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> Feb 4th-5th MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, REALITY: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] FORECAST
PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 30 2018, 04:30 PM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Jan 30 2018, 03:19 PM) *
12z Euro - its not far off, right now another coastal scraper.

[attachment=346333:1_30_eur..._for_2_5.gif]

Just watched Steve D's premium video for the weekend threat and (this) threat. He basically said this is a shortwave in a very progressive pattern and that he wouldn't be surprised if this continues to trend east and less impressive as we go forward. Buzzzzzkill Bruh, but I appreciate the honesty.
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stilko4
post Jan 30 2018, 04:46 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Jan 30 2018, 04:30 PM) *
Just watched Steve D's premium video for the weekend threat and (this) threat. He basically said this is a shortwave in a very progressive pattern and that he wouldn't be surprised if this continues to trend east and less impressive as we go forward. Buzzzzzkill Bruh, but I appreciate the honesty.


According to cranky this is near the end of the Pacific flow, so maybe things change in a few weeks to allow big snows for all.


--------------------
Long Island - best place to live, period

snowfall for Syosset (north shore nassau county)

winter 13-14 ~ 66

winter 12-13
total snow - 45"

winter 11-12 (the winter that never was)
total snow for syosset ~ 3"

winter 10-11
total snow for syosset ~ 63"

winter 09-10
snowfall - 59.5"
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7.3powerstrokedi...
post Jan 30 2018, 05:22 PM
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What an active week we have incoming.

Gfs
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Palmerton, Pa Carbon County
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MD Blue Ridge
post Jan 30 2018, 05:27 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Jan 30 2018, 04:30 PM) *
Just watched Steve D's premium video for the weekend threat and (this) threat. He basically said this is a shortwave in a very progressive pattern and that he wouldn't be surprised if this continues to trend east and less impressive as we go forward. Buzzzzzkill Bruh, but I appreciate the honesty.


Sewed up. No need to track further. Steve (the flopper) D has spoken.

This small snow event won't stick anyway. Warm up wednesday, ground will be too warm.

This post has been edited by MD Blue Ridge: Jan 30 2018, 05:27 PM


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
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7.3powerstrokedi...
post Jan 30 2018, 05:28 PM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 30 2018, 05:27 PM) *
Sewed up. No need to track further. Steve (the flopper) D has spoken.

This small snow event won't stick anyway. Warm up wednesday, ground will be too warm.



Yeah I was wrong. RELAX


--------------------
Palmerton, Pa Carbon County
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MD Blue Ridge
post Jan 30 2018, 05:30 PM
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QUOTE(7.3powerstrokediesel @ Jan 30 2018, 05:28 PM) *
Yeah I was wrong. RELAX


Just hung up my snow shovel. Relaxing in a pair of Bermuda shorts and hawiian shirt.


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
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Undertakerson
post Jan 30 2018, 05:46 PM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 30 2018, 05:30 PM) *
Just hung up my snow shovel. Relaxing in a pair of Bermuda shorts and hawiian shirt.

Trying to channel some Clapper reality? (lol)
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rtcemc
post Jan 30 2018, 05:56 PM
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QUOTE(7.3powerstrokediesel @ Jan 30 2018, 05:28 PM) *
Yeah I was wrong. RELAX

If these next 3 produce a little, lots of plowing income potential for you. Think it continues after that also. I know you luv it, but if February goes as planned, I will be totally sick of snow before the month is even over(and I am close now).
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risingriver
post Jan 30 2018, 07:29 PM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Jan 30 2018, 03:19 PM) *
12z Euro - its not far off, right now another coastal scraper.

[attachment=346333:1_30_eur..._for_2_5.gif]

that is definitely the preferred pattern for this winter.
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risingriver
post Jan 30 2018, 07:31 PM
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QUOTE(rtcemc @ Jan 30 2018, 05:56 PM) *
If these next 3 produce a little, lots of plowing income potential for you. Think it continues after that also. I know you luv it, but if February goes as planned, I will be totally sick of snow before the month is even over(and I am close now).


sick of snow? That's points off your man card. laugh.gif or your weather nerd card.
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jdrenken
post Jan 30 2018, 07:50 PM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Jan 30 2018, 04:46 PM) *
Trying to channel some Clapper reality? (lol)


Will this help?

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--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

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The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Jan 30 2018, 08:59 PM
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Nice little potent clipper on the Gfs and Euro..

