 Long Range Winter 2012-2013 Outlooks, Forecasts/Trends |
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| Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_* |
 Jul 16 2011, 04:05 PM
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#21
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QUOTE(paletitsnow63 @ Jul 7 2011, 03:43 PM)  Hockey, I know you were joking but: http://www.buzzbishop.com/blog/2011/07/03/...o-the-sun-road/ http://www.flickr.com/photos/glaciernps/with/5895127697/ http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2011-0...h-of-july_n.htm http://www.sacbee.com/2011/06/27/3731508/a...o-warnings.html I guess we are not the only ones who are currently believing in global cooling!! |
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| Removed_Member_NYsnowlover_* |
Jul 16 2011, 04:05 PM
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#22
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QUOTE(paletitsnow63 @ Jul 7 2011, 03:43 PM) Hockey, I know you were joking but: http://www.buzzbishop.com/blog/2011/07/03/...o-the-sun-road/ http://www.flickr.com/photos/glaciernps/with/5895127697/ http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2011-0...h-of-july_n.htm http://www.sacbee.com/2011/06/27/3731508/a...o-warnings.html I guess we are not the only ones who are currently believing in global cooling!! |
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Oct 21 2011, 01:17 PM
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#23
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 1,146 Joined: 22-January 09 From: Paragon IN Member No.: 17,052 |
-------------------- Snow Storm
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Blizzard Warning 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |
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Oct 21 2011, 02:05 PM
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#24
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 993 Joined: 6-January 09 From: GAs City Indiana Member No.: 16,771 |
QUOTE(TheBlizzardOf1978 @ Oct 21 2011, 04:17 PM) That guy is good! |
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Oct 26 2011, 07:18 PM
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#25
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,039 Joined: 5-February 09 From: Albany, NY Member No.: 17,493 |
Looks like Chile could have another big eruption soon.
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2011/10/...-chiles-hudson/ -------------------- 2013 Thunder Storm Days: 2
Severe Watches: 2 Severe Warnings: 0 Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Snowfall 2012-2013: 48.8" Snowfall 2011-2012: 23.3" Snowfall 2010-2011: 80.2" Snowfall 2009-2010: 49.3" Snowfall 2008-2009: 52.5" Seasonal Snowfall Normal: 59.7" |
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Oct 26 2011, 09:07 PM
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#26
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,419 Joined: 4-January 10 From: 20 Miles "North East" of Baltimore Member No.: 20,753 |
QUOTE(TheBlizzardOf1978 @ Oct 21 2011, 02:17 PM) Brrrrrr 
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Oct 27 2011, 08:46 AM
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#27
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 213 Joined: 23-November 10 From: South East Michigan Member No.: 24,426 |
So do we all get to talk like cavemen and run around with mammoths? I've been hoping for the day when I get to skip shaving and run around in a loincloth like a fool.
