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> Feb 1-2, 2018 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm OBS, Last Minute Forecasts - Observations
Black05GSR
post Feb 2 2018, 09:04 AM
Post #141




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Joined: 26-December 12
From: Linden, NJ and Albrightsville, PA (1850ft)
Member No.: 27,529





A little more than I was expecting. 4" currently with a snow shower.

Attached Image


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Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
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stretchct
post Feb 2 2018, 09:05 AM
Post #142




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 6,956
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From: Newtown, CT
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I'll call it a half an inch of crusty snow/ice. Its kinda nasty. Hoping it warms up or is mostly sunny today. No way to scrape this off the driveway and walks.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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yamvmax
post Feb 2 2018, 09:06 AM
Post #143




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Joined: 9-March 14
From: Stony Brook NY
Member No.: 29,368





Moved out too quick for anything more than a dusting. The air behind it though is COLD!
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phillyPete
post Feb 2 2018, 09:07 AM
Post #144




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Snowing cotton balls here atm!
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PlanetMaster
post Feb 2 2018, 09:09 AM
Post #145




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Member No.: 25,093





Exit stage right



--------------------
Join in the conversation at https://www.wxdisco.com/
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Crimson_Sprite
post Feb 2 2018, 09:08 AM
Post #146




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From: Cambridge, NY (Valley of the Shadow of Death)
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WOW! Woke up to the sound of plows at 5.30am this morning and was like huh.gif

ended up having 3-3/4" of snow! Was expecting squat really! Nice little surprise.


--------------------
Winter of the Shadow Snow 2012-2013 - - - - 30 total
Winter of Sub-Atomic Snow 2013-2014 - - - - 57.5 total
Winter of the Butterface Storms 2014-2015 - 69.25 total
Winter of Poo 2015-2016 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -9.25" total
Winter of Late Awakening 2016-2017 -- - - - -49" total
The Winter of Digital Snow 2017--2018- - - - - 60" total
----------------------------------------------------
Storms 2018
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LUCC
post Feb 2 2018, 09:16 AM
Post #147




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Nada here, below is 6z GFS which was nothing close to what was actually occurring.


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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Miller A
post Feb 2 2018, 11:13 AM
Post #148




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From: Sussex, NJ
Member No.: 16,359





NWS PNS says we got 1". The rain mixed with snow, slushed up, froze over completely, and then snow/sleet coating. Nasty this morning

My house is the first pic. 2nd is at work. Looks bone dry here

Attached image(s)
Attached Image
 


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TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"


Alt 248 = degrees symbol
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Miller A
post Feb 2 2018, 11:17 AM
Post #149




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From: Sussex, NJ
Member No.: 16,359





QUOTE(Crimson_Sprite @ Feb 2 2018, 09:08 AM) *
WOW! Woke up to the sound of plows at 5.30am this morning and was like huh.gif

ended up having 3-3/4" of snow! Was expecting squat squall really! Nice little surprise.


For anyone that remembers below, The Spellbinder has been foiled!

Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 


--------------------
TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"


Alt 248 = degrees symbol
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StL weatherjunki...
post Feb 2 2018, 11:18 AM
Post #150




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Morgantown, WV
Member No.: 6,288





QUOTE(stretchct @ Feb 2 2018, 09:05 AM) *
I'll call it a half an inch of crusty snow/ice. Its kinda nasty. Hoping it warms up or is mostly sunny today. No way to scrape this off the driveway and walks.

I got the same crusty snow/ice combo amounting to about 1/2" ... Salt has been quite effective on this garbage here in morgantown.


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All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and appropriately communicate the improved forecast to users.

We live in a day and age where the quantity of model guidance is overwhelming, particularly within 24 hours of an event. We must remind ourselves that all models are wrong, but some are more useful than others.
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