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> February 15th-17th Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm, Possibility, Possibility: Medium Range [4-8 Days Out] FORECAST
doc294
post Feb 10 2018, 09:10 AM
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QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Feb 9 2018, 03:10 PM) *
Long ways to go with this one, who knows how problematic it may or may not be.

I think it goes without saying that we all prefer snowier solutions, but we can't all get snow with the same storm.


Of course. I am just not too interested in slopfest on the slopes....that and icy mountain roads = no fun.

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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 11:39 AM
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0z Euro Control lays down an epic storm. Oz Euro OP hits Oklahoma, Kansas, MO and Arkansas primarily:

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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 01:55 PM
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New 12z Euro:


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Snow____
post Feb 10 2018, 04:43 PM
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Euro trying to make things interesting but too bad itís been so horrible this year.


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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 06:01 PM
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Real model battle going on between Euro and GFS for this system/time frame.
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Snow____
post Feb 10 2018, 09:46 PM
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This thread isnít getting much love lol.


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Accuweather please give us our own Midwest area forecaster/video blogger
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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 09:59 PM
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QUOTE(Snow____ @ Feb 10 2018, 10:46 PM) *
This thread isnít getting much love lol.


Was thinking the same lol.
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J Wassmer
post Feb 10 2018, 09:59 PM
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QUOTE(Snow____ @ Feb 10 2018, 08:46 PM) *
This thread isnít getting much love lol.

Was thinking the same thing lol. Why not? Burn out?


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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 10:08 PM
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QUOTE(J Wassmer @ Feb 10 2018, 10:59 PM) *
Was thinking the same thing lol. Why not? Burn out?


I think it has to do with so many systems that either never came together after models showed them in this range or eventually came to fruituon as mere minor events in the Ohio Valley, Southern Plains, etc. I think people are taking a wait and see approach more due to that. Models have burned too many people to many times at this range this winter.

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mulaman984
post Feb 10 2018, 10:25 PM
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QUOTE(Southern Missouri Snow Fan @ Feb 10 2018, 10:08 PM) *
I think it has to do with so many systems that either never came together after models showed them in this range or eventually came to fruituon as mere minor events in the Ohio Valley, Southern Plains, etc. I think people are taking a wait and see approach more due to that. Models have burned too many people to many times at this range this winter.


Spot on. Also, I think it’s because the Euro hasn’t been great this winter. Maybe it’s time for a Comeback with this system!

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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 11:18 PM
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QUOTE(mulaman984 @ Feb 10 2018, 11:25 PM) *
Spot on. Also, I think itís because the Euro hasnít been great this winter. Maybe itís time for a Comeback with this system!


Yes indeed and i hope so!
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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 11:19 PM
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0z ICON in the mix now with snow across Okahoma, part of Kansas, southern Missouri and into southern Illinois, Indiana and Ohio.

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Southern Missour...
post Feb 10 2018, 11:29 PM
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0z Canadian moves this through quick it appears with just a little frozen through Friday morning :

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ohiobuckeye45
post Feb 10 2018, 11:42 PM
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I don't see much of a winter setup here with ridging taking over. Still eyeballing it just in case of a pattern flip though
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StL weatherjunki...
post Feb 11 2018, 12:02 AM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Feb 10 2018, 05:12 AM) *
Another test for TR/EAR; will it still work with a major SSW ongoing? TR/EAR says the eastern US will be under a trough while EPS says it'll be under a big SE ridge.

East Asian pattern on the 12th


Add ~7 days...

I have copied Cliche's post on the 17/18 winter thread here for just after this time period. TR/EAR favors an east coast trough around the 19th implying the EC ridging will be pushed out by a substantial storm.

Still going to wait a while before looking seriously at this time frame though.


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Southern Missour...
post Feb 11 2018, 11:36 AM
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Good progress wirh models so far today. 12z ICON moving towards a winter storm as depicted below from Texas and oklahoma ene through KS, MO, IL, IN & OH. Lots of moisture just need a little more cold sooner and south.
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Southern Missour...
post Feb 11 2018, 11:40 AM
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12z GFS trying to get on board as well. Gets frozen into Tx, Ok, Mo and a touch into Illinois. Nothing great east of Oklahoma but significant progress:
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Southern Missour...
post Feb 11 2018, 11:45 AM
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12z Canadian starts this storm later giving some frozen love to MO, IL, KY, IN and OH. Significant progress here as well:

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StormChazer
post Feb 11 2018, 12:02 PM
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QUOTE(Southern Missouri Snow Fan @ Feb 11 2018, 10:40 AM) *
12z GFS trying to get on board as well. Gets frozen into Tx, Ok, Mo and a touch into Illinois. Nothing great east of Oklahoma but significant progress:


There's quite an icing event associated with this too.
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Southern Missour...
post Feb 11 2018, 12:17 PM
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QUOTE(StormChazer @ Feb 11 2018, 01:02 PM) *
There's quite an icing event associated with this too.


Let's hope that doesn't come to fruition.
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