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Lake effect
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Lake effect



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13 Dec 2017
Seeing as the current LES thread expires this week, thought I'd start a new one. This one has me really excited for this area (Barrie), and it's been in the models a few days. I'm liking the look of it with plenty of NW winds in it, and the potential for the setting up of strong stable squalls penetrating over 100kms inland and dropping 30-50cms on some locales. Maps will no doubt materialize as this one nears (followed by potential for big storm).

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png ( 199.36K ) Number of downloads: 1

2 Sep 2017
Thought I'd start this in case the run below, this morning's GFS, transpires. Would be a very damaging scenario for Ottawa/Montreal, and other parts, if it does. Serious flooding and damaging winds. Will more likely head up the coast than come inland like this, but that could be nasty for NS and St John's.

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_34.png ( 166.33K ) Number of downloads: 4
8 Feb 2017
This is looking better every day on the GFS. They have been rock solid with this, as were they with yesterdays storm, so feel this one may well lift our spirits:

Friday evening:

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_11.png ( 186.43K ) Number of downloads: 3

Total snowfall...looks like a solid 5-10 cms for many in southern and central Ontario.

Attached File  gfs_asnow_neus_13.png ( 147.94K ) Number of downloads: 8
5 Feb 2017
Will be a very nice squall tonight that crosses areas South East of GB- north of Orillia through Angus where most will see 1-3 hours of heavy snow between the hours of 4pm and 2am roughly, with accumulations of 5-15 cms as winds go from WNW through NNW, with a long period of NW.

Similar squall coming off Huron north of Goderich.

Attached File  hwn_12.gif ( 32.84K ) Number of downloads: 1

Then after Tuesdays storm is a longer event of 24-36 hours affecting similar areas, but also those affected by the squalls from last with a westerly flow at times. Still uncertainty about the target zones:

Attached File  hwn_84.gif ( 33.7K ) Number of downloads: 0
1 Feb 2017
Will it be like the 00Z GFS, or the 06Z. CMC a bit of a mix of the two. Definitely one to follow, and I think for many of us, how this storm pans out may determine how we feel about this winter.


Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_28.png ( 181.17K ) Number of downloads: 0


Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_27__1_.png ( 195.3K ) Number of downloads: 0
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