 LES Potential Feb 1st-Feb 4th, Looks to be a WNW oriented event |
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 Feb 1 2017, 06:34 PM
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#21
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Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 759 Joined: 12-February 13 From: Vaughan, Ontario Member No.: 28,279  |
Band off huron extending in to north GTA..
Nice if it would hang around for a bit |
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Feb 1 2017, 06:34 PM
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#22
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 759 Joined: 12-February 13 From: Vaughan, Ontario Member No.: 28,279 |
Visibility approx 1.5 to 2 km
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Feb 1 2017, 06:53 PM
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#23
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,383 Joined: 7-September 09 From: Thornhill, Ontario Member No.: 19,154 |
Yup, that band is over us now. Nice snowfall out there laying down a dusting.
-------------------- Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina) 2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino) 2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino) 2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral) 2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral) 2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina) 2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina) 2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino) 2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina) 2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina) Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm |
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Feb 1 2017, 08:46 PM
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#24
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,393 Joined: 21-January 08 From: Alliston,Ontario Member No.: 12,822 |
Seeing a slight change in the wind direction as we speak, more of a WNW orientation setting up over the next few hours. The Orillia to Barrie corridor will see additional accumulations tonight. Wasaga, Midland/Penetang also at risk.
All day we've been dealing with bands of heavy flurries rather than major squalls. This post has been edited by travis3000: Feb 1 2017, 09:36 PM -------------------- Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:
October: 1.5cm November: 7cm December: 70cm January: 20cm February: 27.5cm March: 9cm April: 13cm TOTAL: 148cm -- 2015/2016 Total: 121cm 2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm AVERAGE Annual Snowfall: 155cm Travis |
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Feb 1 2017, 10:09 PM
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#25
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,767 Joined: 6-February 13 Member No.: 28,218 |
Quick blast of snow just dropped about half a cm and whitened things up!!
-------------------- Winter 2016-2017
Dec 2016: 30cm Jan 2017: 5cm Feb 2017: 7cm March 2017: 35cm!! Finally! Days with snow on the ground: 25 |
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Feb 2 2017, 07:14 AM
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#26
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,150 Joined: 17-December 12 From: Barrie Member No.: 27,345 |
Had about 6-8cms overnight, probably a bit more to the North East. Travis & Lake Effect 1 - NAM 3K & HRRR 0:
Radar showing the local lads predicted squall: 
Screenshot_20170202_050938.jpg ( 286.58K )
Number of downloads: 0
Screenshot_20170202_042036.jpg ( 275.92K )
Number of downloads: 012Z NAM and 04Z HRRR (I recall the 12Z HRRR was blank): 
hrrr_ref_frzn_neus_5.png ( 146.86K )
Number of downloads: 0
nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_21.png ( 180.7K )
Number of downloads: 0 |
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Feb 2 2017, 07:18 AM
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#27
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,150 Joined: 17-December 12 From: Barrie Member No.: 27,345 |
Going forward, some bands should form this morning to the East and north of Barrie towards Orillia, they may wobble a bit into Barrie, but unlikely, then they head north East to sit between Orillia and Huntsville area for about 24 hours before heading back South West, and maybe just reaching North Barrie again into the early hours on Saturday.
Having said all that, there may interference from a Huron band when the winds really pick up and are WNW, which drag things a bit further south and form a "supersquall". North Barrie may get another 10-15cms by Saturday lunchtime, but most of the activity will be in cottage country off GB. This post has been edited by Lake effect: Feb 2 2017, 07:22 AM |
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Feb 2 2017, 11:00 AM
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#28
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 160 Joined: 15-December 14 From: Northern Dufferin County Member No.: 30,103 |
^ Sounds about right Lake effect , good job . One thing I will add is I believe there will be some significant squalls today/tonight from the Goderich/Kincardine area north that will form into some pretty long squall lines that could reach several 100 km inland . As well there looks like there will be some consolidating squalls from Huron and G bay that will give some decent accumulations to areas between Orillia and Parry Sound .
Light squalls here this morning but am anticipating some Huron squalls here later today . |
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Feb 2 2017, 12:18 PM
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#29
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,150 Joined: 17-December 12 From: Barrie Member No.: 27,345 |
QUOTE(snowbelt @ Feb 2 2017, 11:00 AM)  ^ Sounds about right Lake effect , good job . One thing I will add is I believe there will be some significant squalls today/tonight from the Goderich/Kincardine area north that will form into some pretty long squall lines that could reach several 100 km inland . As well there looks like there will be some consolidating squalls from Huron and G bay that will give some decent accumulations to areas between Orillia and Parry Sound . Light squalls here this morning but am anticipating some Huron squalls here later today . Absolutely, big band or two off Huron a given. May even reach here at some point. |
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Feb 2 2017, 12:23 PM
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#30
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,150 Joined: 17-December 12 From: Barrie Member No.: 27,345 |
And the NAM 4K agrees...fair bit of this tomorrow:
nam4km_ref_frzn_neus_26.png ( 159.01K )
Number of downloads: 6 |
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Feb 2 2017, 08:48 PM
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#31
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 160 Joined: 15-December 14 From: Northern Dufferin County Member No.: 30,103 |
That's quite the squall line coming ashore in the Parry Sound area right now . I'm sure there is going to be some large snow totals coming out of that one .
