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"You're not thinking fourth-dimensionally!"
-Quote from Back To The Future.
Personal Info
EF-4 (Extreme Poster)
25 years old
South Windsor, CT
Born Aug-17-1993
I am studying Music Production & Technology at the University of Hartford I follow weather on the side. Most of the time its winter weather but I occasionally follow hurricanes.
Joined: 7-December 08
Profile Views: 10,917*
Last Seen: 20th March 2018 - 10:43 PM
Local Time: Nov 21 2018, 08:51 AM
7,354 posts (2 per day)
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My Content
2 Jan 2014

All of today's GFS runs and the 12z EURO have a weak disturbance moving through during this time.

18z GFS:

Euro Day 8:
Attached Image

Teleconnections currently forecasted as follows: neutral PNA, +NAO, +AO, so a good signal here for a light/moderate event.

18 Dec 2012

The GFS has held onto a strong signal for a Miller A type storm in this timeframe for the past day and a half or so. I don't have time to post previous runs but here's a snapshot from tonights 0z run.

Attached Image

I genuinely believe this is the EC's first shot a decent winter storm this season, but this is heavily dependant on where the ULL sets up from the 25th-27th storm and how much cold air is forced down into the Lower 48. The GFS has been very consistent with this being the timeframe for a sustained and locked-in cold airmass for a majority of the country, but only time will tell.

Statistical note: I am also the only member of this forum to have opened a thread for an accumulating snow event this season (November 7th-9th) and I'm hoping to get lucky again.
29 Oct 2012

GFS/ECM agree on a potential coastal or coastal hugger affecting the region during this timeframe.

12z GFS:

12z ECMWF:
Attached Image

Attached Image

Attached Image

Teleconnections are as follows: Neutral NAO going slightly positive, PNA positive going neutral to slightly negative, positive AO.
16 Feb 2012
Both the 18z and 0z runs of the GFS/NAM have a weak disturbance associated with the leftover northern stream energy from Canada moving across the Southern and Central New England and possibly the NYC area Saturday evening. Figured I'd open a thread on this considering the fact that the 19-20th event is likely to pass well to our south so we at least have something more interesting to talk about.
22 Dec 2011
Yesterdays 18z GFS:

0z GFS:

6z GFS:

12z GFS:

This has the potential to be the only legit chance at accumulating snow for anyone from Richmond to Boston for a long time. Hopefully the models thread the needle on this one.
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