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> Northeast NJ Lack of Severe Thunderstorms, Documenting the "Anti-Storm Bubble"
post Aug 3 2014, 06:19 PM
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I've probably ranted more than enough times about my lack of severe thunderstorms, and a quick search through SPC through a link I had no idea even existed until just a few days ago further confirms that northeast Bergen county has a tendency to avoid severe thunderstorms, at least based on the reports sent to SPC.

Below is a year-by-year review, focusing on the following section of Bergen county which from my personal observations has had a lack of severe thunderstorms in contrast to locations even barely outside the highlighted area, generally north of Fort Lee and east of the Garden State Parkway. For reference purposes, my location in Bergen county was generally near Cresskill, in east-central Bergen county.

Attached Image

2014 - 0 - No reports in this area through August 3rd.

2013 - 2 - Two severe wind reports in the area:
July 7: Reports of trees down in Emerson and Dumont. I was on vacation at that time.
October 7: Trees down in Oradell and Bergenfield, with a tornado in Paramus just outside of this highlighted area. I was in Albany at that time.

(Notable mention to June 18th when I received a few dime and penny sized hailstones. The first time I actually witnessed hail in Bergen county.)

2012 - 1 - One hail report in the area:
September 7: Quarter inch hail in Harrington Park. I arrived in Bergen county not long after this thunderstorm weakened.

(September 8: Morning tornadic activity stayed to my east in NYC. Evening severe activity was just outside of this box, with a bow echo signature and tornado warning near Paramus and up the Garden State Parkway where wind damage was observed.)

2011 - 3 - Two wind reports and one hail report in the area:
June 9: Hail reported in Harrington Park and Norwood (northern Bergen county). I got a downpour from that cell but the hail core missed me literally by a few miles to the north.
August 19: Damaging hail and wind report in Oradell, NJ. Hail fell near my immediate area for the first time since 2008 and I was... on vacation outside of the US.

2010 - 0 - No reports in this area.
(Notable mention goes to July 21, when numerous rounds of severe thunderstorms stayed just north of Bergen county; July 23, when a tornado warned cell stayed near southern Bergen county; and July 25, when conditions in Cresskill were close to but just below severe criteria from a cell which later spawned a tornado in the Bronx, barely a few miles to my east).

2009 - 0 - No reports within the area, although many reports were concentrated near the western end of the box.
(Notable mention goes to June 15, when a foot of hail accumulated in parts of Washington Township and close to Emerson. Best I got was typical heavy rain.)

2008 - 5 - Mostly wind and some hail reports:
June 10 - Severe wind report in Dumont. Bergenfield just to the south reported 40mph gusts.
June 14 - Damaging wind near Closter. I received almost 2" of rain but I do not recall more than moderately strong wind gusts.
August 6 - Damaging wind in Harrington Park. I received over 1" of rain and moderately strong wind gusts.
August 12 - Severe hail and wind in Fort Lee. Nothing in east central Bergen county.
August 15 - Severe wind reported near Ho-Ho-Kus. Core of the cell moved towards my area, producing 1" of rain with moderate wind gusts and even small hail near my immediate area, and I was... at the airport about to go on vacation.

2007 - 2 - Two wind reports:
May 16 - Severe wind damage reported near Norwood (northern Bergen county).
August 3 - Severe wind damage in Bergenfield and Dumont. This one I think did affect me with actual severe criteria and wind damage.

2006 - 0 - No reports on SPC, although I find this a bit odd as I recall (and have pictures of) wind damage from thunderstorms during this summer.
2005 - 1 - One report near far northern Bergen county.
2004 - 0 - None on SPC.
2003 - 0 - None on SPC.
2002 - 0 - None on SPC.
2001 - 0 - None on SPC.
2000 - 0 - None on SPC.

I'm not sure about the 2000-2006 data, even though I don't recall the specifics of weather events from those years I do remember several severe-looking storms which produced wind damage near my area. 2007, 2008, 2010 and 2011 were relative active in my area, although I happened to be on vacation during the only two times that my immediate area received hail. These four years had numerous strong thunderstorms, some which produced wind damage nearby, but the majority of the actual severe reports was near the northern and western parts of the box. 2012-2014 featured a relative severe weather drought.

To summarize, there have been many strong thunderstorms in this time frame, some producing wind damage and others producing small hail, although in terms of actual severe thunderstorm criteria, northeast New Jersey lacked the frequency of severe thunderstorm reports that was observed in surrounding counties and even other parts of Bergen county. Not so much of a "no-thunderstorm zone" as much as a "no severe thunderstorm zone".
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