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NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:27 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


You guys ready for this weekend?? blink.gif

Source:

Tomorrows Max temps





Sundays Max..







Real Feel for Sunday ohmy.gif Really?? 95-100?? blink.gif


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2247999 · Replies: · Views: 893

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:39 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


NWS Buffalo.. Reminding us how the pattern was mostly this past summer but downplaying the cool down coming next week? Is it really "just" seasonable? Maybe. Still 7 days away. Or maybe end of week for them, not weekend. Anyway..


QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
716 AM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

A pattern change enters the picture for the second half of next week
going into the beginning of October. Global models are in good
agreement that the all-too-familiar western CONUS ridge will make a
reappearance by mid to late week, which will open the door for
troughing across the Great Lakes and eventually the Northeast, as we
have seen for much of the summer.


After the heat peaks Sunday/Monday as mentioned above, the ridging
starts to weaken and shift eastward Tuesday into Wednesday as a
trough moves over the upper Great Lakes by late Wednesday. The
result will be subtly cooling temperatures Tuesday into Wednesday,
although daily highs will still be in the mid to upper 80s Tuesday,
and the low to mid 80s Wednesday (which remains about 15 degrees
above climo for this time of year). Finally a chance for showers or
even a few thunderstorms enters the picture as a cold front eases
through the region in the Wednesday night to Thursday time frame.
Despite much cooler air expected to spill across the region in the
wake of the cold front passage, this airmass change will only get us
back down to near more seasonal values by late week, with highs in
the upper 60s to low 70s Thursday.




Check out Euro 850 temps for 8pm next Saturday. Normal for Albany is 7°C. Extreme is about -4°C


Attached Image



  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2247929 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 03:22 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Didn't realize how widespread the 90s were back there. Clouds all day here thanks to Jose. Only 70s. Meanwhile upper mid-80s in South NJ and Philly.

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2247873 · Replies: · Views: 893

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 02:20 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Euro12z

CODE
ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: DXR    LAT=  41.37 LON=  -73.48 ELE=   456

                                            12Z SEP21
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK
THU 12Z 21-SEP  20.5    15.1    1016      84      45    0.00     583     570    
THU 18Z 21-SEP  25.3    13.8    1015      57      11    0.00     585     571    
FRI 00Z 22-SEP  20.8    12.9    1016      76       9    0.00     585     571    
FRI 06Z 22-SEP  17.6    15.5    1017      56      17    0.00     584     570    
FRI 12Z 22-SEP  17.5    15.3    1017      64      58    0.00     584     570    
FRI 18Z 22-SEP  25.4    14.1    1015      54      54    0.00     584     571    
SAT 00Z 23-SEP  20.9    15.5    1015      69      48    0.00     585     572    
SAT 06Z 23-SEP  18.8    15.3    1015      66      38    0.00     584     572    
SAT 12Z 23-SEP  17.5    16.2    1016      70      15    0.00     586     572    
SAT 18Z 23-SEP  26.7    17.8    1015      40      25    0.00     587     574    
SUN 00Z 24-SEP  22.4    17.2    1015      67      53    0.00     588     575    
SUN 06Z 24-SEP  20.9    16.1    1016      82      43    0.00     588     574    
SUN 12Z 24-SEP  20.8    15.8    1018      83      30    0.00     590     574    
SUN 18Z 24-SEP  29.1    16.2    1017      51      38    0.00     590     575    
MON 00Z 25-SEP  23.1    19.3    1016      82      41    0.00     590     576    
MON 06Z 25-SEP  20.0    19.3    1016      92      32    0.00     589     576    
MON 12Z 25-SEP  20.9    19.5    1017      89      26    0.00     590     575    
MON 18Z 25-SEP  30.2    19.5    1015      49      41    0.00     589     576    
TUE 00Z 26-SEP  23.7    19.8    1015      73      28    0.00     588     576    
TUE 06Z 26-SEP  21.2    18.8    1014      76      27    0.00     587     574    
TUE 12Z 26-SEP  20.6    17.7    1016      79      20    0.00     586     572    
TUE 18Z 26-SEP  29.2    17.2    1014      46      20    0.00     586     573    
WED 00Z 27-SEP  22.5    17.1    1015      79      19    0.00     585     573    
WED 06Z 27-SEP  19.7    15.8    1015      93      23    0.00     584     571    
WED 12Z 27-SEP  18.6    15.6    1016      90      26    0.00     583     570    
WED 18Z 27-SEP  26.0    15.8    1012      55      31    0.00     582     572    
THU 00Z 28-SEP  20.7    15.5    1010      82      27    0.00     581     572    
THU 06Z 28-SEP  17.4    17.9    1009      95      25    0.00     579     571    
THU 12Z 28-SEP  17.6    16.7    1008      92      42    0.00     577     570    
THU 18Z 28-SEP  24.0    14.7    1007      67      68    0.00     576     571    
FRI 00Z 29-SEP  20.0    11.6    1008      66      22    0.00     576     568    
FRI 06Z 29-SEP  15.0     9.8    1010      64       7    0.00     573     564    
FRI 12Z 29-SEP  13.7     6.7    1012      72      11    0.00     572     562    
FRI 18Z 29-SEP  19.4     5.2    1012      39      15    0.00     570     560    
SAT 00Z 30-SEP  15.1     3.8    1016      52      27    0.00     570     556    
SAT 06Z 30-SEP  12.0     2.6    1019      62      38    0.00     569     553    
SAT 12Z 30-SEP  10.8     1.7    1023      72      36    0.00     570     551    
SAT 18Z 30-SEP  15.6     1.3    1023      43      22    0.00     571     552    
SUN 00Z 01-OCT  13.4     2.6    1024      61      29    0.00     572     552    
SUN 06Z 01-OCT  12.6     2.3    1025      70      65    0.00     573     553    
SUN 12Z 01-OCT  11.3     4.6    1026      78      95    0.10     575     554
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2247864 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 07:57 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


