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> Long Range Winter 2017-2018: Thoughts, Outlooks and Discussion, Share your thoughts, forecasts, on-going trends and more
Solstice
post Jan 10 2018, 08:33 AM
Post #2281




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RRWT Eye Candy
Interesting February...

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.32.33_AM.png ( 271.15K ) Number of downloads: 9

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.32.51_AM.png ( 295.34K ) Number of downloads: 5

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.38.03_AM.png ( 369.77K ) Number of downloads: 6


Page Topper / MDBR Fetish
Q: Did you hear about the war between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia?
A: The Newfies were lobbing hand grenades; the Nova Scotians were pulling the pins and throwing them back.

This post has been edited by Solstice: Jan 10 2018, 08:38 AM


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3". (As of 02/18).
Seasonal Total - 36.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0". 96.1% of average snowfall so far.

Latest Snowpack Observation:
02/18 Morning - The aftermath of the overnight snowstorm has blanketed the region with 7.3" of wet snowfall. Quickly melting as temperatures are approaching the 40 degree Fahrenheit mark.
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cary67
post Jan 10 2018, 10:04 AM
Post #2282




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QUOTE(Solstice @ Jan 10 2018, 07:33 AM) *
RRWT Eye Candy
Interesting February...

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.32.33_AM.png ( 271.15K ) Number of downloads: 9

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.32.51_AM.png ( 295.34K ) Number of downloads: 5

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.38.03_AM.png ( 369.77K ) Number of downloads: 6


Page Topper / MDBR Fetish
Q: Did you hear about the war between Newfoundland and Nova Scotia?
A: The Newfies were lobbing hand grenades; the Nova Scotians were pulling the pins and throwing them back.

If that verifies looks to reset the NW flow clipper pattern for DTX and possible coastals. Western lakes and corn belt continue to slowly dessicate.
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MotownWX
post Jan 10 2018, 10:11 AM
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With the 36-hour warm spell approaching and the hit-or-miss weekend storm, I almost forget about the 5 more consecutive days of sub-20 high temperatures waiting in the wings for me.

I guess when you've just gotten through 12 consecutive days of it, 5 doesn't seem too newsworthy anymore.
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alczervik
post Jan 10 2018, 12:33 PM
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QUOTE(MotownWX @ Jan 10 2018, 10:11 AM) *
With the 36-hour warm spell approaching and the hit-or-miss weekend storm, I almost forget about the 5 more consecutive days of sub-20 high temperatures waiting in the wings for me.

I guess when you've just gotten through 12 consecutive days of it, 5 doesn't seem too newsworthy anymore.


I believe people will start noticing more and more how things have changed. When you are below long term average by 8-12 degrees month after month, it will get noticed.

With the cold pattern setting up again, I can't imagine that spring and summer will show a reversal of the pattern. Here comes the summer of 2014 all over again.
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Enigma
post Jan 10 2018, 12:47 PM
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QUOTE(alczervik @ Jan 10 2018, 12:33 PM) *
I believe people will start noticing more and more how things have changed. When you are below long term average by 8-12 degrees month after month, it will get noticed.

With the cold pattern setting up again, I can't imagine that spring and summer will show a reversal of the pattern. Here comes the summer of 2014 all over again.


I'm thinking a white 4th of July this year. tongue.gif

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OSNW3
post Jan 10 2018, 02:29 PM
Post #2286




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QUOTE(Solstice @ Jan 10 2018, 07:33 AM) *
RRWT Eye Candy
Interesting February...

Attached File  Screenshot_2018_01_10_at_8.38.03_AM.png ( 369.77K ) Number of downloads: 6


All four members bring below average temps in 41-50d outlook. A phased wave regarding recurring frequency. I do not know if that makes the outlook more reliable or not. Also, the T1 member phased frequency between the 1/8 and 1/9 model initialization from 60 to 31 and they still have a cold look...



