Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

13 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 5 > »   
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> Snow Event 11-13 Feb
snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 05:08 PM
Post #41




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,416
Joined: 7-September 09
From: Thornhill, Ontario
Member No.: 19,154





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 11 2017, 04:25 PM) *
12z GFS showing 5cm of snow for this area from tomorrow's storm. Same for GTA. Barrie north into Muskoka could squeeze out 10cm. Eastern Ontario still in line for 15-25cm (Kingston, Cornwall, Ottawa).


QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 04:50 PM) *
Wow incredible run on the 18z RGEM. 15-20cm for the GTA and heavy snow to the east.

blink.gif

Who's gonna be right?


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Lake effect
post Feb 11 2017, 05:29 PM
Post #42




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,153
Joined: 17-December 12
From: Barrie
Member No.: 27,345





QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 11 2017, 04:50 PM) *
Wow incredible run on the 18z RGEM. 15-20cm for the GTA and heavy snow to the east.


Attached File  rgem_asnow_neus_15.png ( 144.72K ) Number of downloads: 8


I don't see this personally, they have been consistantly wrong for a while: last week's ice storm, and today's Bermuda like temps being cases in point (we had 3 hours where it got up to 1 today, CMC had us 4-5). They are in danger of falling behind the NAM in terms of credibility. Be great to be proven wrong, byt NAM 4k is the one I am going with, been very reliable this close:

Attached File  nam4km_asnow_neus_16.png ( 163.59K ) Number of downloads: 8

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Feb 11 2017, 05:56 PM
Post #43




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,419
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





4k NAM shows a solid 10cm here, I would be happy with that smile.gif Euro also showing 10cm. GFS is the on the low end with only 5cm.

I am going to compromise here and just say 5-10cm. GTA is also in the 5-10cm zone IMO.


--------------------
Alliston,ON 2016/2017 Snowfall:

October: 1.5cm
November: 7cm
December: 70cm
January: 20cm
February: 27.5cm
March: 9cm
April: 13cm
TOTAL: 148cm
--
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
AVERAGE Annual Snowfall: 155cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
plowguy
post Feb 11 2017, 06:17 PM
Post #44




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 528
Joined: 17-February 09
From: brantford
Member No.: 17,615





I'm thinking once again salt for me. Oh well no fuel or wages.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 06:18 PM
Post #45




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,416
Joined: 7-September 09
From: Thornhill, Ontario
Member No.: 19,154





5-10cm sounds great. At least we have a bit of a snowbase for now.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Torontoweather
post Feb 11 2017, 09:23 PM
Post #46




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 10,103
Joined: 18-October 09
From: Toronto, Ontario
Member No.: 19,500





Looking good on the 00z NAM:
Kuchera:


10:1


Insane that up to 3 feet could possibly fall in parts of Maine if ratios are good. And even if they get lowly 10:1 ratios, still 1.5 to 2 feet is quite possible in many locations.

Still, not complaining here in Montreal with a good chance of 15-25 cm smile.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Torontoweather
post Feb 11 2017, 09:35 PM
Post #47




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 10,103
Joined: 18-October 09
From: Toronto, Ontario
Member No.: 19,500





00z 4km NAM:

Kuchera:


10:1


Definitely looking like the GTA could be in for 8-15 cm as well smile.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
snowgeek93
post Feb 11 2017, 09:45 PM
Post #48




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,416
Joined: 7-September 09
From: Thornhill, Ontario
Member No.: 19,154





Would be ecstatic if that were to verify for the GTA ohmy.gif


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm

Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
akula
post Feb 11 2017, 09:55 PM
Post #49




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 206
Joined: 15-December 08
Member No.: 16,489





can anyone suggest how bad the ZR might be along lake erie shoreline IE just below the snow line?
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Feb 11 2017, 10:39 PM
Post #50




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,784
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





Not sure what's up here, but EC and TWN have me down for 2cm of wet snow or mix tomorrow.
HRRR has me down for 15cm
RAP has me down for 12cm
Hi-Rez Canadian has 7cm of snow and 6mm of ice pellets.



