Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

5 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 5 >  
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> Long Range Autumn 2017 Outlooks, Thoughts & Discussions, Is summer hanging on or will winter come early?
so_whats_happeni...
post Sep 4 2017, 12:43 PM
Post #41




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 13,705
Joined: 23-March 08
From: Millersville, PA
Member No.: 14,460





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Sep 4 2017, 12:12 PM) *
2-3 weeks early as far as the start of the changes go. While in general we're still full and deep green you dont have to look hard for the changes. Also, squirrels are carrying things more.



One more


Temp departures last 7 days. U.S view and Northeast view. Cool pattern started around the 23rd in the Northeast

https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps

[attachment=328808:temps8.jpg]

Here's the Average Temp last 7 days
[attachment=328809:temps9.jpg]


Yea my friend was up in saranac lake/ lake placid area and was taking photos and videos and could start to see some changes going on there as well. With consistent troughing appearing in the near future I am not surprised if we do end up starting earlier. Lets hope that with the impending storms the leaves dont get ripped off the trees.

If I remember correctly a cool and dry late summer fall yields the best colors. Cooler and wet leads to less vibrant colors and warm and dry they get crispy and turn later yielding more browns and red?


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
bradjl2009
post Sep 4 2017, 01:06 PM
Post #42




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,555
Joined: 27-November 08
From: Pittsburgh, PA
Member No.: 16,265





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Sep 4 2017, 12:12 PM) *
2-3 weeks early as far as the start of the changes go. While in general we're still full and deep green you dont have to look hard for the changes. Also, squirrels are carrying things more.



One more


I've been noticing the same down here in PA too. Not a lot of course, but a little bit of color and it looks quite cool for the second half of this week so we might get some more color showing soon too. I find this very welcomed after how insanely warm the last two falls have been in our region.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Gnutella
post Sep 5 2017, 05:48 AM
Post #43




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 558
Joined: 15-December 09
From: Athens, GA
Member No.: 20,211





No color here in northeast Georgia yet, but we did have lows in the 50s for a couple of nights this Labor Day weekend. It felt great. smile.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ClicheVortex2014
post Sep 5 2017, 11:44 PM
Post #44




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,604
Joined: 21-April 14
From: Athens, Ohio
Member No.: 29,453





This would be absolutely insane. Same run, just a week apart from each other. The Hurricane in the latter image is Jose.




This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Sep 5 2017, 11:46 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 10 (Last: 8/21/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 6 (Last: 7/7/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ohiobuckeye45
post Sep 7 2017, 06:59 AM
Post #45




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 23,860
Joined: 17-February 08
From: Dublin, Ohio (KOSU; 25 min NW of Columbus)
Member No.: 13,767





can we just fast forward to December
Attached File(s)
Attached File  1.gif ( 43.96K ) Number of downloads: 5
Attached File  2.gif ( 42.05K ) Number of downloads: 4
Attached File  3.gif ( 36.88K ) Number of downloads: 5
 
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
grace
post Sep 7 2017, 09:41 AM
Post #46




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 11,056
Joined: 21-January 10
From: Paducah, Ky
Member No.: 21,017





QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Sep 7 2017, 06:59 AM) *
can we just fast forward to December



RRWT suggests west ridge/east through pattern continues through December smile.gif

Lets hope it's correct
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
shaulov4
post Sep 7 2017, 11:46 AM
Post #47




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,541
Joined: 7-August 11
Member No.: 25,872





QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Sep 7 2017, 07:59 AM) *
can we just fast forward to December

Was thinking the same thing, biting my nails as time goes by.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Gnutella
post Sep 8 2017, 01:51 AM
Post #48




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 558
Joined: 15-December 09
From: Athens, GA
Member No.: 20,211





QUOTE(grace @ Sep 7 2017, 10:41 AM) *
RRWT suggests west ridge/east through pattern continues through December smile.gif

Lets hope it's correct

Good, stay that way through December, and especially through Christmas. I'm sick and tired of mild Decembers and warm Christmases. It seriously *bleep*s up the holiday spirit.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ClicheVortex2014
post Sep 10 2017, 11:43 PM
Post #49




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,604
Joined: 21-April 14
From: Athens, Ohio
Member No.: 29,453





Finally starting to see some Fall severe weather setups showing up in the models.

