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> Snow Event 11-13 Feb
snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 09:13 AM
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Even this doesn't look to stick around very long if Tuesday's storm pans out.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 09:18 AM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:13 AM) *
Even this doesn't look to stick around very long if Tuesday's storm pans out.

Tuesdays storm? huh.gif
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snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 09:33 AM
Post #23




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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:18 AM) *
Tuesdays storm? huh.gif

Disturbance/warm up, whatever you wanna call it.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 09:36 AM
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Nice run of the 12z NAM. Shows 10-15cm for the GTA and around 25cm for E ON. Lets see what the rest of the 12z guidance shows.
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 09:37 AM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:33 AM) *
Disturbance/warm up, whatever you wanna call it.

Oh ok, how did you do with the clipper?
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winter48
post Feb 11 2017, 09:46 AM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:36 AM) *
Nice run of the 12z NAM. Shows 10-15cm for the GTA and around 25cm for E ON. Lets see what the rest of the 12z guidance shows.

10-15 cm for GTA? For which disturbance? unsure.gif
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 09:55 AM
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QUOTE(winter48 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:46 AM) *
10-15 cm for GTA? For which disturbance? unsure.gif

It's for the system tomorrow. That run of the nam also had you getting snow. We'll need to watch the rest of the 12z models see if they go with the higher amounts.
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winter48
post Feb 11 2017, 10:03 AM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:55 AM) *
It's for the system tomorrow. That run of the nam also had you getting snow. We'll need to watch the rest of the 12z models see if they go with the higher amounts.

Oh, ok. I was kind of confused there because Snowgeek was mentioning Tuesday. It would sure be nice to see some more snow this weekend! We didn't get all that much from the system yesterday. Thanks for the info, Snowbob.

This post has been edited by winter48: Feb 11 2017, 10:04 AM
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snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 10:19 AM
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I was saying temps looks to go above freezing Tuesday which would hamper building a snowpack.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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plowguy
post Feb 11 2017, 10:30 AM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 09:36 AM) *
Nice run of the 12z NAM. Shows 10-15cm for the GTA and around 25cm for E ON. Lets see what the rest of the 12z guidance shows.

Is the NAM bringing some snow my way? Or just higher amounts to the east of me/
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 10:41 AM
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QUOTE(plowguy @ Feb 11 2017, 10:30 AM) *
Is the NAM bringing some snow my way? Or just higher amounts to the east of me/

The cutoff of heavier precip is again very close to you, but this run of the nam did give you accumulating snow. Could be a late model trend or just the nam being a bit too snow prone. We'll see what the other models show.
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plowguy
post Feb 11 2017, 10:49 AM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 10:41 AM) *
The cutoff of heavier precip is again very close to you, but this run of the nam did give you accumulating snow. Could be a late model trend or just the nam being a bit too snow prone. We'll see what the other models show.

We did get 3 cms out of the last one. Still patchy grass here. Another 3 tom should whiten things up. EC and TWN are saying some rain for Brantford in the afternoon. Time will tell.
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winter48
post Feb 11 2017, 11:02 AM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 11 2017, 10:19 AM) *
I was saying temps looks to go above freezing Tuesday which would hamper building a snowpack.

Yeah, I see that.
Go away, mild air! Come back in April!

This post has been edited by winter48: Feb 11 2017, 11:03 AM
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shane o mac
post Feb 11 2017, 11:43 AM
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Well if models are correct me and maine jay will be shut down for a while .. if you dont hear from i love yahs all lol ! but all seriousness this could be "crippling" for some ..



This post has been edited by shane o mac: Feb 11 2017, 11:47 AM
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EOsnowmom
post Feb 11 2017, 12:36 PM
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QUOTE(shane o mac @ Feb 11 2017, 11:43 AM) *
Well if models are correct me and maine jay will be shut down for a while .. if you dont hear from i love yahs all lol ! but all seriousness this could be "crippling" for some ..

I've been thinking about that. It does look like you're going to get more than your fair share! Hunker down and stay safe. I hope you've got your shelves stocked. Can't wait to see pictures and hear the stories when you emerge.
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dsichewski
post Feb 11 2017, 03:27 PM
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Hey plowguy, sorry don't know your first name.... be on the lookout for possible freezing rain tonight/tomorrow morning!....twn just put up a sws stating the possibility for it.
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MrMusic
post Feb 11 2017, 03:32 PM
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Both the HRRR and RAP, which nailed today's high temp of 6 are showing 6-8cm here tomorrow morning. Would be a great sight if it can happen.


--------------------
Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 03:53 PM
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More snow would be nice now that there's a chance of me holing what I have here until Tuesday at least.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

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travis3000
post Feb 11 2017, 04:25 PM
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12z GFS showing 5cm of snow for this area from tomorrow's storm. Same for GTA. Barrie north into Muskoka could squeeze out 10cm. Eastern Ontario still in line for 15-25cm (Kingston, Cornwall, Ottawa).

Attached File  gfs_asnow_neus_11_1.png ( 150.51K ) Number of downloads: 5


--------------------
Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:

October: 1.5cm
November: 7cm
December: 70cm
January: 20cm
February: 27.5cm
March: 9cm
April: 13cm
TOTAL: 148cm
--
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
AVERAGE Annual Snowfall: 155cm

Travis
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 04:50 PM
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Wow incredible run on the 18z RGEM. 15-20cm for the GTA and heavy snow to the east.
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