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> Feb 3rd to 5th Plains/MW/GL/OV Snows (White Superbowl?), Lat Minute Forecasts - Observations
RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 10:45 AM
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QUOTE(beaver56 @ Jan 30 2018, 10:33 AM) *


You left out a word Rob! I've got your back.


biggrin.gif
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RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 11:07 AM
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12Z GFS 48 hour snows:
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N.Indianaweather
post Jan 30 2018, 11:39 AM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 30 2018, 11:07 AM) *
12Z GFS 48 hour snows:


So let's do some math here. If I get 2.0 inches over a 48 hour period that would equal around .045 inches per hour?? Double check me there. Fueling the snow blower up and will call for an urgent neighborhood meeting tonight. Woooweeee.


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mulaman984
post Jan 30 2018, 11:39 AM
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QUOTE(N.Indianaweather @ Jan 30 2018, 11:39 AM) *
So let's do some math here. If I get 2.0 inches over a 48 hour period that would equal around .045 inches per hour?? Double check me there. Fueling the snow blower up and will call for an urgent neighborhood meeting tonight. Woooweeee.


Lol. Some digital snow snowing up on the 12Z GFS. Maybe itís your calling to start a thread lol.
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RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 11:40 AM
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QUOTE(N.Indianaweather @ Jan 30 2018, 11:39 AM) *
So let's do some math here. If I get 2.0 inches over a 48 hour period that would equal around .045 inches per hour?? Double check me there. Fueling the snow blower up and will call for an urgent neighborhood meeting tonight. Woooweeee.



Well it shouldn't take 48 hour for the accumulation. I showed 48 hour snowfall to better encompass the areal coverage of this thread for the time period smile.gif
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 30 2018, 12:25 PM
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This stretch is living all to all the energy advertised, however I don't think anyone anticipated each wave being worthlessly this weak lol
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RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 01:31 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 30 2018, 12:25 PM) *
This stretch is living all to all the energy advertised, however I don't think anyone anticipated each wave being worthlessly this weak lol


Euro gives me an inch!

Woohoo smile.gif
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RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 01:32 PM
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.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 30 2018, 03:33 PM
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i-80 and north still looks like the best opportunity here
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 30 2018, 05:05 PM
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hmmmm northern stream took over as dominant this run at least in this small window and gave us an appreciable solution. Instead of the 2 equally weak waves at the same exact time. It does looks more like the ensembles now

This post has been edited by ohiobuckeye45: Jan 30 2018, 05:06 PM
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snowlover2
post Jan 30 2018, 05:06 PM
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18z GFS looked better.


--------------------
First Flakes: 10/28/17

First 1"+ of Snow:2.0" 12/9/17

Biggest Snowfall:4.5" 2/7/18

# of Winter Storm Watches:1

# of Winter Storm Warnings:
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RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 05:09 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 30 2018, 05:05 PM) *
hmmmm northern stream took over as dominant this run at least in this small window and gave us an appreciable solution. Instead of the 2 equally weak waves at the same exact time. It does looks more like the ensembles now



I shan't be too choosy. I would be happy if I could see 2 to 3 inches of the white.....
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 30 2018, 05:16 PM
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QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jan 30 2018, 05:06 PM) *
18z GFS looked better.



QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 30 2018, 05:09 PM) *
I shan't be too choosy. I would be happy if I could see 2 to 3 inches of the white.....

this run was at least something worth tracking, unlike prior runs
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RobB
post Jan 30 2018, 06:50 PM
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FWIW.

18Z GEFS Total snowfall through the afternoon of the 5th.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 30 2018, 07:14 PM
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briefly mentioned by ILN

QUOTE
Long wave trough will remain across much of North America through
the period. There is pretty good agreement that another disturbance
will track through the area over the weekend. Associated cold front
will cross the region Saturday night. This will bring some snow to
the area. There is less agreement in timing with the next short
wave. Have the next chance of snow late Monday night into
Tuesday.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 30 2018, 07:17 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 30 2018, 06:50 PM) *
FWIW.

18Z GEFS Total snowfall through the afternoon of the 5th.

another look, but unfortunately the GEFS has been acting as irrational as an operational as of late so the salt is grainy lol

It also hard to cut off snow from the system after this due to timing issues so some areas in the western part of the thread start getting in to that

This post has been edited by ohiobuckeye45: Jan 30 2018, 07:18 PM
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snowlover2
post Jan 30 2018, 11:10 PM
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0z GFS was similar for the Saturday/Sunday northern wave. The second southern wave Sunday night/Monday did shift north some getting light snow up to I-70 in Ohio.


--------------------
First Flakes: 10/28/17

First 1"+ of Snow:2.0" 12/9/17

Biggest Snowfall:4.5" 2/7/18

# of Winter Storm Watches:1

# of Winter Storm Warnings:
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grace
post Jan 31 2018, 12:24 AM
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Me likes the 0z GEFS Ensembles:)
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CIWeather
post Jan 31 2018, 06:50 AM
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QUOTE(grace @ Jan 30 2018, 11:24 PM) *
Me likes the 0z GEFS Ensembles:)


Anyone got the ensembles? smile.gif


--------------------
2016-2017 Fall/Winter Statistics

First Chance of Snow:
First Snowflakes:
First Winter Weather Advisory/Watch/Warning: (Winter Weather Advisory)
First Winter Storm Watch: 1/12/17
First Winter Storm Warning:
First Blizzard Watch/Warning:
# of Winter Storm Watches: 1
# of Winter Storm Warnings:
# of Blizzard Watches/Warnings:

2017 Severe Weather Statistics

First Risk of Severe Weather:
Slight Risks: 3
Enhanced Risks: 1
Moderate Risks: 1
High Risks:

Severe Thunderstorm Watches:
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:
Tornado Warnings:


April 18-19, 2016: 20-year anniversary of back-to-back tornadoes hitting Decatur, IL.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 31 2018, 07:55 AM
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6z GFS 2 wave total
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