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> Feb 1-3rd MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Reality: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] FORECAST
Undertakerson
post Jan 18 2018, 04:18 AM
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Cyclone Bomb? (LH side of GIF)

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(puts snow blower lube on shopping list)

This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Jan 18 2018, 04:18 AM
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 06:13 AM
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QUOTE(Fire/Rescue @ Jan 17 2018, 09:56 PM) *
Indeed the "average" highs are on the rise however in no way shape or form does that mean winter is running short for your neck of the woods, not in the least.

Regardless whether the average highs are beginning to rise PLENTY of cold and even VERY cold air can easily invade your neck of the woods and as well stick around for awhile Storms. Not at all saying this will be the outcome, more so just saying we have quite a bit of time left for Old Man Winter to lay it to us!


Agree with you Fireman
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JDClapper
post Jan 18 2018, 06:39 AM
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Frontal passage on 6z, barely rains east of the Apps. Lame.



--------------------
Avg. Snowfall 2001-2017: 34"

Current Season: 22"

Last Season: 2016-2017 = 44"

Best Season: 2002-2003 = 63"

Worst Season: 2015-2016 = 7"

Largest Storm: 3/14/2017 = 17"


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MD Blue Ridge
post Jan 18 2018, 06:42 AM
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QUOTE(JDClapper @ Jan 18 2018, 06:39 AM) *
Frontal passage on 6z, barely rains east of the Apps. Lame.


This is our last chance for snow. Hope it works out. Soon it will be time to plant.
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DCBlizzard
post Jan 18 2018, 09:36 AM
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QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 17 2018, 09:26 PM) *
Our time is running short for winter in our net of the woods as our normal temps will start to rise as JD was pointing out for PA looks good. Models are showing rain and the forecast are for rain in our neck of the woods for the next coupe disturbances. Maybe we get more snow and maybe not but at least we received more than others this winter and the last couple. The news was showing the south with lots of snow something that hasn't been witnessed in a very long time.


I agree. The DC area has time until about President's Day weekend and then is it pretty much over. Yes, we have had snow after that point but the BIG ones have almost always during this time frame. We really fight the sun angle once past this point.
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LUCC
post Jan 18 2018, 10:40 AM
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QUOTE(DCBlizzard @ Jan 18 2018, 09:36 AM) *
I agree. The DC area has time until about President's Day weekend and then is it pretty much over. Yes, we have had snow after that point but the BIG ones have almost always during this time frame. We really fight the sun angle once past this point.

rolleyes.gif

I remember not too long ago DE and SNJ getting 3 1' snowstorms end of Feb and being of March, it was painful for those to the North.
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 10:48 AM
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QUOTE(LUCC @ Jan 18 2018, 10:40 AM) *
rolleyes.gif

I remember not too long ago DE and SNJ getting 3 1' snowstorms end of Feb and being of March, it was painful for those to the North.



Been a couple years but yes anything is possible in a volatile state.
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 10:55 AM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jan 17 2018, 11:10 AM) *
Rinse and repeat


Was your post not showing some nice rain? Sure looked like it unless I was suppose to state where the rain is going to be.
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 10:57 AM
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QUOTE(JDClapper @ Jan 17 2018, 11:22 AM) *
Educated guess here, but I'd bet 90% of your posts include the word rain.


An educated guess would say that green on the map is rain too so what is wrong with commenting on the rain too besides the snow?
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 11:00 AM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 17 2018, 12:10 PM) *
that might be a little light.


I guess we are only supposed to talk about the snow and if rain does come into the picture ignore it. We haven't seen rain in awhile so I commented that it looked like maybe a some good rain.
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so_whats_happeni...
post Jan 18 2018, 11:06 AM
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QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 18 2018, 12:48 PM) *
Been a couple years but yes anything is possible in a volatile state.



QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 18 2018, 12:55 PM) *
Was your post not showing some nice rain? Sure looked like it unless I was suppose to state where the rain is going to be.



QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 18 2018, 12:57 PM) *
An educated guess would say that green on the map is rain too so what is wrong with commenting on the rain too besides the snow?



QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 18 2018, 01:00 PM) *
I guess we are only supposed to talk about the snow and if rain does come into the picture ignore it. We haven't seen rain in awhile so I commented that it looked like maybe a some good rain.


I think we get your point man please stop last time I checked today was january 18th not the 31st and not february.


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JDClapper
post Jan 18 2018, 11:07 AM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 18 2018, 06:42 AM) *
This is our last chance for snow. Hope it works out. Soon it will be time to plant.


I agree.


--------------------
Avg. Snowfall 2001-2017: 34"

Current Season: 22"

Last Season: 2016-2017 = 44"

Best Season: 2002-2003 = 63"

Worst Season: 2015-2016 = 7"

Largest Storm: 3/14/2017 = 17"


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Pro tip for all users: When catching up on a thread, go back at least 2 pages from the current page and read. ... Read ...
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 11:12 AM
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I apologize for those who see the back lash against me by a few for me commenting on the rain that is on the guidance that was post by a more experience posters at the beginning of this threat.
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so_whats_happeni...
post Jan 18 2018, 11:18 AM
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QUOTE(Storms R us @ Jan 18 2018, 01:12 PM) *
I apologize for those who see the back lash against me by a few for me commenting on the rain that is on the guidance that was post by a more experience posters at the beginning of this threat.


Your best bet if you want to have actions speak louder than words is to post your thoughts via map interpretation from preferably more than one model showing what you think might happen based off those interpretations and im not talking about SLP maps look to upper air first and work your way down.. 2 week and the gamut is huge with this. They only attempt at it because of a signal that is shown almost as if showing a tellie. Is it always right no not really but with a time frame like this about as best as you can get since models are just starting to show february/ this time frame at hour 384...

Give it a week and things will change and then give it another 2 days and something else will change and then give it 2 more days and we are then within 3 days of the event bet by then it will different once again. Dont take it harshly.

This post has been edited by so_whats_happening: Jan 18 2018, 11:19 AM


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Millersville University


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Stratosphere Discussion:
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2017/2018


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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mr freeze
post Jan 18 2018, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(JDClapper @ Jan 17 2018, 12:22 PM) *
Educated guess here, but I'd bet 90% of your posts include the word rain.


This reply should have included a Cool, thanks!


--------------------
"FOR THE WINTER 2017-18.....If the Nina stays weak.....LOOK OUT! Are we about to finally turn the corner towards cold/snow in March?
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mr freeze
post Jan 18 2018, 11:24 AM
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QUOTE(JDClapper @ Jan 17 2018, 12:22 PM) *
Educated guess here, but I'd bet 90% of your posts include the word rain.


And "warmth"


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"FOR THE WINTER 2017-18.....If the Nina stays weak.....LOOK OUT! Are we about to finally turn the corner towards cold/snow in March?
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 11:36 AM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Jan 18 2018, 11:06 AM) *
I think we get your point man please stop last time I checked today was january 18th not the 31st and not february.


When the negative attacks stop and construed as cyberbullying.

I see Mr. Freeze joining right in.

This post has been edited by Storms R us: Jan 18 2018, 11:43 AM
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Storms R us
post Jan 18 2018, 11:42 AM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Jan 18 2018, 11:18 AM) *
Your best bet if you want to have actions speak louder than words is to post your thoughts via map interpretation from preferably more than one model showing what you think might happen based off those interpretations and im not talking about SLP maps look to upper air first and work your way down.. 2 week and the gamut is huge with this. They only attempt at it because of a signal that is shown almost as if showing a tellie. Is it always right no not really but with a time frame like this about as best as you can get since models are just starting to show february/ this time frame at hour 384...

Give it a week and things will change and then give it another 2 days and something else will change and then give it 2 more days and we are then within 3 days of the event bet by then it will different once again. Dont take it harshly.


I Have used the maps and guidance that have been posted but I can post some of the maps of the different guidance and NOAA weather forecast which I have sometimes.
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 18 2018, 11:46 AM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jan 17 2018, 07:28 AM) *






In it second image, what does the 489 low off the coast mean? I'm confused over the difference in the first two images
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 18 2018, 11:49 AM
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Obviously take it with a grain of salt, but even the farmers almanac recognizes the threat for a Major nor' Easter during this time frame.
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