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> LES events 5-9th February, Two events one thread
Lake effect
post Feb 7 2017, 07:36 PM
Post #21




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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 7 2017, 06:10 PM) *
Hope Barrie gets a decent amount. Heading up there in the next few days and hope to see lots of snow. Really, anything will be better than here.


This ice storm is making things very bad up here, and I don't see a huge thaw coming overnight. The 23cm snow pack will be mostly intact, with a thick layer of ice on top. We should get 5cms or so tomorrow, then maybe a bit more on Thursday overnight, so may look great.
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Lake effect
post Feb 8 2017, 09:51 AM
Post #22




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Nice squalls forming off GB. Should shift ever so slightly south west over the next hour then provide steady snow to a few lucky locales for most of the day, maybe as much as 15 cms in some spots.

Attached File  Screenshot_20170208_094819.jpg ( 278.66K ) Number of downloads: 0
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Lake effect
post Feb 8 2017, 02:14 PM
Post #23




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This year has definitely been south and west Barrie's year. Many is the time that I've watched a squall set up just a few kms west of us. They could well get 10-15 cms out of this:

Attached File  Screenshot_20170208_141137.jpg ( 279.2K ) Number of downloads: 2
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snowgeek93
post Feb 8 2017, 03:32 PM
Post #24




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 8 2017, 02:14 PM) *
This year has definitely been south and west Barrie's year. Many is the time that I've watched a squall set up just a few kms west of us. They could well get 10-15 cms out of this:

Attached File  Screenshot_20170208_141137.jpg ( 279.2K ) Number of downloads: 2

Awesome! You guys are so lucky.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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snowbelt
post Feb 8 2017, 03:52 PM
Post #25




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Light squalls here today with little accumulation . Looks like that GB squall is staying between me and the Barrie area with a slight wobble east into Barrie . I'm sure Lake effect will chime in here with a Barrie area report soon and possible accumulations .
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Lake effect
post Feb 8 2017, 04:03 PM
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Mostly light snow here, just East of the main action, picked up 2-3 cms tops. Will die down soon...hope I have more luck tomorrow night.
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travis3000
post Feb 8 2017, 10:40 PM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 8 2017, 03:32 PM) *
Awesome! You guys are so lucky.


The Angus/Thornton area has cashed in. We have been too far south and west to take advantage. Today was a prime example, Alliston had light falling flurries but 0cm accumulation. Never came down hard enough to amount to anything.


--------------------
Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:

October: 1.5cm
November: 7cm
December: 70cm
January: 20cm
February: 27.5cm
March: 9cm
April: 13cm
TOTAL: 148cm
--
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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snowgeek93
post Feb 9 2017, 09:30 AM
Post #28




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 8 2017, 10:40 PM) *
The Angus/Thornton area has cashed in. We have been too far south and west to take advantage. Today was a prime example, Alliston had light falling flurries but 0cm accumulation. Never came down hard enough to amount to anything.

We had very light flurries for a time yesterday, surprised anything even happened this far south lol.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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plowguy
post Feb 9 2017, 10:37 AM
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We are getting a dusting as we speak. The rain from the other day washed all the salt away. The sun is trying to come out as well. grass is green and roads are white.
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Lake effect
post Feb 9 2017, 11:58 AM
Post #30




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Tonight looks to be a good one for Barrie residents (hopefully me included!), and areas to the West. The winds will start out very strong and messy and WNW, creating some short lived bands that give many areas downwind a cm or so, then around 7-8pm they look to get very organized and create a strong band for several hours, and potentially depositing in excess of 20cm to the worst (or best!) effected areas:

Winds:

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NAM 4K:

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My prediction:

Red a general area that will get splattered as the winds move about in the early part of the event - 2-10cm

Purple - the kill zone, this area will have a strong band form within it for several hours, and some locales, including parts of Barrie, may get 5+ hours, some 1-2 hours. The rates will be up to 5cms an hour, so some will wake up to a pretty good winter scene tomorrow!

