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> January 16-17 MidAtl/NE Clipper, Reality: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] FORECAST
7.3powerstrokedi...
post Jan 15 2018, 11:24 AM
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QUOTE(plowxpress @ Jan 15 2018, 11:10 AM) *
Holly



So as per usual we will be lucky to get an advisory while virtually all modeling shows warning level snows


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Palmerton, Pa Carbon County
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jordan4385
post Jan 15 2018, 11:25 AM
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QUOTE(Fire/Rescue @ Jan 15 2018, 11:20 AM) *
I love it laugh.gif

and very accurate as that's how I feel at the moment as well

I need enough to push down here in my neck of the woods, the plow for my truck is becoming very lonely mellow.gif


Yeah i just got a snowblower attachment for my x530 still havn't got a chance to use it sad.gif


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20th anniversary tripple phaser ?
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plowxpress
post Jan 15 2018, 11:26 AM
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QUOTE(7.3powerstrokediesel @ Jan 15 2018, 11:24 AM) *
So as per usual we will be lucky to get an advisory while virtually all modeling shows warning level snows


We be used to it now, pretty standard
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comet1510
post Jan 15 2018, 11:25 AM
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From Binghamton disco

this was from previous discussion but not updated at 10.30

Weak high pressure overhead this morning as a southwest warm
advection flow develops later today into Tuesday ahead of a
clipper dropping into the lakes. Prolonged overrunning pattern
develops as the positively tilted upper trof is slow to move
through. This will bring a continued risk of mainly light snow
into Tuesday with generally less than an inch of accumulation.

Seems to go against their map


Attached Image

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PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 15 2018, 11:26 AM
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So what's the timeframe for the snow for Nepa? 8am Tommorrow to midnight?
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Jan 15 2018, 11:27 AM
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QUOTE(comet1510 @ Jan 15 2018, 11:25 AM) *
From Binghamton disco

this was from previous discussion but not updated at 10.30

Weak high pressure overhead this morning as a southwest warm
advection flow develops later today into Tuesday ahead of a
clipper dropping into the lakes. Prolonged overrunning pattern
develops as the positively tilted upper trof is slow to move
through. This will bring a continued risk of mainly light snow
into Tuesday with generally less than an inch of accumulation.

Seems to go against their map


Attached Image


Binghamton is notoriously known for always being fashionably late to the party. This will be updated sometime this afternoon. I suspect them to increase these given the latest guidance.
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SnowMan11
post Jan 15 2018, 11:32 AM
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QUOTE(DCBlizzard @ Jan 15 2018, 12:24 PM) *
Define I-95. That is why mid-atlantic thread area is too big IMO but I know that has been discussed over and over. DC/Baltimore are definitely in the I-95 and we have had the BIG snow hole all season! We are now BELOW normal for snow this year. Been on big winter desert!


NYC north


--------------------
Anthony

2017-2018 Snowfall


12/9-10/17 : 3.6 "
12/14/17 : 1.2 "
12/15/17 : 1.5"
12/30/17 : 1.0"
1/4/18 : 12.2"
Total : 18.5 "
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Fire/Rescue
post Jan 15 2018, 11:33 AM
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QUOTE(DCBlizzard @ Jan 15 2018, 11:24 AM) *
Define I-95. That is why mid-atlantic thread area is too big IMO but I know that has been discussed over and over. DC/Baltimore are definitely in the I-95 and we have had the BIG snow hole all season! We are now BELOW normal for snow this year. Been on big winter desert!

You are 100% correct pal with regard to you 95 corridor post.

As you stated it's always been this way in terms of the forum, I-95 generally spoken of
(unless D.C./Baltimore) is pointed out means up in New England and the NY region and not down our way.
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Undertakerson
post Jan 15 2018, 11:34 AM
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With snow being reported in PA (and some lt rain in s/e PA from increasing marine influence), an obsx thread has been opened.

