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> Spring 2018, Seasonal thread
snowgeek93
post Mar 12 2018, 02:08 PM
Post #41




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Light snow flurries here this afternoon. No accumulation to speak of.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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Apocalypse
post Mar 12 2018, 05:18 PM
Post #42




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Light flurries all day. Grass is white now but everything else is still bare.
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snowgeek93
post Mar 13 2018, 06:34 AM
Post #43




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Snow cover is back this morning. It won't last of course but it's great to boost our snow totals some more.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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puttin
post Mar 13 2018, 07:21 AM
Post #44




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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Mar 13 2018, 06:34 AM) *
Snow cover is back this morning. It won't last of course but it's great to boost our snow totals some more.


I measured 4 cm in Newmarket this morning. I knew I would jinx things. Go away snow, who cares now. I want Spring! mad.gif
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snowgeek93
post Mar 13 2018, 08:16 AM
Post #45




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Surprised to see some sunshine and clear skies here this morning. Hope it can stick around for a bit. The end of the week and into the weekend look great for sunshine!


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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MrMusic
post Mar 13 2018, 11:54 AM
Post #46




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Full sun and no wind today until about noon....a nice surprise considering the forecast. EC has had a terrible time lately of making basic forecasts day to day.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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MrMusic
post Mar 13 2018, 01:16 PM
Post #47




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And just like that, all ensemble sets have wiped out the upcoming mild spell.
The price we pay for a mild half of Feb...looks below normal now right through the next couple weeks. Although I'd take week 2 with a grain of salt based on the abysmal performance of models this winter.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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snowgeek93
post Mar 13 2018, 01:38 PM
Post #48




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Some peaks of sun this afternoon. I don't care how long the cold lasts, just give me some sunshine any day.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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Stl
post Mar 13 2018, 02:13 PM
Post #49




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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Mar 13 2018, 02:16 PM) *
And just like that, all ensemble sets have wiped out the upcoming mild spell.
The price we pay for a mild half of Feb...looks below normal now right through the next couple weeks. Although I'd take week 2 with a grain of salt based on the abysmal performance of models this winter.


Hi MrMusic , it was predictable with the oscillations favoring cold weather for us , any mild spells shouldn't even be considered too much , ensembles have a hard time showing this it seem.

MJO might go in phase 5 when it starting again in 2 week and that is cold weather for us.

Ya that warm spell that we got is now coming back to haunt us.

This post has been edited by Stl: Mar 13 2018, 02:14 PM
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MrMusic
post Mar 13 2018, 06:26 PM
Post #50




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QUOTE(Stl @ Mar 13 2018, 02:13 PM) *
Hi MrMusic , it was predictable with the oscillations favoring cold weather for us , any mild spells shouldn't even be considered too much , ensembles have a hard time showing this it seem.

MJO might go in phase 5 when it starting again in 2 week and that is cold weather for us.

Ya that warm spell that we got is now coming back to haunt us.


Yup, the upper pattern supports this. I suspect another nor'easter will also be in the cards with the continued -NAO


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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Stl
post Mar 13 2018, 06:29 PM
Post #51




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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Mar 13 2018, 07:26 PM) *
Yup, the upper pattern supports this. I suspect another nor'easter will also be in the cards with the continued -NAO


There's a few dates showing would another Nor'easter indeed.

Euro as a few nights for here in the -20c next week , wouldn't be suprise if it happens.

This post has been edited by Stl: Mar 13 2018, 06:32 PM
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MrMusic
post Mar 13 2018, 07:55 PM
Post #52




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I realize this rarely verifies, but there's a strong signal for big lake effect snow along the west end of L Ontario next Mon eve into Wed.... would be pretty epic if it verified this late. I suspect models will back away from the idea, but it's there at the moment.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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puttin
post Mar 13 2018, 08:15 PM
Post #53




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From: Newmarket
Member No.: 12,834





QUOTE(MrMusic @ Mar 13 2018, 07:55 PM) *
I realize this rarely verifies, but there's a strong signal for big lake effect snow along the west end of L Ontario next Mon eve into Wed.... would be pretty epic if it verified this late. I suspect models will back away from the idea, but it's there at the moment.

More spring snow in Newmarket, enough to make it depressing, come on spring... Light snow is what you would like to see in November not March!
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Stl
post Mar 13 2018, 09:29 PM
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QUOTE(puttin @ Mar 13 2018, 09:15 PM) *
More spring snow in Newmarket, enough to make it depressing, come on spring... Light snow is what you would like to see in November not March!


Spring skipped the line so Winter told him to go back where he was. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by Stl: Mar 13 2018, 09:33 PM
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kush61
post Mar 14 2018, 12:19 AM
Post #55




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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Mar 13 2018, 07:55 PM) *
I realize this rarely verifies, but there's a strong signal for big lake effect snow along the west end of L Ontario next Mon eve into Wed.... would be pretty epic if it verified this late. I suspect models will back away from the idea, but it's there at the moment.


I was working (outside) in Dundas On. on Tues., a whiteout squall wafted through just after 4:00pm lasting 15-20 minutes. Absolutely amazing experience.
I see the GFS has a LPC passing South of Lake Erie on the 20th. EXCELLANT!!!
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Lake effect
post Mar 14 2018, 05:57 AM
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Nice LES off GB this morning in Collingwood area. Surprised there's no big band off Huron, but the winds are a bit more messy. The GB LES should head Eastward later, and maybe give a few cm for Barrie this evening before dying out. Friday looks good as well for some NW flow LES. But seriously, I'm happy to talk about this stuff in late November through February, but I just want it gone now. Aa Mrmusic said...the outlook is not good though.
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snowgeek93
post Mar 14 2018, 06:45 AM
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Yet another day with snow cover here, albeit light tongue.gif

I'm alright with boosting our totals for the season but I want to see some sun as well, either works for me nature rolleyes.gif


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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puttin
post Mar 14 2018, 07:09 AM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Mar 14 2018, 06:45 AM) *
Yet another day with snow cover here, albeit light tongue.gif

I'm alright with boosting our totals for the season but I want to see some sun as well, either works for me nature rolleyes.gif

Another 4-5 cm here this morning. I was surprised to see how much there was when I let the dog out and when I got to work, it was worse. The snow covered my boots and the plow guy was plowing our parking lot. Aurora got more than Newmarket, less than 2 minutes away. Let this season be done, no more boosting please.

This post has been edited by puttin: Mar 14 2018, 07:21 AM
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Lake effect
post Mar 14 2018, 08:33 AM
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QUOTE(puttin @ Mar 14 2018, 07:09 AM) *
Another 4-5 cm here this morning. I was surprised to see how much there was when I let the dog out and when I got to work, it was worse. The snow covered my boots and the plow guy was plowing our parking lot. Aurora got more than Newmarket, less than 2 minutes away. Let this season be done, no more boosting please.


Agreed, I'd prefer the numbers to stay low so that it will go down on record as a winter that sucked here. Doesn't matter how much it snows here, won't make up for the fact that most of the key months were rubbish.
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snowbelt
post Mar 14 2018, 08:43 AM
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I would say that probably one of our biggest lake effect events of the season is happening right now in my area . Major squall coming off G bay in the Collingwood area extending SSE for 150 km . 15 cm of accumulation so far . Just went out and did some shoveling and I can hear the plows in the distance . Spring is in the air, NOT..........
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