Huge trough... would've been great to have in spring. Regardless, warmth and severe weather would return to the Midwest




This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Sep 10 2017, 11:43 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 10 (Last: 8/21/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 6 (Last: 7/7/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
so_whats_happeni...
post Sep 11 2017, 06:23 AM
Post #50




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 13,705
Joined: 23-March 08
From: Millersville, PA
Member No.: 14,460





Ill post the pics I took yesterday but some of the early trees are starting to change color already down here. This usually doesnt happen until the end of september even early october considering our peak usually happens around the last week of october. Have a feeling we will have an early color season.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
bradjl2009
post Sep 11 2017, 12:09 PM
Post #51




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,555
Joined: 27-November 08
From: Pittsburgh, PA
Member No.: 16,265





QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Sep 11 2017, 07:23 AM) *
Ill post the pics I took yesterday but some of the early trees are starting to change color already down here. This usually doesnt happen until the end of september even early october considering our peak usually happens around the last week of october. Have a feeling we will have an early color season.

I've really started to notice many of the trees that are first to turn have began to change color in this area as well. It's still mostly green, but it doesn't take long to see trees beginning to lose their green. The cool streak looks to end everywhere after today though with temperatures in the 80's for a change towards the end of the week.

This post has been edited by bradjl2009: Sep 11 2017, 12:17 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ClicheVortex2014
post Sep 12 2017, 12:16 AM
Post #52




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,604
Joined: 21-April 14
From: Athens, Ohio
Member No.: 29,453





Fun pattern coming up on GFS and Euro. About time things warm up and get active.




This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Sep 12 2017, 12:17 AM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 10 (Last: 8/21/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 6 (Last: 7/7/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
ClicheVortex2014
post Sep 12 2017, 12:15 PM
Post #53




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 20,604
Joined: 21-April 14
From: Athens, Ohio
Member No.: 29,453





Wow




--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 10 (Last: 8/21/17)
Marginal risks: 18 (Last: 8/11/17)
Slight risks: 14 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 6 (Last: 7/7/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
NorEaster07
post Sep 12 2017, 05:00 PM
Post #54




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





Sorry for the delayed replies.

QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Sep 4 2017, 01:43 PM) *
Yea my friend was up in saranac lake/ lake placid area and was taking photos and videos and could start to see some changes going on there as well. With consistent troughing appearing in the near future I am not surprised if we do end up starting earlier. Lets hope that with the impending storms the leaves dont get ripped off the trees.

If I remember correctly a cool and dry late summer fall yields the best colors. Cooler and wet leads to less vibrant colors and warm and dry they get crispy and turn later yielding more browns and red?


Looks like the pattern is changing to a warmer one for this week and next? So that should slow down the changing progress going on out there. Definitly more tones now here since that post but Id say 85% still green.

I think a blend of things makes great colors but not hot weather. Dry, sunny days, cool nights and some rain in the mix. Problem is we had a long dry stretch past month or so, I wonder if that will hurt colors.


QUOTE(bradjl2009 @ Sep 4 2017, 02:06 PM) *
I've been noticing the same down here in PA too. Not a lot of course, but a little bit of color and it looks quite cool for the second half of this week so we might get some more color showing soon too. I find this very welcomed after how insanely warm the last two falls have been in our region.


You jinxed it...here comes the eastern ridge!. Lol. Hope its temporary. Warm Autumns are not fun...

QUOTE(Gnutella @ Sep 5 2017, 06:48 AM) *
No color here in northeast Georgia yet, but we did have lows in the 50s for a couple of nights this Labor Day weekend. It felt great. smile.gif


Have you noticed any more colors since this post? I see max of 60s happening thanks to Irma and the clouds.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
NorEaster07
post Sep 12 2017, 05:04 PM
Post #55




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Sep 12 2017, 01:16 AM) *
Fun pattern coming up on GFS and Euro. About time things warm up and get active.



QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Sep 12 2017, 01:15 PM) *
Wow


Yup. Been a while.. since about mid August




Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
NorEaster07
post Sep 12 2017, 05:04 PM
Post #56




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





And the season begins

First snowfall for the Rockies / TheWeatherNetwork



QUOTE
This wintry event will be ushered in by two separate factors. A area of high pressure ridging in from British Columbia will bring cold air into the Prairies, while a low pressure system tracking south of the border will drag up moisture from its northern edge. This combination will mean high elevation snow in parts of central Alberta, and rainfall in the south.