Attached File  Lakes.jpg ( 255.54K ) Number of downloads: 2


This post has been edited by Lake effect: Feb 9 2017, 12:00 PM
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Lake effect
post Feb 9 2017, 01:00 PM
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Alerts for: Barrie - Orillia - Midland
Watches
12:31 PM EST Thursday 09 February 2017
Snow squall watch in effect for:

Barrie - Collingwood - Hillsdale
Midland - Coldwater - Orr Lake
Orillia - Lagoon City - Washago
Snow squalls are expected to develop this afternoon. Under the most intense snow squalls, local snowfall amounts of 15 cm are possible by the time the activity tapers off overnight or early Friday morning.

Northwest winds gusting to 50 km/h will result in blowing snow reducing visibilities significantly at times as well.

Travel may be hazardous due to sudden changes in the weather. Visibility may be suddenly reduced at times in heavy snow.

Snow squall watches are issued when conditions are favourable for the formation of bands of snow that could produce intense accumulating snow or near zero visibilities.
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Lake effect
post Feb 9 2017, 01:10 PM
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RGEM:

Attached File  rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_5.png ( 208.25K ) Number of downloads: 1


Attached File  rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_7.png ( 198.46K ) Number of downloads: 1
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Lake effect
post Feb 9 2017, 05:54 PM
Post #33




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The appetizer is being served...blowing like crazy, visibility falling. Squalltime! I don't expect the main course for a few hours, and I'm hoping my neighbour leaves some for me rather than hogging it for himself like recent events.

Attached File  Screenshot_20170209_175143.jpg ( 289.51K ) Number of downloads: 0


This post has been edited by Lake effect: Feb 9 2017, 05:55 PM
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plowguy
post Feb 9 2017, 06:02 PM
Post #34




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 9 2017, 05:54 PM) *
The appetizer is being served...blowing like crazy, visibility falling. Squalltime! I don't expect the main course for a few hours, and I'm hoping my neighbour leaves some for me rather than hogging it for himself like recent events.

Attached File  Screenshot_20170209_175143.jpg ( 289.51K ) Number of downloads: 0


I get the sense your looking forward to this! I hope it pans out. Enjoy!
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snowgeek93
post Feb 9 2017, 06:47 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 9 2017, 05:54 PM) *
The appetizer is being served...blowing like crazy, visibility falling. Squalltime! I don't expect the main course for a few hours, and I'm hoping my neighbour leaves some for me rather than hogging it for himself like recent events.

Awesome! Enjoy wink.gif


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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Lake effect
post Feb 9 2017, 07:14 PM
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QUOTE(plowguy @ Feb 9 2017, 06:02 PM) *
I get the sense your looking forward to this! I hope it pans out. Enjoy!


If it doesn't torment me...just moved back north. I am hopeful for a decent spell at some point.
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Lake effect
post Feb 9 2017, 09:11 PM
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Looking good

Attached File  Screenshot_20170209_211019.jpg ( 316.52K ) Number of downloads: 1
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travis3000
post Feb 9 2017, 10:46 PM
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She's a movin south! All south/west of Barrie now. I was caught in that squall in the north end of Barrie around 8:30pm and wow that was bad! Could barely see on the highway.


--------------------
Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:

October: 1.5cm
November: 7cm
December: 70cm
January: 20cm
February: 27.5cm
March: 9cm
April: 13cm
TOTAL: 148cm
--
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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HoBOonFiRE
post Feb 10 2017, 03:45 AM
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Getting pounded pretty good here in Oshawa. Looks to be a good 6-7cm down already.
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Lake effect
post Feb 10 2017, 04:56 AM
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As predicted, this bad boy went back North East. I got up for a *bleep* at 1.15, 2cm not snowing, got up again at 4.15, just measured it, 22cm...pictures and maybe the timelapse to follow if the batteries lasted...suspect that south west Barrie got 30+cm...not jealous though, as a perfect winter wonderland out there, with a snowy day ahead. This was the beast that did it:

Attached File  Screenshot_20170210_045042.jpg ( 279.91K ) Number of downloads: 1
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