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Dec 4 2011, 10:39 AM
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#28
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,945 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Denver, PA Member No.: 16,714 |
Katla potential eruption has been brewing for several months. Seeing that an eruption is overdue this volcano could very well go off sometime in the coming months. Since this could be a major eruption and affect the weather over the coming year or two I am including this in both this winter and next.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15995845 |
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Dec 4 2011, 12:09 PM
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#29
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,479 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
NDJ Temperature and Precip. Maps for 2012-2013
Attached File(s)
-------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013 Severe Weather Season Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4 Slight Risk Days: 4 Moderate Risk Days: 0 High Risk Days: 0 Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37.5'' QUOTE When looking at the models: Trends, trends, trends! |
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Dec 4 2011, 01:30 PM
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#30
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 723 Joined: 16-December 08 From: binghamton ny Member No.: 16,505 |
QUOTE(paletitsnow63 @ Dec 4 2011, 11:39 AM) Katla potential eruption has been brewing for several months. Seeing that an eruption is overdue this volcano could very well go off sometime in the coming months. Since this could be a major eruption and affect the weather over the coming year or two I am including this in both this winter and next. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15995845 If it erupts are they talking major global weather changes? Like an ice age? |
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Dec 4 2011, 02:06 PM
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#31
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 334 Joined: 8-February 10 From: Jackson, MS Member No.: 21,607 |
QUOTE(paletitsnow63 @ Dec 4 2011, 09:39 AM) Katla potential eruption has been brewing for several months. Seeing that an eruption is overdue this volcano could very well go off sometime in the coming months. Since this could be a major eruption and affect the weather over the coming year or two I am including this in both this winter and next. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15995845 If this volcano did erupt it would be much larger and with greater climate implications than the other one in April of last year. Certainly it would have an impact on the following winter. -------------------- "Who hath divided a watercourse for the overflowing of waters, or a way for the lightning of thunder; to cause it to rain on the earth, where no man is; on the wilderness, wherein there is no man; to satisfy the desolate and waste ground; and to cause the bud of the tender herb to spring forth? Hath the rain a father? or who hath begotten the drops of dew? Out of whose womb came the ice? and the hoary frost of heaven, who hath gendered it? The waters are hid as with a stone, and the face of the deep is frozen."
-Job 38:25-30 |
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Dec 4 2011, 04:09 PM
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#32
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,945 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Denver, PA Member No.: 16,714 |
QUOTE(mulligan @ Dec 4 2011, 01:30 PM) If it erupts are they talking major global weather changes? Like an ice age? It could have major weather impacts if it erupts and could very likely cool the northern hemisphere for a few years after it erupted. See what Mt. Pinatubo did to the weather after it erupted in 1991. There is much more to causing an "ice age" than a single large volcano eruption but a Katla eruption as I mentioned could bring quite a bit of cooling to the world especially northern hemisphere. |
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Dec 4 2011, 05:11 PM
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#33
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,419 Joined: 4-January 10 From: 20 Miles "North East" of Baltimore Member No.: 20,753 |
QUOTE(Weather4LA @ Dec 4 2011, 02:06 PM) If this volcano did erupt it would be much larger and with greater climate implications than the other one in April of last year. Certainly it would have an impact on the following winter. With regard to what for the Northen hemisphere, cooler or milder? |
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Dec 4 2011, 05:58 PM
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#34
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,789 Joined: 11-January 08 From: Jericho, VT • 20 miles east of Burlington, VT Member No.: 12,324 |
QUOTE(Fire/Rescue @ Dec 4 2011, 05:11 PM) With regard to what for the Northen hemisphere, cooler or milder? From what I've been reading it would cool the Northern Hemisphere. It would also create more blocking! This is going to be a big game changer if this happens. We would have cooler summers and cooler solar dimming. Colder winters. I have been reading this info off the weatherbell site. It was in October they had a story on this! --------------------  Dave • Jericho, VT Eastern Chittenden County WINTER SEASON 2012/2013 So Far: 66.5" WINTER SEASON 2011/2012: 50" WINTER SEASON 2010/2011: 252" Epic snowstorms! |
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Dec 4 2011, 10:01 PM
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#35
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 1,945 Joined: 30-December 08 From: Denver, PA Member No.: 16,714 |
QUOTE(Fire/Rescue @ Dec 4 2011, 05:11 PM) With regard to what for the Northen hemisphere, cooler or milder? Colder. See "Global environmental effects" section regarding the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo (Philippines) in 1991. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Pinatubo Also see what a huge volcano eruption can do to the world climate. One of the most famous and largest in the last millenium was Mt. Tambora. It caused the famous 1816 "year without a summer". http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tambora_volca...5#1815_eruption http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer I am not saying Katla would even come close to Tambora but it could still be a very large eruption if and when it goes off. |
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Dec 8 2011, 06:03 PM
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#36
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 4,479 Joined: 7-December 10 From: Chicago Member No.: 24,567 |
More of an overview than anything, but my Preliminary 2012-2013 Winter Projections.