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Seasonal Snowfall 95/96-Current
2017-2018 Snowfall 172.3(as of 3/17)
2016-2017 Snowfall 160.2
2015-2016 Snowfall 106.2
Source

Top 6 snowiest winters of the past 20 years

1)95/96- 273.9"
2)03/04- 255.4"
3)10/11- 247.3"
4)00/01- 244.0"
5)06/07- 232.6"
6)02/03- 226.1
My PWS
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rtcemc
post Jan 30 2018, 09:21 PM
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QUOTE(risingriver @ Jan 30 2018, 07:31 PM) *
sick of snow? That's points off your man card. laugh.gif or your weather nerd card.

Yea, subtract from both laugh.gif It's an age thing. I really like snow, just not endless snows and cold. Tracking and watching is the best. So is snow and then melting. One of the reasons I like February.
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Solstice
post Jan 30 2018, 09:24 PM
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QUOTE(rtcemc @ Jan 30 2018, 09:21 PM) *
So is snow and then melting.


He said the "M" word!
*grabs virga voodoo doll*


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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rtcemc
post Jan 30 2018, 09:26 PM
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QUOTE(Solstice @ Jan 30 2018, 09:24 PM) *
He said the "M" word!
*grabs virga voodoo doll*

I shall go into hibernation.......
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Storms R us
post Jan 30 2018, 09:55 PM
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Looks like a positive troff, no heights in the Atlantic and the storm stays off the coast
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Harleigh Hal
post Jan 30 2018, 10:27 PM
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Ensemble 18z GEFS looks better than the op. cool.gif

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Snowfall Totals - 2014 - 2018

2014-15 - 61.50 Inches through 3-31-15

2015-16 - 22 & 1/4 Inches plus a skosh thru April 3rd.

2016-17 - 56.25 Inches Through March 15th, 2017

2017-18 - 55.25 Inches Through March 14th, 2018

Banned from commenting against DT since 2012, but now there's Twitter, so I can Trump him!
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phillyfan
post Jan 30 2018, 11:05 PM
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This looks good:






This post has been edited by phillyfan: Jan 30 2018, 11:07 PM


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Winter 2017-18:

Winter Weather Advisory: 11/13, 12/9-10, 12/13-14, 12/24-25, 1/3-4, 1/8, 1/13, 1/16-17, 2/4, 2/7, 2/17-18, 4/2
Winter Storm Watch: 2/17-18, 3/6-8, 3/20-21
Winter Storm Warning: 2/17, 3/6-8, 3/20-21
Flood Watch 2/10-11
High Wind Watch: 3/2-3
High Wind Warning: 3/2-3, 4/4

Accumulating Snowfall Dates:
12/9: 6", 12/13: 1", 12/15: 1", 12/30: 2"
1/4: 0.5", 1/16: 1.5", 1/16-17: 2.5", 1/30: 0.5"
2/4: 1.5", 2/7: 1", 2/17: 7"
3/7: 1.5", 3/12-13: 2", 3/21: 12", 3/25: 1.5"
4/2: 4"

Total: 45.5"

Average Snowfall: 32"
2016-2017: 25.5 (-6.5 from avg.)
2015-2016: 41 (+9 from avg.)
2014-2015: 48 (+16 from avg.)
2013-2014: 57.25" (+25.25 from avg.)
2012-2013: 22" (-10" from avg.)
2011-2012: 14" (-18" from avg.)
2010-2011: 24" (-8" from avg.)
2009-2010: 64" (+32" from avg.)
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phillyfan
post Jan 30 2018, 11:09 PM
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Here's CMC:






--------------------
Winter 2017-18:

Winter Weather Advisory: 11/13, 12/9-10, 12/13-14, 12/24-25, 1/3-4, 1/8, 1/13, 1/16-17, 2/4, 2/7, 2/17-18, 4/2
Winter Storm Watch: 2/17-18, 3/6-8, 3/20-21
Winter Storm Warning: 2/17, 3/6-8, 3/20-21
Flood Watch 2/10-11
High Wind Watch: 3/2-3
High Wind Warning: 3/2-3, 4/4

Accumulating Snowfall Dates:
12/9: 6", 12/13: 1", 12/15: 1", 12/30: 2"
1/4: 0.5", 1/16: 1.5", 1/16-17: 2.5", 1/30: 0.5"
2/4: 1.5", 2/7: 1", 2/17: 7"
3/7: 1.5", 3/12-13: 2", 3/21: 12", 3/25: 1.5"
4/2: 4"

Total: 45.5"

Average Snowfall: 32"
2016-2017: 25.5 (-6.5 from avg.)
2015-2016: 41 (+9 from avg.)
2014-2015: 48 (+16 from avg.)
2013-2014: 57.25" (+25.25 from avg.)
2012-2013: 22" (-10" from avg.)
2011-2012: 14" (-18" from avg.)
2010-2011: 24" (-8" from avg.)
2009-2010: 64" (+32" from avg.)
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 30 2018, 11:11 PM
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Nice
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