--------------------
Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Feb 11 2017, 10:42 PM
Post #51




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,784
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 11 2017, 05:29 PM) *
Attached File  rgem_asnow_neus_15.png ( 144.72K ) Number of downloads: 8


I don't see this personally, they have been consistantly wrong for a while: last week's ice storm, and today's Bermuda like temps being cases in point (we had 3 hours where it got up to 1 today, CMC had us 4-5). They are in danger of falling behind the NAM in terms of credibility. Be great to be proven wrong, byt NAM 4k is the one I am going with, been very reliable this close:

Attached File  nam4km_asnow_neus_16.png ( 163.59K ) Number of downloads: 8


Funny...down my way I'm saying the opposite. Lol
NAM and GFS kept saying my high temp today wouldn't get past 1 degree, while various Canadian models were coming in between 6-9. We ended up hitting 6...some areas nearby hit 7.
Also, Canadian models kept yesterdays event down to 2cm, while the NAM was trying to suggest 5-10 from the clipper. We got 2cm.


--------------------
Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Stl
post Feb 11 2017, 10:47 PM
Post #52




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 169
Joined: 3-December 12
From: Montreal (Saint-Leonard)
Member No.: 27,276





QUOTE(Torontoweather @ Feb 11 2017, 09:23 PM) *
Looking good on the 00z NAM:
Kuchera:


10:1


Insane that up to 3 feet could possibly fall in parts of Maine if ratios are good. And even if they get lowly 10:1 ratios, still 1.5 to 2 feet is quite possible in many locations.

Still, not complaining here in Montreal with a good chance of 15-25 cm smile.gif



15-25 cm is not bad especially if the Wednesday system gives 5-10cm or more. We would then be at 60cm around here on the ground.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Feb 11 2017, 11:10 PM
Post #53




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,784
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





HRRR is buying into a NE wind producing lake effect down this way. Almost never happens so I won't get my hopes up. Showing 15cm of snow by early evening tomorrow. That would be quite the surprise.


--------------------
Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Lake effect
post Feb 11 2017, 11:17 PM
Post #54




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,153
Joined: 17-December 12
From: Barrie
Member No.: 27,345





The 00Z NAM has a second wave later tomorrow, which is why it's looking so good. Even the GFS is better this run. If the NAM comes through, we could get another 15-20 cms here. Very nice, although I don't know where we're going to put the snow from the drive.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
JJ Snowlover
post Feb 11 2017, 11:52 PM
Post #55




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,759
Joined: 23-November 10
Member No.: 24,422





Here is my map for the storm.

Unbelievable totals coming for New Hampshire, Maine and the Maritime's. Ottawa coming up lucky again. Stay safe everyone!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 11:54 PM
Post #56




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 509
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





Good to see most of the meso models showing higher accumulations for around the GTA. I think eastern GTA could be in the 8-15cm range. Looks good.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Feb 11 2017, 11:58 PM
Post #57




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 509
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





QUOTE(JJ Snowlover @ Feb 11 2017, 11:52 PM) *
Here is my map for the storm.

Nice map. IMO your right on with accumulations.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
shane o mac
post Feb 12 2017, 12:17 AM
Post #58




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 4,229
Joined: 19-August 09
From: Nova Scotia Cape Breton
Member No.: 18,972





Unreal the 0z runs ! has anywhere from 50-80 cm here ! if it comes to fruiton we will be shut down for a while ..
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MrMusic
post Feb 12 2017, 07:08 AM
Post #59




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,784
Joined: 6-February 13
Member No.: 28,218





Grass totally covered!! Closing in on 3-4cm!! What a great surprise to wake up too.
EC calling for 5cm now.


--------------------
Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Ryan45
post Feb 12 2017, 07:41 AM
Post #60




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,275
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Burlington, ON Home Kincardine, ON Cottage
Member No.: 21,757





Solid 2" here so far and coming down nicely!
Enjoy this storm East Coast! What a pounding it will be.


--------------------
Join the Observations/Livestream Facebook Group for updated LIVE Observations during storms!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

13 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 5 > » 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 24th July 2017 - 01:49 AM