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Solstice
Rank: F5 Superstorm
17 years old
Male
New Canaan, CT (elevation 550 ft)
Born Jan-28-2001
Interests
Weather (of course), cycling, hiking, etc.
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Joined: 8-December 17
Profile Views: 4,335*
Last Seen: Yesterday, 10:30 PM
Local Time: Feb 20 2018, 06:46 AM
595 posts (8 per day)
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Solstice

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4 Feb 2018
I was quite annoyed at the rainfest so I figured I'd make this thread to blow off steam.

SOI shows a decent drop in the timeframe.
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BSR shows a good upper-level low in the region. Surface is rather jumbled.
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EAR and Geopotential Anomalies
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[Click to Animate]


Comparison of Northern Hemisphere, initialization vs. 150 hours (GFS).
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Model Hugging
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Lastly I rolled this 20-sided die (clearly the best teleconnection).
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Correct anything if need be.
28 Jan 2018
Link to Forecasting Thread.

Precipitation commenced a while ago, but better late than never.
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Current Radar (Static)
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GOES-16 Mid-Level Water Vapor (Static)
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Latest High-Resolution Surface Analysis (18z)
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25 Jan 2018
Hey there... me again laugh.gif. Noticed this had no thread so felt the urge to make it.
Most models showing a major snowstorm for the region.

CMC
Attached File  gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_secan_21.png ( 158.84K ) Number of downloads: 5


GFS
Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_secan_18.png ( 157.56K ) Number of downloads: 1


ICON
Attached File  icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_secan_37.png ( 176.59K ) Number of downloads: 1


ICON Snowmap (Storm hasn't even moved out... so even more to come)
Attached File  icon_asnow_secan_41.png ( 104.24K ) Number of downloads: 4
16 Jan 2018
Hey there, I'm far from a Canadian but I jinxed this threat on US forums.

GFS and GEM are in scary agreement to a cutter moving through the system in the timeframe.
Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_26.png ( 194.5K ) Number of downloads: 2

Attached File  gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png ( 181.25K ) Number of downloads: 2


SOI drops big in the timeframe, shows potential for a storm.
Attached File  soi_conus__2_.png ( 41.51K ) Number of downloads: 1


However with a negative PNA, likely to be no western ridge, making it a nasty rainstorm sad.gif
Attached File  4indices__4_.png ( 81.65K ) Number of downloads: 0


BSR also shows a storm pushing far North
Attached File  18_0122_00.gif ( 137.64K ) Number of downloads: 1
8 Jan 2018
Probably stretching my luck but...

BSR compared to 01/04 Storm looks semi-similar... is that hint of a phase I see?
QUOTE
Attached File  18_0104_00_500.gif ( 128.06K ) Number of downloads: 110

Attached File  18_0124_12_500.gif ( 129.53K ) Number of downloads: 120


SOI plunges = drool.
QUOTE
Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_08_at_9.09.34_PM.png ( 23.81K ) Number of downloads: 48


Hovm÷ller Analysis has a couple dates in the ballpark... albeit an old one.
QUOTE
Attached File  January10_HovmollerAnalysis.png ( 187.95K ) Number of downloads: 108


RRWT
QUOTE
Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_08_at_9.03.09_PM.png ( 279.85K ) Number of downloads: 108


*begins intensely sweating*
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