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> Feb 4th-5th MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, REALITY: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] FORECAST
phillyfan
post Jan 30 2018, 11:11 PM
Post #41




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0z GFS candy:


FYI: Vermont up through Maine not done at this point.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18, 7/27
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27, 7/21-22, 7/23-26, 7/27, 8/2-4, 8/11-12
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11, 8/4
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4, 7/22-23, 7/27, 8/3-4, 8/11
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LoveNYCSnow
post Jan 30 2018, 11:22 PM
Post #42




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GFS looks like a classic coastal hugger with snow to rain at the coast and snow inland


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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Blizz
post Jan 30 2018, 11:23 PM
Post #43




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--------------------
WINTERS
MBY Avg. Snow: 44" per year
17-18 Winter Storm Warnings: 3
17-18 Winter Weather Advisories: 10


Previous Winter Totals (2011-2018)
21.1", 40.0", 65.0", 52.2", 22.0", 48.4, 55.3""
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Blizz
post Jan 30 2018, 11:25 PM
Post #44




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QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Jan 30 2018, 11:22 PM) *
GFS looks like a classic coastal hugger with snow to rain at the coast and snow inland


BM EPA and HV track for sure. Wow


--------------------
WINTERS
MBY Avg. Snow: 44" per year
17-18 Winter Storm Warnings: 3
17-18 Winter Weather Advisories: 10


Previous Winter Totals (2011-2018)
21.1", 40.0", 65.0", 52.2", 22.0", 48.4, 55.3""
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Black05GSR
post Jan 30 2018, 11:31 PM
Post #45




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some support from the CMC



--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
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RickRD
post Jan 30 2018, 11:32 PM
Post #46




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QUOTE(Blizz @ Jan 30 2018, 11:23 PM) *

ROFLMAO!!!
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RickRD
post Jan 30 2018, 11:35 PM
Post #47




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Kuchera
Attached Image

Attached Image
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LoveNYCSnow
post Jan 30 2018, 11:36 PM
Post #48




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QUOTE(Black05GSR @ Jan 30 2018, 11:31 PM) *
some support from the CMC



Verbatim the CMC is better for the NYC area although we know the specifics will change run to run, rooting for a decent size storm for someone.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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BLIZZARD_OF_79
post Jan 30 2018, 11:36 PM
Post #49




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QUOTE(Blizz @ Jan 30 2018, 11:23 PM) *

Needs to go a touch east that would be rain for i95


--------------------
Garry
]skywarn spotter, NWS.
sparrows point , md. 21219

Winter 2017-18 snow totals imby
Dec 9th....3.0 inches
Dec 13th...0.25 inches
Dec 15th...1.0 inches
Dec 30th..0.50 inches
Jan 3rd-4th...1.0 inches
Jan 16-17th...1.25 inches
Feb 17-18th...2.00 inches
March 6-7th...1.25 inches
March 20-21...6.25 inches
----------------------------------------------

Total snowfall.....16.50 inches




last 7 previous winter snow totals...
09-10....79.5inches
10-11....21.7inches
11-12....2.5inches
12-13....11.3inches
13-14....44.1inches
14-15....28.25inches
15-16....32.50 inches
16-17....2.75 inches
17-18....16.50 inches
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MD Blue Ridge
post Jan 30 2018, 11:38 PM
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QUOTE(BLIZZARD_OF_79 @ Jan 30 2018, 11:36 PM) *
Needs to go a touch east that would be rain for i95


Good post.


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
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Black05GSR
post Jan 30 2018, 11:41 PM
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That's a decent picture for the next 10 days. Unicorn vomit everywhere.



--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
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BLIZZARD_OF_79
post Jan 30 2018, 11:43 PM
Post #52




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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 30 2018, 11:38 PM) *
Good post.

Back at ya


--------------------
Garry
]skywarn spotter, NWS.
sparrows point , md. 21219

Winter 2017-18 snow totals imby
Dec 9th....3.0 inches
Dec 13th...0.25 inches
Dec 15th...1.0 inches
Dec 30th..0.50 inches
Jan 3rd-4th...1.0 inches
Jan 16-17th...1.25 inches
Feb 17-18th...2.00 inches
March 6-7th...1.25 inches
March 20-21...6.25 inches
----------------------------------------------

Total snowfall.....16.50 inches




last 7 previous winter snow totals...
09-10....79.5inches
10-11....21.7inches
11-12....2.5inches
12-13....11.3inches
13-14....44.1inches
14-15....28.25inches
15-16....32.50 inches
16-17....2.75 inches
17-18....16.50 inches
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rtcemc
post Jan 30 2018, 11:48 PM
Post #53




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QUOTE(RickRD @ Jan 30 2018, 11:32 PM) *
ROFLMAO!!!

That is awesome laugh.gif , and don't ever bail on me again over 3 days out.
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rtcemc
post Jan 30 2018, 11:50 PM
Post #54




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What thread am I in unsure.gif unsure.gif
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telejunkie
post Jan 31 2018, 12:04 AM
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QUOTE(rtcemc @ Jan 30 2018, 11:50 PM) *
What thread am I in unsure.gif unsure.gif

The thread with potential...for the next 48 hours, until ICON finally caves.

Honestly though, just another potential, and something to kerp eyes on


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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LoveNYCSnow
post Jan 31 2018, 12:07 AM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Jan 31 2018, 12:04 AM) *
The thread with potential...for the next 48 hours, until ICON finally caves.

Honestly though, just another potential, and something to kerp eyes on


True just potential, although 126-132 hours out not really fantasy range anymore or even long range anymore so the thread is worth having a little juice although certainly could change still run to run.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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PlanetMaster
post Jan 31 2018, 01:17 AM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Jan 30 2018, 11:38 PM) *
Good post.


laugh.gif

QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Jan 31 2018, 12:07 AM) *
True just potential, although 126-132 hours out not really fantasy range anymore or even long range anymore so the thread is worth having a little juice although certainly could change still run to run.


rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: Jan 31 2018, 01:19 AM


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Mike W IN herkim...
post Jan 31 2018, 03:16 AM
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Hard to decipher what’s what on the euro, day after day of snow shower activity, granted ratios will be higher than 10-1 on avg..Looks like several inches during this time frame..

Attached Image


This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Jan 31 2018, 03:32 AM
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jdrenken
post Jan 31 2018, 03:17 AM
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Keep political based post out.


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MaineJay
post Jan 31 2018, 03:35 AM
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EPS with spread,, certainly not taking it's time.

Attached Image

Attached Image

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/exp...MO=&PERIOD=


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The Perseids are coming, The predators are coming! Peaking ~August 12-13
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