https://twitter.com/PWMwxME/status/910846404507181059

GFS shown here for Sun & Mon

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2247824 · Replies: · Views: 893

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 05:59 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Been watching the GFS past 5 days, Euro past 3 days both consistently showing the chill coming for next weekend (now 8-9 days away)


Some NWS offices starting to mention this change coming as its entering their long range discussions... Enjoy next 7 days.


QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
323 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

A more significant pattern change will arrive by late next week as
the pattern changes across North America, allowing a longwave trough
to become established across the Great Lakes and eventually New
England. This will force temperatures back to normal by late next
week, and possibly even below normal by the following weekend going
into the first few days of October.




From NWS Cleveland


QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
647 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

The upper level ridge finally starts to break down
by Wednesday as low pressure tracks out of the Plains towards Hudson
Bay. A chance of showers or possibly thunderstorms may accompany the
cold front late Wednesday into Wednesday night. This cold front will
bring an abrupt end to the stretch of well above normal temperatures
that we have been experiencing over the last week or more.


  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2247808 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 05:18 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Attached Image


Attached Image
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2247801 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 05:17 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


While we got Summer in the east ............ There's Frost in CA and snow down to 4000' in MT.


1-4" above 5k.
5-10" above 6k.
8-18" above 8k




Nice write up by Brook Foster

Accumulating Snow May Impact Travel

QUOTE
The threat of valley rain and mountain snow will continue today.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until late Friday night for locations above 4500 feet including Butte, Georgetown Lake, Anaconda, Philipsburg, MacDonald, Homestake, Kings Hill, Bozeman, Monida, Raynolds, Lost Trail and other mountain passes will be impacted by winter weather. Rain and snow will develop today, with widespread snow down to 5500 feet by late this evening through Friday morning. Snow above 6000 feet will continue through Friday. Generally, 1 to 4 inches of snow are possible above 5000 feet with 5 to 10 inches above 6000 feet. Locally higher amounts across the higher mountain peaks.

Significant snow is expected in Yellowstone National Park and adjacent parts of Montana. A WINTER STORM WARNING is posted above 8000 feet in the Absaroka and Beartooth Mountains where 8 to 18 inches of snow are possible. In Yellowstone Park, snowfall of 3 to 6 inches above 7500 feet and 6 to 12 inches above 8500 feet.

Snow is also likely in the Butte, Bozeman and Dillon areas on Friday, with some accumulations.

Continued cold with lows in the 30s. Daytime highs continue to run below normal in the 40s and 50s.

Partly sunny skies this weekend. Highs in the upper 40s and 50s.

We'll see daytime highs warming back to the 60s by the middle of the week.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2247800 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 20 2017, 02:30 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Maria, Maria... where will you go.





