

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 6 2018, 05:40 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


And here it comes! Thank the Lord!

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331192 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 5 2018, 05:21 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Past 3 days for BDR. Scale starts at 70. That's sad. Lol

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331166 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 5 2018, 05:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


5:30pm dews.
I spy a front...and life behind it

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331165 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 5 2018, 05:16 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


IMBY Max Temps

June 29: 90F
June 30: 92F
July 1: 96F
July 2: 94F
July 3: 93F
July 4: 91F
July 5: 92F

7 days! And its the humidity as well. Mid 70s dews again today.
Disgusting.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331164 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 5 2018, 06:08 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


So where does this long duration heat wave stand so far for Concord, Atlantic City, Hartford, Binghamton, Burlington, & Albany? (Not a heat wave yet for BGM but funny how "2" is up there".)

Today should add 1 more to some of these locations.

Attached Image


Forecast Max temps

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331114 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 4 2018, 03:43 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


I stepped outside to test coming out of hibernation... Not bad! Hearing thunder.. Thank You Clouds! I see the temp has dropped.


3 Maps. 4:30pm

Temps

Attached Image


Dews

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heat Index

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331078 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 4 2018, 01:39 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Getting tired of it now. Day # 6 here but its the humidity which is driving us nuts. Dews in the 70s again.


See Concord, NH there? Day #6 of 90s. Long Duration for them. Only 5 years since 1868 had a longer streak




  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331046 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 4 2018, 01:38 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Solstice @ Jul 4 2018, 01:34 PM) *
Anyone in Fairfield County hearing a thunder-eqsue noise?


Nothing from here yet. I sometimes hear it when its 20-30 miles away but nothing right now.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331045 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 4 2018, 07:32 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Some totals from NJ past 24hrs.

Attached Image


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331013 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 3 2018, 09:41 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Wish I was in Montana..in the mountains.
Funny cause I was sick of the snow in April. 5 day heatwave makes me want it again. Lol.

https://twitter.com/NWSGreatFalls/status/1014285216557555712

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  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2330999 · Replies: · Views: 27,709

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 3 2018, 08:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Day #6 today for Atlantic City. Believe it or not that's in the Top 20 all time streaks of 90+ there.

2 more to get in the Top 10. Got 2 more days until that cold front comes in.

Attached Image





  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330994 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 3 2018, 03:09 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


I always wondered what the warmest rain was around here. Technically warmest air temp with rain...

Check out Newark, NJ today.

Looking at the hourly for Newark, NJ. Started Thunderstorming and 93F .




This site has more frequent updates: Thunderstorm, then rain soon after. So probably was around 90F there with rain?

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330977 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 3 2018, 02:46 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


#PuffingUp

11:35am-3:35pm Loop. I see wind damage & Hail report under there. Temps went from 90s to low 80s.
Flash Flood Warnings went up



  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330971 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

NorEaster07
Posted on: Jul 3 2018, 02:35 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,167
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


#5 for me.

92.5 with a dew of 78 here.




High Dew points. Hail in NJ. Hearing Thunder from cells popping up. Big cluster over Southern NY causing Flash Flooding.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330969 · Replies: · Views: 12,568

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