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?sh...=0#entry2287223


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Please, knock before you walk into my dreams.
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so_whats_happeni...
post Jan 15 2018, 11:38 AM
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Now we watch frontal placement and LP origination for totals. If this wave develops a lot quicker we get more moisture potential back here if not that front will ring out whatever it has to work with ahead of it.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


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SnowyNEPA
post Jan 15 2018, 11:38 AM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Jan 15 2018, 11:27 AM) *
Binghamton is notoriously known for always being fashionably late to the party. This will be updated sometime this afternoon. I suspect them to increase these given the latest guidance.


just about every snow event they are last with advisories/warnings and always late and conservative with snowfall amounts
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snowdoug
post Jan 15 2018, 11:47 AM
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QUOTE(Fire/Rescue @ Jan 15 2018, 12:33 PM) *
You are 100% correct pal with regard to you 95 corridor post.

As you stated it's always been this way in terms of the forum, I-95 generally spoken of
(unless D.C./Baltimore) is pointed out means up in New England and the NY region and not down our way.


Another "95'er" here monitoring events from central Maryland. Looks like an interesting coupla days and
hoping for at least advisory level event(s) this week. My snow machine is getting antsy.
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Harleigh Hal
post Jan 15 2018, 11:50 AM
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Re: Der Bingle..... They adhere to their strict guidelines as far as the time they issue WWA,WSW, etc. Notorious for
forgetting the southern zone of their region, ie Hazleton, Mountaintop. One of the reasons my friends and I setup a Weather Page on FB. I'd expect at least a WWA around 3 PM. today from them. ALWAYS late to the party.....


--------------------
Snowfall Totals - 2014 - 2018

2014-15 - 61.50 Inches through 3-31-15

2015-16 - 22 & 1/4 Inches plus a skosh thru April 3rd.

2016-17 - 56.25 Inches Through March 15th, 2017

2017-18 - 13.5 Inches Through January 13th, 2018

Banned from commenting against DT since 2012, but now there's Twitter, so I can Trump him!
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DCBlizzard
post Jan 15 2018, 11:50 AM
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QUOTE(Fire/Rescue @ Jan 15 2018, 11:33 AM) *
You are 100% correct pal with regard to you 95 corridor post.

As you stated it's always been this way in terms of the forum, I-95 generally spoken of
(unless D.C./Baltimore) is pointed out means up in New England and the NY region and not down our way.


I will take 2 inches at this point. The most we have had on the ground is about 3/4 inch with the blizzard that walloped everyone on the east coast but DC/Baltimore...lol.
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The Day After To...
post Jan 15 2018, 11:54 AM
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The MHV snowhole is in full effect on the GFS! laugh.gif


--------------------
"AS THE 48+HR TIME FRAME IS NOT EXACTLY THE NAM`S WHEELHOUSE"
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EstorilM
post Jan 15 2018, 11:56 AM
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QUOTE(DCBlizzard @ Jan 15 2018, 11:24 AM) *
Define I-95. That is why mid-atlantic thread area is too big IMO but I know that has been discussed over and over. DC/Baltimore are definitely in the I-95 and we have had the BIG snow hole all season! We are now BELOW normal for snow this year. Been on big winter desert!

Bouncing around between big coastal storms and big hits for the mountains to the west laugh.gif

I forget how to obtain the graphics for accumulated snowfall this season.. I've seen them in the past though. Probably a big line right up I-95 between DC and Bmore.

This seems to be interesting though - NWS on the bullish side with most areas around 2, maybe 3". I feel like many of the models are still showing T-1". Disco was posted earlier and didn't elaborate too much, I'll post the new one when they update this afternoon.
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SnowMan11
post Jan 15 2018, 12:00 PM
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GEFS is east of the op and colder


--------------------
Anthony

2017-2018 Snowfall


12/9-10/17 : 3.6 "
12/14/17 : 1.2 "
12/15/17 : 1.5"
12/30/17 : 1.0"
1/4/18 : 12.2"
Total : 18.5 "
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SnowMan11
post Jan 15 2018, 12:02 PM
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CMC Ensembles are way further south and east with the storm tomorrow night


--------------------
Anthony

2017-2018 Snowfall


12/9-10/17 : 3.6 "
12/14/17 : 1.2 "
12/15/17 : 1.5"
12/30/17 : 1.0"
1/4/18 : 12.2"
Total : 18.5 "
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