Latest Hurricane Models looks closer west more?




12z

GFS teases North Carolina but goes OTS.
Canadian hits Virginia then quickly turns OTS
Euro teases NJ but goes OTS
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247720 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 20 2017, 05:30 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


NHC 5am update::


QUOTE
Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM AST Wed Sep 20 2017

...CORE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE MARIA NEARING PUERTO
RICO...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 65.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF VIEQUES
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...917 MB...27.08 INCHES

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
near latitude 17.9 North, longitude 65.6 West. Maria is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwest
to northwest motion is expected to continue through today, followed
by a northwestward motion on Thursday. On the forecast track the
eye of Maria will make landfall in Puerto Rico in a couple of hours,
cross Puerto Rico today, and pass just north of the northeast coast
of the Dominican Republic tonight and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Maria is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, and it should maintain this
intensity until landfall.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km). Fajardo recently reported sustained winds of 79 mph (128
km/h) with a gust to 100 mph (161 km/h).

The minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 917 mb (27.08 inches).







Latest Hurricane Model Tracks


  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247605 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 20 2017, 05:21 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


0.10" of rain here yesterday from the first distinctive band Jose had.


6am Map with wind gusts on. Winds gusting to 20mph here from the North now as Jose is closer.


It's about 200 miles south of Nantucket now. Moving slowly at 8mph and about to make a uturn soon





In motion. 2-6am. only Eastern MA with the rains and looks like CT wont get anymore as it pulls further away





Onto the next Tropical Cyclone..... Maria!
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247602 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 18 2017, 10:53 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


7:15-11:15am loop

  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246962 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 18 2017, 10:46 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864




11:30am map with wind gusts. The center of Jose is about 275 miles off the NC coast. Not much wind even for coastal NC but is breezy with 20mph+ gusts. Temps in the 70s mostly.


Attached Image

  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246961 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 17 2017, 04:42 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Nice west trends. Euro12z close again and gives me over 2" of rain and 40mph+ wind gusts Tues-Wed AND... the wind gusts over 25mph continue for Thurs & Friday too as it stalls it off the coast. Lol.


Tropical Storm Watches are up


Attached Image




QUOTE
Tropical Storm Watch
CTZ009-180530-
/O.NEW.KOKX.TR.A.1012.170917T2129Z-000000T0000Z/
Southern Fairfield-
529 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means Tropical storm wind conditions are
possible somewhere within this area and within the next 48 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Stamford
- Norwalk
- Bridgeport

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph

- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: Elevated
- Emergency planning should include a reasonable threat for
tropical storm force wind of 39 to 57 mph.

- To be safe, prepare for the potential of limited wind
impacts. Efforts should now be underway to secure all
properties.



NWS NY

QUOTE
National Weather Service New York NY
437 PM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017


Confidence in a period of tropical storm winds and heavy rain is
increasing for LI/CT during the Tuesday into Wed period. The
exact track of Jose will affect the intensity of winds, rain,
and coastal impacts for the region during this time period.

High confidence for Jose to bring increasingly dangerous surf,
widespread dune erosion (waves hitting base of dunes), and localized
washovers (wave overtopping dunes) into middle of next week.

Potential for minor to moderate coastal flooding is increasing
with the greatest impacts during the late Tuesday - Wednesday
timeframe. See the tides and coastal flooding section for
additional details.

Rainfall amounts are expected to range between 1 and 3 inches,
with the highest amounts across Eastern long Island and eastern
CT.



"Now till further notice"? lol


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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246863 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 17 2017, 09:56 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Hmmm, didn't expect this. More than half?

https://twitter.com/Accu_Jesse/status/909426544376008704

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246769 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 17 2017, 09:27 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Attached Image
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2246763 · Replies: · Views: 137,638

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 17 2017, 07:02 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Euro00z wants to be a comedian? Basically stops and stalls Jose just off the coast. Brings like 4 days of rain, wind driven rain at times. Gusts over 35mph. Coastal flooding.


Upton says speed track and intensity not 100% on yet. They mention the Euro. But interesting note on the mention of the westward jog with overnight models again.


QUOTE
National Weather Service New York NY
716 AM EDT Sun Sep 17 2017

All attention is on Jose during this period. Operational and
ensemble model guidance remain in general agreement on lifting
Jose northward through Tuesday morning, but then some critical
differences remain in speed, track, and intensity during the
eastward curving process near the region Tuesday Night/Wed
period.