--------------------
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RobB
post Jan 10 2018, 04:14 PM
Post #2287




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1/10 12Z NAEFS:
Attached File(s)
Attached File  naefs.png ( 101.31K ) Number of downloads: 6
 
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RobB
post Jan 10 2018, 04:14 PM
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1/10 12Z Euro EPS 5 day 850 mb temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay0_5.PNG ( 800.3K ) Number of downloads: 3
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay5_10.PNG ( 772.99K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay10_15.PNG ( 719.44K ) Number of downloads: 5
 
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jdrenken
post Jan 10 2018, 11:02 PM
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How on Earth did I miss this??!!

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/9...46%7Ctwterm%5E3


--------------------
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It's a work in progress!

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The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jan 11 2018, 12:20 AM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jan 10 2018, 11:02 PM) *

The greatest meme this board has biggrin.gif


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 0 (Last: 9/24/17)
Days <0: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7)
Marginal risks: 1 (Last: 2/15/18)
Slight risks: 0 (Last: 8/22/17)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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stuffradio
post Jan 11 2018, 01:13 AM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Jan 10 2018, 09:20 PM) *
The greatest meme this board has biggrin.gif

There's those Brazilian models again.
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 07:02 AM
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1/11 0Z NAEFS:
Attached File(s)
Attached File  naefs.png ( 101.05K ) Number of downloads: 3
 
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 07:02 AM
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1/11 0Z Euro EPS 5 day 850 mb temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS850Day0_5.PNG ( 771.93K ) Number of downloads: 2
Attached File  EPS850Day5_10.png ( 680.15K ) Number of downloads: 1
Attached File  EPS850Day10_15.png ( 670.04K ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 07:03 AM
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1/11 0Z Euro EPS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:


Attached File(s)
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay0_5.PNG ( 825.93K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay5_10.PNG ( 762.49K ) Number of downloads: 0
Attached File  EPS2MeterDay10_15.PNG ( 728.23K ) Number of downloads: 0
 
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gulfofslides
post Jan 11 2018, 10:02 AM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jan 11 2018, 12:02 AM) *

How dare he use the Brazilian model laugh.gif
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jdrenken
post Jan 11 2018, 10:27 AM
Post #2296




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QUOTE(gulfofslides @ Jan 11 2018, 09:02 AM) *
How dare he use the Brazilian model laugh.gif


Because it's soooo reliable. rolleyes.gif

He talked about it during the past two winter's pushing his agenda...how did that turn out for him?


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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DCBlizzard
post Jan 11 2018, 10:41 AM
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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jan 11 2018, 10:27 AM) *
Because it's soooo reliable. rolleyes.gif

He talked about it during the past two winter's pushing his agenda...how did that turn out for him?


Between using crappy models like this to push his agenda along with his political tweets, I am about to un-follow him. I can get me political fix elsewhere. I follow weather people on twitter to hear about weather and not their political bull*bleep*. The same can be said for Dr. Maue (although not nearly as bad of an offender). I sent Ryan a direct message on twitter telling him he would be better off to just stick to the weather.
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 10:51 AM
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QUOTE(DCBlizzard @ Jan 11 2018, 10:41 AM) *
Between using crappy models like this to push his agenda along with his political tweets, I am about to un-follow him. I can get me political fix elsewhere. I follow weather people on twitter to hear about weather and not their political bull*bleep*. The same can be said for Dr. Maue (although not nearly as bad of an offender). I sent Ryan a direct message on twitter telling him he would be better off to just stick to the weather.



I'm not a fan of political banter on either side of the aisle but it is their personal Twitter account and are free to post what they like. Now if they were using a company tweet account, it's one thing. Personal account, it is free to game on. Believe youme though, these posts can be irritating.
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RobB
post Jan 11 2018, 01:41 PM
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1/11 12Z NAEFS:
Attached File(s)
Attached File  naefs.png ( 103.64K ) Number of downloads: 2
 
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DCBlizzard
post Jan 11 2018, 02:25 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 11 2018, 10:51 AM) *
I'm not a fan of political banter on either side of the aisle but it is their personal Twitter account and are free to post what they like. Now if they were using a company tweet account, it's one thing. Personal account, it is free to game on. Believe youme though, these posts can be irritating.


What I don't understand is why push your business (Weatherbell or Weather.us) and post political views. You can only screw yourself out of business with 50% of the population. IF i were the business, I would not want the person to mix personal and professional stuff on either type of account. Keep it separate IMO.
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