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> February 6th-8th Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm, Possibility: Medium Range [4-8 Days Out] FORECAST
Big Ant
post Jan 31 2018, 11:25 AM
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QUOTE(ValpoSnow @ Jan 31 2018, 08:04 AM) *
I wouldn't be surprised if this somehow hit Chicago as I will be out of town all of next week. I'm so unhappy about it.


Don't worry, it will hit Chicago, then miss Chicago, hit, miss, hit/miss by the time we get to the obs thread. laugh.gif
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snowlover2
post Jan 31 2018, 11:28 AM
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Wow looking better.


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# of T-Storm Watches:2

# of T-Storm Warnings:1

# of Tornado Watches:2

# of Tornado Warnings:1
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 31 2018, 11:30 AM
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And then even beyond, still in this thread is another wave
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snowlover2
post Jan 31 2018, 11:41 AM
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12z GGEM

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# of T-Storm Watches:2

# of T-Storm Warnings:1

# of Tornado Watches:2

# of Tornado Warnings:1
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 31 2018, 12:02 PM
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QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jan 31 2018, 11:41 AM) *
12z GGEM

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48 hour look, 24 cuts a little off in the n west. Not why why tt hasn't introduced larger increments, seems like it would be fairly simple

This post has been edited by ohiobuckeye45: Jan 31 2018, 12:03 PM
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 31 2018, 12:41 PM
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GEFS
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RobB
post Jan 31 2018, 01:38 PM
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Euro...Bleh
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 31 2018, 01:42 PM
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This entire run of the ECM seems missing a beat, seems to be a laggard still
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RobB
post Jan 31 2018, 01:48 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 31 2018, 01:42 PM) *
This entire run of the ECM seems missing a beat, seems to be a laggard still



198 FWIW
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StL weatherjunki...
post Jan 31 2018, 02:27 PM
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Cumulative QPF for the next 10 days according to the 12z GEFS highlights an active storm track that may produce snowfall over the same areas multiple times over the next 10 days. At least a limited potential exists for a larger storm somewhere in this time frame.
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All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and to appropriately communicate the forecast to the users.

Fervent supporter of the idea to make GFS output beyond hour 168 proprietary! Anyone wanting to post/share/tweet/etc GFS output beyond day 7 should have 1) a limited set of graphics available with the option to 2) contribute a nominal fee to get a full suite of products while improving future GFS output. #EURObusinessfor-the-win
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Snow____
post Jan 31 2018, 02:30 PM
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I like that itís at least active.


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Accuweather please give us our own Midwest area forecaster/video blogger
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StL weatherjunki...
post Jan 31 2018, 02:33 PM
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QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Jan 31 2018, 02:27 PM) *
Cumulative QPF for the next 10 days according to the 12z GEFS highlights an active storm track that may produce snowfall over the same areas multiple times over the next 10 days. At least a limited potential exists for a larger storm somewhere in this time frame.

Canadian ensemble following suit, will be interesting what the snow pack looks like in 10 days. From what I can see, the Hudson Bay PV appears to be a stalwart of early Feb and if it persists I suspect the active pattern will continue with sufficient cold air around for wintry weather.
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All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and to appropriately communicate the forecast to the users.

Fervent supporter of the idea to make GFS output beyond hour 168 proprietary! Anyone wanting to post/share/tweet/etc GFS output beyond day 7 should have 1) a limited set of graphics available with the option to 2) contribute a nominal fee to get a full suite of products while improving future GFS output. #EURObusinessfor-the-win
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RobB
post Jan 31 2018, 02:53 PM
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Euro EPS 198 hours snowfall:


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cary67
post Jan 31 2018, 03:29 PM
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QUOTE(ValpoSnow @ Jan 31 2018, 07:04 AM) *
I wouldn't be surprised if this somehow hit Chicago as I will be out of town all of next week. I'm so unhappy about it.

This is going to be south of Chicago with the main band. We could get 2-3" from the numerous waves.
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Big Ant
post Jan 31 2018, 03:59 PM
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I'm pretty confident about getting some wind from one of these waves.
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snowlover2
post Jan 31 2018, 05:13 PM
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18z GFS looks similar to 12z and maybe a touch north.


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# of T-Storm Watches:2

# of T-Storm Warnings:1

# of Tornado Watches:2

# of Tornado Warnings:1
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JymGanahlRocks
post Jan 31 2018, 05:14 PM
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18z GFS is a big time tease...don't bite!
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Juniorrr
post Jan 31 2018, 05:15 PM
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Yea yea lets see Euro and other support. We know how the GFS did on the upcoming 1-3 storm. Nice to have back to back systems on the radar though.
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BuckeyeDiva
post Jan 31 2018, 05:16 PM
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18Z GFS is going to have candy.


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"Weather forecast for tonight: dark. Continued dark overnight, with widely scattered light by morning." (George Carlin)
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JymGanahlRocks
post Jan 31 2018, 05:16 PM
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QUOTE(JymGanahlRocks @ Jan 31 2018, 05:14 PM) *
18z GFS is a big time tease...don't bite!


12"+ for Indy/Cincy/Dayton/Columbus & surrounding areas, yikes. rolleyes.gif
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