00z guidance has once again shifted the track west from
the 12z runs and now the 00z ECMWF has become the outlier
bringing the center of the storm approximately 75 miles S of
Montauk before making a hard right turn. With the exception of
the NAM, the remainder of the deterministic guidance and GEFS
mean take Jose outside of the 40N 70W benchmark Tue night. This
model spread could continue through the next 24-48 hours, so
please continue to monitor NHC forecasts for official
information about tropical cyclone Jose, at
http:/hurricanes.gov. It`s important to note that typical NHC
forecast track errors 3 to 4 days out generally range from
around 100 to 150 miles, respectively.

These differences considerably affect the intensity of winds,
rain, and coastal impacts for the region during this time
period. The sensitivity for this forecast as depicted by the SBU
ensemble sensitivity tool is the strength of Jose itself and
its interaction with lingering East coast troughing and more so
strength of a PAC shortwave (currently entering the PAC NW)
riding towards the east coast around a Canadian upper low by
Tuesday.

Based on this uncertainty, still too early to lock in on most
hazard/impact details. Highest forecast confidence at this point is
for building long period swells increasing the threat for high
surf, widespread dune erosion (waves hitting base of dunes),
localized washovers (wave overtopping dunes), and dangerous rip
currents into the middle of next week.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246754 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 17 2017, 05:43 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Forecasted to be a Cat 3 over Puerto Rico.

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246748 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 16 2017, 09:35 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(stuffradio @ Sep 14 2017, 02:27 PM) *
The thread should be changed to La Nina watch now.



Yup.. Someone send the original poster a PM.

I didn't even know there were watches and warnings for an ENSO Phase. lol


Click on Monthly El Niņo/La Niņa Diagnostics Discussion


  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2246679 · Replies: · Views: 54,206

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 16 2017, 08:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


September 16, 2017


Lots of Parking lots have Locust trees in them. 95% of them have or are turning yellow now





At Costco today... Gloves are out..





On the other side there's Mums.





Hand warmers..





Shovels?






Lowes today... Snow blowers. Maybe that guy is running to buy one before they sell out...or the lawn mower down there. We are still mowing the lawns of course. 79F today and muggy dews 68°F




  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2246670 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 16 2017, 08:39 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


September 14, 2017. Parkway..





Backroad..




  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2246669 · Replies: · Views: 11,222

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 16 2017, 05:35 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864




18z Hurricane model tracks. Grabbed this before they changed the title to Maria


Attached Image



Intensity

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246657 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 16 2017, 06:38 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Latest 00z OPs September 16, 2017:


GFS: No landfall. Light rains NYC to Boston heavier on the MA capes. Breezy, stronger on the capes.

Canadian: Landfall in Rhode Island. Heavy wind driven rains for Long Island, CT, RI and MA. Strong winds at coasts.

Euro: No landfall. Light rains NYC to Boston heavier on the MA capes. Breezy

Navy: Landfall in Eastern MA. Lots of rain for Eastern Long Island & CT and Strong winds. Stalls out off MA coast.


Attached Image



hurricane Model updates

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246572 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 16 2017, 06:37 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


NHC 5am Update: Jose is moving slow at 9mph and is a Cat 1. Could get stronger next couple days.


QUOTE
BULLETIN
Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 44...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
500 AM EDT Sat Sep 16 2017

...JOSE MOVING STEADILY NORTHWESTWARD...

...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES LATER
TODAY...



SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 71.8W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located
near latitude 27.9 North, longitude 71.8 West. Jose is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the north with a
slight decrease in forward speed is expected later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Jose could become a little stronger, and is expected to
remain a hurricane for the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, and the southeast
coast of the United States, and will spread northward along the
Mid-Atlantic coast of the U.S. during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. For more information, please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.



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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246571 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

NorEaster07
Posted on: Sep 15 2017, 06:19 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,110
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


On September 13th (2 days ago) Ed posted that tweet on the left to not write off Jose yet and showed the blocking..... Yesterday he tweeted a reminder of his tweet and said it still applied. Just now he again reminded us.

I'm sure you guys in here caught onto that as well, I just haven't been following much on Jose.


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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246368 · Replies: · Views: 149,085

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