"The rain will start along the Foothills northwest of Calgary and expand eastward through the day as the cold front slides through central Saskatchewan," says The Weather Network meteorologist Kevin MacKay.

Tuesday evening will be the first chance for some snow to develop for the Rockies, with a better chance for accumulation Wednesday as more cold air funnels in from the north.

Locales like Banff, Jasper, and Lake Louise are likely to see snow through Thursday, and some wet snow is not out of the question into Springbank.

"The rain will extend from Alberta to Manitoba by Thursday and continue into the weekend as the boundary between the warm and cold air holds over the U.S. border where 40+ mm is possible," adds MacKay.

Meanwhile, a drastic change in temperatures is forecast across the Prairies, as a high pressure moves down from British Columbia through Alberta. By the end of the week, many cities in Alberta will see highs around 10 degrees or cooler, while higher elevations could see 10+ cm of snowfall.


It is not out of the question for Calgary and Edmonton to see about 2 cm of snow in an average September.


Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
NorEaster07
post Sep 12 2017, 05:25 PM
Post #57




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





Fun to see the words back in discussions.. here's a question...

Is snow more common on Mt Washington, NH or 6200' in Idaho in September? Maybe same? But wouldnt happen at same time though.

QUOTE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
215 PM MDT Tue Sep 12 2017

.DISCUSSION...A low pressure system off the coast of California
is beginning to move eastward. This system is spreading moisture
across the region and we are seeing scattered showers with a few
thunderstorms which will persist into Wednesday. Chances for
widespread showers increase Thursday as a strong cold low pressure
system moves out of British Columbia and toward eastern Idaho. An
associated cold front will move thorugh the region Thursday
afternoon and Thursday night while the low deepens across the
central Idaho mountains. Expect good chances of precipitation
across the central Idaho mountains on Friday as the low slowly
moves east. Snow levels will fall considerably to around 8000 ft,
so don`t be surprised to see a light dusting of snow across the
peaks of the central Idaho mountains by Saturday morning
. This
system will move through eastern Idaho on Saturday with good
chances for showers possible once again, especially north from
Hailey over to Pocatello and Montpelier. Looks like dry weather
sets in for Sunday with another system possibly bringing more
precipitation to the region for Monday and Tuesday
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
bradjl2009
post Sep 12 2017, 08:00 PM
Post #58




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,555
Joined: 27-November 08
From: Pittsburgh, PA
Member No.: 16,265





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Sep 12 2017, 06:00 PM) *
Sorry for the delayed replies.

You jinxed it...here comes the eastern ridge!. Lol. Hope its temporary. Warm Autumns are not fun...

Oops lol, I guess you can't expect to go an entire summer without some stretch of summer like weather with it being a transition month and all. Yesterday and today still gave us some solid below normal temperatures but today looks like the last day until this ridge goes away. It doesn't take long to notice trees with some leaves changing or greens going lighter in this area though. The last two falls and winters have been miserable for me, way too warm. Really hoping this fall is different!

This post has been edited by bradjl2009: Sep 12 2017, 08:01 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
grace
post Sep 13 2017, 10:08 AM
Post #59




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 11,056
Joined: 21-January 10
From: Paducah, Ky
Member No.: 21,017





I noticed it looks like Eurasia is getting ready to go in the Deep Freeze. This happened last year.... certainly didn't help for winter in the US

This post has been edited by grace: Sep 14 2017, 06:51 AM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Ahoff
post Sep 13 2017, 10:10 AM
Post #60




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 62
Joined: 28-January 17
From: Pittsburgh
Member No.: 31,393





I'm just surprised this September has stayed as cool as it has for this long, and in the beginning of the month. Usually in Pittsburgh we're regularly in the 80s and pushing 90 through the first ten days of the month. Can't really complain if we get a little warmth the next few weeks, and I'm not really surprised. Just hope it's not going to be the norm for the rest of Fall and Winter.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

5 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 5 >
Reply to this topicStart new topic
4 User(s) are reading this topic (4 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 22nd September 2017 - 09:15 PM