This post has been edited by The Snowman: Dec 8 2011, 06:42 PM -------------------- My Blog: http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com
2013 Severe Weather Season Tornado Watches: 0 Tornado Warnings: 0 Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 4 Slight Risk Days: 4 Moderate Risk Days: 0 High Risk Days: 0 Annual Snowfall 2012-2013: 37.5'' QUOTE When looking at the models: Trends, trends, trends! |
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Dec 26 2011, 12:37 PM
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#37
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 11,400 Joined: 11-January 08 From: Philadelphia Member No.: 12,252 |
Well, since this is up already...here's a tidbit from the latest MEI update
QUOTE it is worth noting that of the ten two-year La Niña events between 1900 and 2009, four ended up as a three-year event, so I would put the odds for this to occur in 2012-13 at 40% right now. Interestingly, the other six all switched to El Niño, leaving no ENSO-neutral case. Will be interesting to see how 2012 evolves. Source -------------------- The only way of finding the limits of the possible is by going beyond them into the impossible. ~Arthur C Clarke
It is better to have people think you a fool, than to open your mouth and remove all doubt. ~Mark Twain A word to the wise ain't necessary - it's the stupid ones that need the advice. ~Bill Cosby Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can't lose. ~Bill Gates |
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Dec 26 2011, 05:35 PM
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#38
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 481 Joined: 21-January 08 From: Belle Harbor, Queens N.Y. 11694 (right across Marine Park Bridge) Member No.: 12,802 |
Regardless of what happens the balance of this winter, I am becoming very excited about next winter. According to JB on weatherbell, he says it will be the winter of "lawyers guns and money coming at you". Although he hasn't gone into great detail about it as yet, he hinted that it will likely involve a weak el nino enso. Also, FWIW, he expects a cooler summer 2012 across a large chunk of the lower 48. Hang in there people, the future looks brighter, even if it means waiting 10 more months for it. He's referred to 2012-2013 for over a year now about being the blockbuster winter us easterners have been dreaming of. We shall soon find out!
-------------------- "FOR THE WINTER 2012-2013................all I can say for now.............Are we ready to rock n' roll?
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| Removed_Member_Snowstorms_* |
Dec 26 2011, 10:01 PM
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#39
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QUOTE(Weatherjunkie @ Dec 26 2011, 12:37 PM) Well, since this is up already...here's a tidbit from the latest MEI update Source Hmm, this Nina currently reminds me off the late 60's/mid 70's ENSO event and late 90's ENSO event. As an example this is what I mean; more recent in brackets. 69/70 (06-07): El Nino 70-72 (07-09): La Nina 72-73 (09-10): Strong El Nino 73-74 (10-11): Strong Nina 74-75 (11-12): Nina 75-76 (12-13): Strong Nina? Given the deeply negative PDO anomaly and La Nina enriched atmosphere lets see what happens This post has been edited by Snowstorms: Dec 26 2011, 10:01 PM |
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Dec 27 2011, 10:23 PM
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#40
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 6,419 Joined: 4-January 10 From: 20 Miles "North East" of Baltimore Member No.: 20,753 |
QUOTE(mr freeze @ Dec 26 2011, 05:35 PM) Regardless of what happens the balance of this winter, I am becoming very excited about next winter. According to JB on weatherbell, he says it will be the winter of "lawyers guns and money coming at you". Although he hasn't gone into great detail about it as yet, he hinted that it will likely involve a weak el nino enso. Also, FWIW, he expects a cooler summer 2012 across a large chunk of the lower 48. Hang in there people, the future looks brighter, even if it means waiting 10 more months for it. He's referred to 2012-2013 for over a year now about being the blockbuster winter us easterners have been dreaming of. We shall soon find out! Actually longer then that pal, I can remember reading about his feelings for next winter (2012/13) back in the 09/10 season |
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Lo-Fi Version | Time is now: 26th May 2013 - 02:36 AM |