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Feb 2 2017, 10:34 PM
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#32
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,393 Joined: 21-January 08 From: Alliston,Ontario Member No.: 12,822 |
My aunt lives in Parry Sound, I'll give you some totals when I hear from her. The squall affecting that area right now is putting down 5-7cm per hour and its been stalled over Parry Sound for the past 3, so my guess is they've had about 15cm come down just since 7pm.
We also have a less intense band which has developed from Midland towards Orillia, putting down about 2-3cm per hour. This post has been edited by travis3000: Feb 2 2017, 10:37 PM -------------------- Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:
October: 1.5cm November: 7cm December: 70cm January: 20cm February: 27.5cm March: 9cm April: 13cm TOTAL: 148cm -- 2015/2016 Total: 121cm 2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm AVERAGE Annual Snowfall: 155cm Travis |
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Feb 3 2017, 07:01 AM
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#33
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 528 Joined: 17-February 09 From: brantford Member No.: 17,615 |
I'm guessing the Exeter radar is offline? It has been since yesterday afternoon.
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Feb 3 2017, 07:19 AM
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#34
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 54 Joined: 22-January 08 From: Fergus, ON Member No.: 12,841 |
QUOTE(plowguy @ Feb 3 2017, 07:01 AM) I'm guessing the Exeter radar is offline? It has been since yesterday afternoon. I was wondering the same thing as, when I came out of the arena from my daughter's 6am hockey practice this morning, there was a good flurry coming down...and nothing one the radar, when I just looked! -------------------- It's what you learn, after you know it all, that counts.
- John Wooden |
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Feb 3 2017, 10:00 AM
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#35
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,393 Joined: 21-January 08 From: Alliston,Ontario Member No.: 12,822 |
Parry Sound picked up a solid 15cm last night from that squall, at least at my aunts house. Apparently other people in the area reported 20-25cm.
Squall is now down in Muskoka, as far south as Midland. -------------------- Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:
October: 1.5cm November: 7cm December: 70cm January: 20cm February: 27.5cm March: 9cm April: 13cm TOTAL: 148cm -- 2015/2016 Total: 121cm 2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm AVERAGE Annual Snowfall: 155cm Travis |
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Feb 3 2017, 11:02 AM
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#36
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,150 Joined: 17-December 12 From: Barrie Member No.: 27,345 |
QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 3 2017, 10:00 AM) Parry Sound picked up a solid 15cm last night from that squall, at least at my aunts house. Apparently other people in the area reported 20-25cm. Squall is now down in Muskoka, as far south as Midland. I think that might be the extent of its southern trip, maybe a bit further, but written off any chances of it hitting Barrie now. Sunday night is our next chance at a decent shot of LES, maybe a few hours and a quick 10cms, then after the abomination that is coming our way next week, there could some great LES. we will see. |
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Feb 3 2017, 11:39 AM
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#37
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 528 Joined: 17-February 09 From: brantford Member No.: 17,615 |
Exeter back off line. Kind of frustrating. heading to Kincardine this evening like to know SUV or car.
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Feb 3 2017, 12:40 PM
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#38
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 160 Joined: 15-December 14 From: Northern Dufferin County Member No.: 30,103 |
Looks like some squalls have formed off of Huron at the moment . First hand account of the Orangeville area getting a quick dusting .
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Feb 3 2017, 02:29 PM
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#39
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 337 Joined: 23-January 08 From: Mactier/Parry Sound, Lake Joseph Member No.: 12,906 |
Hello Everyone. Just finished plowing the driveway with my HDX. 20-25cm. accumulated from yesterday. Between Mactier and Parry Sound. Whoever is receiving snowsqualls at this hour enjoy and stay safe.
Cheers!! |
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Feb 3 2017, 02:46 PM
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#40
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 3,393 Joined: 21-January 08 From: Alliston,Ontario Member No.: 12,822 |
QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 3 2017, 11:02 AM) I think that might be the extent of its southern trip, maybe a bit further, but written off any chances of it hitting Barrie now. Sunday night is our next chance at a decent shot of LES, maybe a few hours and a quick 10cms, then after the abomination that is coming our way next week, there could some great LES. we will see. The 12z GFS run today showed a classic NNW setup next week after that storm which historically affects the Collingwood to Barrie (and west) towards Angus, Alliston, Newmarket, King City. And another band from Goderich and Grand Bend to Lucan/London. Haven't seen much of that setup at all this season. This post has been edited by travis3000: Feb 3 2017, 02:46 PM -------------------- Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:
October: 1.5cm November: 7cm December: 70cm January: 20cm February: 27.5cm March: 9cm April: 13cm TOTAL: 148cm -- 2015/2016 Total: 121cm 2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm AVERAGE Annual Snowfall: 155cm Travis |
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