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> Feb. 21-23 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, CLOSED - OBS thread is open
Removed_Member_crankee yankee_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE(NJBLIZZARD @ Feb 20 2009, 09:13 PM) *
someone mentioned a hatteras bomb before..could it be?

hatteras bomb!!!!!!!!.....no way!!....signs of dev off hatteras..yes!!...but untill it gets big enough to throw moisture west itll be in nne
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Edhannafan
post Feb 20 2009, 08:21 PM
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Nah, at hour 42 when the bulk is passing through temps are pushing near 40 in the city. sad.gif


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The weather outside is NOT frightful.
But the fire is still delightful.
Let it snow!
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yankees
post Feb 20 2009, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE(missmarisa @ Feb 20 2009, 09:19 PM) *
The freezing line goes right over my house...what else is new?? dry.gif


I am mad as that looks like i am just above freezing. I however am not worried as all the other layers are below freezing so i should be all snow and could still see good accumulations


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09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches)
10-11 60.5 inches
11-12 21 inches
12-13 45.5 inches
13-14 57 inches
14-15 57.5 inches
15-16 28.5 inches
16-17 56 inches
17-18 68.5 inches
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Removed_Member_starsinmysky_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:22 PM
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Holy cow!

54 hrs

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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 20 2009, 08:22 PM
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To me this run looks a little better, the low is a little south of before, before it seemed like it developed over NYC and tracked basically to Boston, now it develops a little south of NYC and tracks to around Cape Cod, also it develops faster and throws back precip furthest west to where NYC is still getting decent precip at hour 48, don't know if that is snow by then or not though.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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hckyplayer8
post Feb 20 2009, 08:23 PM
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QUOTE(missmarisa @ Feb 20 2009, 09:19 PM) *
The freezing line goes right over my house...what else is new?? dry.gif


With the 850 540 way to your east and 2m freezing marginal, I think your pretty safe for all snow. I see the conditionals agree. smile.gif


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Grand Forks AFB 2015-2016 Snowfall - 28.85" 52 days of trace






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grandpaboy
post Feb 20 2009, 08:23 PM
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this is the 45hr NAM>>>>>
Attached Image
Attached Image




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SnowMan11
post Feb 20 2009, 08:23 PM
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0z Nam is stronger with the storm but warm. All the layers are cold enough except for the surface once again. How come a nice high couldn't be in a right spot in time for this storm.


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WEATHERFAN100
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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just got back from dinner... whats the details o nthe 00z NAM lemme guess hmm another bad run?


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Edhannafan
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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2m temps at 48 hours.
Attached Image


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The weather outside is NOT frightful.
But the fire is still delightful.
Let it snow!
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snofan
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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QUOTE(starsinmysky @ Feb 20 2009, 09:22 PM) *
Holy *bleep*!

54 hrs



We are going to get hammered if this comes true. Look at that deep moisture.


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LoveNYCSnow
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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QUOTE(yankees @ Feb 20 2009, 09:21 PM) *
I am mad as that looks like i am just above freezing. I however am not worried as all the other layers are below freezing so i should be all snow and could still see good accumulations


yea i am pretty sure as long as the low stays south of the city you will be all snow but temps may be above freezing holding down on accumulations a little.


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2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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sw03181
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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first and final call on this event. based on NAM, GFS, 2m temps.

NYC-SNH: all rain, .5-1.00 inches of rain

portland: snow to mix, 3-7

Central and N NH, interior ME: snow, 6-10


--------------------
Rob
2012-2013 Total Snowfall: 85.5"
2013-2014 Total Snowfall: 60.95"


[size=2]2014-2015 Winter Wx predictions (Nov. 1 -- Mar. 31) :
Total snowfall: 40 /- 6"
Actual: 14.25"

11/14: 0.25"
11/26: 2.5"
11/27: T
12/2: T
12/11: 0.5"
12/20: T (flurries)
12/21 2.0
1/2: T (flurries)
1/3: 1"
1/6: T (dusting)
1/7: T (flurries)
1/9: 3"
1/14: T (dusting)
1/24: 5"
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Removed_Member_NJBLIZZARD_*
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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QUOTE(missmarisa @ Feb 20 2009, 09:19 PM) *
The freezing line goes right over my house...what else is new?? dry.gif


doesn't matter your fine. the upper atmesphere is far below freezing so it may be between 32-34 and ull be seeing snow. you will probably end up with 1-4 inches
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hckyplayer8
post Feb 20 2009, 08:24 PM
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QUOTE(starsinmysky @ Feb 20 2009, 09:22 PM) *
Holy *bleep*!

54 hrs



I'm telling you Danny....if that northern s/w does not form we have a SECS brewing.


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Grand Forks AFB 2015-2016 Snowfall - 28.85" 52 days of trace






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shane m.
post Feb 20 2009, 08:25 PM
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QUOTE(WEATHERFAN100 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:24 PM) *
just got back from dinner... whats the details o nthe 00z NAM lemme guess hmm another bad run?

just go back a couple pages and read lol


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yankees
post Feb 20 2009, 08:26 PM
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Man what stinks is i see heavy precip and all my levels are below freezing yet the surface is border. Do you guys see all snow by me and if you guys do can i still get accumulations or will i see not much


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Severe Weather
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09-10 43.5 inches ( Newly Updated from 39 inches)
10-11 60.5 inches
11-12 21 inches
12-13 45.5 inches
13-14 57 inches
14-15 57.5 inches
15-16 28.5 inches
16-17 56 inches
17-18 68.5 inches
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hckyplayer8
post Feb 20 2009, 08:26 PM
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QUOTE(SnowMan11 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:23 PM) *
0z Nam is stronger with the storm but warm. All the layers are cold enough except for the surface once again. How come a nice high couldn't be in a right spot in time for this storm.


That's exactly why we want this "clipper" to die. The vort riding the ridge south will hit the S/W swinging across the Texas panhandle and.....BOOM. blink.gif


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Grand Forks AFB 2015-2016 Snowfall - 28.85" 52 days of trace






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SnowMan11
post Feb 20 2009, 08:27 PM
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QUOTE(starsinmysky @ Feb 20 2009, 09:22 PM) *
Holy cow!

54 hrs



Nice looking storm. Too bad it doesn't bomb out near us.


QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Feb 20 2009, 09:22 PM) *
To me this run looks a little better, the low is a little south of before, before it seemed like it developed over NYC and tracked basically to Boston, now it develops a little south of NYC and tracks to around Cape Cod, also it develops faster and throws back precip furthest west to where NYC is still getting decent precip at hour 48, don't know if that is snow by then or not though.


Still bad for NYC. We would still see snow but no accumulations. Still have the rest of 0z runs and tomorrow for a nice trend in our favor.


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grandpaboy
post Feb 20 2009, 08:27 PM
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QUOTE(sw03181 @ Feb 20 2009, 09:24 PM) *
first and final call on this event. based on NAM, GFS, 2m temps.

NYC-SNH: all rain, .5-1.00 inches of rain

portland: snow to mix, 3-7

Central and N NH, interior ME: snow, 6-10



i don't really believe NYC is all rain, but it will be close


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