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JDClapper
Rank: F5 Superstorm
38 years old
Male
Loyalsock, PA (eastern suburb of Williamsport, PA, Elev 581')
Born July-27-1979
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Joined: 28-October 11
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Last Seen: Yesterday, 11:21 PM
Local Time: Dec 12 2017, 02:28 AM
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JDClapper

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6 Dec 2017
This one has been popping up with some frequency since it came into range on GFS, and has some OFM support.

BSR for this period had a super slow mover in the neighborhood.

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Recently, RRWT had ~31 days .. take 12/18 - 31 days = 11/17 .. here's what that looked like.
http://www.consonantchaos.com/a-all.html

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EAR .. (6-10 correlation) has a storm in the neighborhood too..

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And modern day technology, past 5 runs of GFS, sniffing something..

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Looking at OFM.. I get the feeling this may be a more NE threat than MidAtl .. but, that's why we follow along. smile.gif
4 Feb 2017
Throwing up a hail mary on this one? It can be football type, or relgious, you choose smile.gif

H5's and OFM look interesting. It may become "something", it may not, but it's showing up for several runs, let's discuss.

1st .. OFM

BSR has some activity .. some dimples .. some northern, some southern. It certainly does not appear to be eye candy to my eyes, but, there is activity.

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EAR looks much more tantalizing .. some storminess could be about in the region if this correlates. You can see on the 2/12 panel, northern and souther energy then phasing on 2/13 around our region and then heading ENE offshore.

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RRWT 500s look absolutely pukefest. Mega-ridge in the east.

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How about some model data?

GFS has a bunch going on and timing is not right to really make much impact. However.. this is 200+ hours. So much can change, good or bad.


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CMC H5 looks really interesting. Too bad it's druncle, but, it has some pieces the GFS has, just different timing.

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Euro also has something in the neighborhood.

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It's a total long shot... or is it? Throw up your hail mary's now. Besides, "winter is over" after the 15th... right? This is it, don't get scared.
15 Nov 2016
Long time lurker .. been watching you guys for awhile and have come to the conclusion anyone can do this.. I mean, can't do much worse.

biggrin.gif

In all seriousness .. Thanksgiving period looks active. 18z GFS was some candy (click to animate) .. CMC, Euro, NAV seem to have it, but timing differences.. oh yeah, a little BSR support never hurt no one... here we go!

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BSR ..


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18 Feb 2016
This kind of popped up on us... 0z NAM agreeing with UK and Euro on a sneaky system with some potential snows in the Northern MidAtl

NAM

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UK
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Euro
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28 Mar 2015
Clipper swinging through Tuesday PM into early April Fool's AM.

Here's the 12z tracks (black is 18z GFS) .. Euro is cooler for folks south of I-80, while GFS/CMC generally keep this an I-80 and north snow potential.

At the very least, we'll have some cool/cold rain showers to deal with.

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Some sparse sampling until it hits the US for the 0z runs Monday night (0z 3/31). We aren't that far away though, not sure I'm expecting significant changes from the current general idea.

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12z and 18z GFS snow maps.

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RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 12th December 2017 - 01:28 AM