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> Eastern Pacific Tropical Development 2018, Invest Formation ONLY - Waves, LP's
Ron in Miami
post Apr 20 2018, 07:18 PM
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Well it's that time of year again, Easter PAC season starts in a little over 3 weeks and early model runs of the CFS and GFS have hinted at possible development. Lets see what this year brings us! smile.gif
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Solstice
post Jun 5 2018, 08:56 AM
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--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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PoconoSnow
post Jul 31 2018, 01:38 PM
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Baja region seemingly ripe with development

12z euro deterministic flirting with Hawaii



Lots of action coming out of the feeder region in the upcoming weeks. Needs to be monitored


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Ensemble Primer use only for real forecasting :)
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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PoconoSnow
post Jul 31 2018, 01:56 PM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jul 31 2018, 02:38 PM) *
Baja region seemingly ripe with development

12z euro deterministic flirting with Hawaii



Lots of action coming out of the feeder region in the upcoming weeks. Needs to be monitored


Hr240 of the deterministic euro



--------------------
Ensemble Primer use only for real forecasting :)
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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PoconoSnow
post Jul 31 2018, 07:31 PM
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18z gfs similar to euro deterministic now



Very close to the big island

This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Jul 31 2018, 07:32 PM


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http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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PoconoSnow
post Aug 1 2018, 04:54 AM
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0z euro


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PoconoSnow
post Aug 1 2018, 04:59 AM
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I believe this is now tropical storm hector

QUOTE
Tropical Storm Hector centered near 13.4N 119.4W at 01/0900 UTC
or 790 nm SW of The Southern Tip Of Baja California moving WNW
at 13 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is active within 120 nm NW
and 90 nm SE semicircles. See latest NHC forecast/advisor


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http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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PoconoSnow
post Aug 1 2018, 05:07 AM
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WV ir3 east pacific





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Ensemble Primer use only for real forecasting :)
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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PoconoSnow
post Aug 3 2018, 09:43 AM
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A bit active say




Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 


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http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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Solstice
post Aug 4 2018, 08:17 AM
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Attached Image


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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PoconoSnow
post Aug 4 2018, 08:29 AM
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QUOTE(Solstice @ Aug 4 2018, 09:17 AM) *

Attached Image


I was just about to post the same screenie

Glad to see you enjoying some tropical action regardless of ocean or basin. Started for me a few years ago and it keeps me following weather all year since severe weather does not affect me this side of the apps. Although the recent pattern and tropical atmospheric river has kept things interesting on the east coast even though the Atlantic season has been small home grown OTS canes

Later this month we should see some Eastern Atlantic tropical waves roll of Africa. We just need the stubborn Bermuda HP to move and anchor over or invof the Azores smile.gif please feel free to ask any questions, I do my best but I'm fairly new to hurricanes, but find them just as fascinating as a nor'easter

This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Aug 4 2018, 08:30 AM


--------------------
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http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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Solstice
post Aug 4 2018, 02:25 PM
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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Aug 4 2018, 09:29 AM) *
I was just about to post the same screenie

Glad to see you enjoying some tropical action regardless of ocean or basin. Started for me a few years ago and it keeps me following weather all year since severe weather does not affect me this side of the apps. Although the recent pattern and tropical atmospheric river has kept things interesting on the east coast even though the Atlantic season has been small home grown OTS canes

Later this month we should see some Eastern Atlantic tropical waves roll of Africa. We just need the stubborn Bermuda HP to move and anchor over or invof the Azores smile.gif please feel free to ask any questions, I do my best but I'm fairly new to hurricanes, but find them just as fascinating as a nor'easter


Lol, it just got more interesting.

Attached Image


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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stretchct
post Aug 6 2018, 09:36 AM
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Here's a gem from Levi. Two systems, Ileana and John and how they may interact. Thought it was pretty cool, putting here since there won't likely be a thread for both.
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/...445224057425920



--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Aug 6 2018, 10:06 AM
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Twin storms


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Aug 6 2018, 10:09 AM
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All the action is here.



--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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Solstice
post Aug 7 2018, 07:42 AM
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Old model run but a fun one to look at.


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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stretchct
post Aug 7 2018, 11:37 AM
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Ileana consumed by John.
Kristy is born.
Wonder if this pulse of storms moves over to the Atlantic soon.

This post has been edited by stretchct: Aug 7 2018, 11:39 AM


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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