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> Feb 3rd to 5th Plains/MW/GL/OV Snows (White Superbowl?), Lat Minute Forecasts - Observations
RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 11:45 AM
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Well, I might as well open a storm killing thread smile.gif

The 12Z CMC and GFS shows wintry precip and temps over the Superbowl weekend time frame.

This post has been edited by RobB: Feb 4 2018, 11:59 AM
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BrentSEMI
post Jan 28 2018, 11:48 AM
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Will be interesting to see the pattern that sets up after this system moves through. Thanks Rob for starting this topic!
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 11:49 AM
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QUOTE(BrentSEMI @ Jan 28 2018, 11:48 AM) *
Will be interesting to see the pattern that sets up after this system moves through. Thanks Rob for starting this topic!



You're welcome. I figured I couldn't make these longer range systems peter out more than they already have this season smile.gif biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by RobB: Jan 28 2018, 11:50 AM
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 28 2018, 11:53 AM
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Pattern for this one looks substantially better than Thursday. Feel like I should focus more of my efforts here
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 28 2018, 12:12 PM
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There are a handful of possibly solutions here, but all of which favor snow in different regions (phased and un phased) some actually benefit better from the unphased multustorm version

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CIWeather
post Jan 28 2018, 12:13 PM
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I like the look of the CMC. Of course, I liked it for this next system at one point too...


--------------------
2016-2017 Fall/Winter Statistics

First Chance of Snow:
First Snowflakes:
First Winter Weather Advisory/Watch/Warning: (Winter Weather Advisory)
First Winter Storm Watch: 1/12/17
First Winter Storm Warning:
First Blizzard Watch/Warning:
# of Winter Storm Watches: 1
# of Winter Storm Warnings:
# of Blizzard Watches/Warnings:

2017 Severe Weather Statistics

First Risk of Severe Weather:
Slight Risks: 3
Enhanced Risks: 1
Moderate Risks: 1
High Risks:

Severe Thunderstorm Watches:
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:
Tornado Warnings:


April 18-19, 2016: 20-year anniversary of back-to-back tornadoes hitting Decatur, IL.
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:31 PM
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12Z Euro at Day 6

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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:33 PM
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12Z Euro Hour 144 Precip type
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:35 PM
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.
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:37 PM
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.

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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:39 PM
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.
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:40 PM
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Next time, I'll just create a loop of these..LOL..
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:42 PM
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Last one. All three showing precip including some wintry. We shall see...
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 01:43 PM
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Snowfall before this time period and after.

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CIWeather
post Jan 28 2018, 01:51 PM
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I know it's several days away but this is becoming ridiculous...


--------------------
2016-2017 Fall/Winter Statistics

First Chance of Snow:
First Snowflakes:
First Winter Weather Advisory/Watch/Warning: (Winter Weather Advisory)
First Winter Storm Watch: 1/12/17
First Winter Storm Warning:
First Blizzard Watch/Warning:
# of Winter Storm Watches: 1
# of Winter Storm Warnings:
# of Blizzard Watches/Warnings:

2017 Severe Weather Statistics

First Risk of Severe Weather:
Slight Risks: 3
Enhanced Risks: 1
Moderate Risks: 1
High Risks:

Severe Thunderstorm Watches:
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:
Tornado Warnings:


April 18-19, 2016: 20-year anniversary of back-to-back tornadoes hitting Decatur, IL.
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StormChaser4Life
post Jan 28 2018, 03:58 PM
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Euro hasn't been performing well lately imo. GFS has been remarkably consistent in showing a long duration overrunning snow event and it overall hasn't changed much. I know we are still like a week out and a lot can and prolly will change but can't ignore the persistence of GFS
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 05:23 PM
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18Z GFS (click to loop)
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RobB
post Jan 28 2018, 05:23 PM
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.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 28 2018, 05:35 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 28 2018, 05:23 PM) *
18Z GFS (click to loop)

Split flow in the very last minute looked like? Looked ok at first. Seems this one has many more players than thurs fri storm
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CIWeather
post Jan 28 2018, 05:35 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 28 2018, 04:23 PM) *
.


The GFS says, since you are complaining, I'll just screw you all early laugh.gif


--------------------
2016-2017 Fall/Winter Statistics

First Chance of Snow:
First Snowflakes:
First Winter Weather Advisory/Watch/Warning: (Winter Weather Advisory)
First Winter Storm Watch: 1/12/17
First Winter Storm Warning:
First Blizzard Watch/Warning:
# of Winter Storm Watches: 1
# of Winter Storm Warnings:
# of Blizzard Watches/Warnings:

2017 Severe Weather Statistics

First Risk of Severe Weather:
Slight Risks: 3
Enhanced Risks: 1
Moderate Risks: 1
High Risks:

Severe Thunderstorm Watches:
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:
Tornado Warnings:


April 18-19, 2016: 20-year anniversary of back-to-back tornadoes hitting Decatur, IL.
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