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> Winter 2017-18
akula
post Jan 9 2018, 10:42 PM
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what time does the GFS run?
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GreatWhiteTornad...
post Jan 9 2018, 10:44 PM
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QUOTE(akula @ Jan 9 2018, 10:42 PM) *
what time does the GFS run?

Should be within the hour I removed post because I should have put in storm thread
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NWLondon
post Jan 10 2018, 10:06 PM
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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Jan 8 2018, 07:02 PM) *
A great season so far, then again it's my first winter in Barrie! Even a bad winter here would be great compared to Alliston LOL!

Our top 5 largest snowfalls so far this winter:

Dec 11th/12th: 20.5cm
Nov 10th/11th: 17cm
Jan 1st: 16cm
Dec 24th/25th: 15cm
Dec 21st/22nd: 13cm

Total Snowfalls So Far Over 10cm: 7

No real big epic storms but plenty of mid sized events that really have added up.

Been quite the winter on the Bruce peninsula as well (Wiarton area). Went to dig out my trailor today and this is our compacted snowpack at 4c, and might I add this is only what has come down since christmas day, +/- 150cm compacted to about 3 ft.,and we are closing in on 300cm for the season thus far. A handful of 30cm+ events but its been more the fact that it just keeps coming on a nearly daily basis and has really added up. Head 12 km west and the amounts along the lakeshore at sauble beach are less than half of this! Crazy



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NortheastWind
post Jan 11 2018, 08:58 AM
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From Judah Cohen's Tweet. He monitors the polar vortex

#Troposphere-#stratosphere-troposphere as described in Cohen et al. 2007 event looking more likely in the coming weeks. Look for #polarvortex disruption with important implications for Northern Hemisphere weather in coming weeks. Lots of #winter left.
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Lake effect
post Jan 11 2018, 11:57 AM
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QUOTE(NortheastWind @ Jan 11 2018, 08:58 AM) *
From Judah Cohen's Tweet. He monitors the polar vortex

#Troposphere-#stratosphere-troposphere as described in Cohen et al. 2007 event looking more likely in the coming weeks. Look for #polarvortex disruption with important implications for Northern Hemisphere weather in coming weeks. Lots of #winter left.


Yep, I am hopeful February will deliver for at least a couple of weeks. The weeklies have been hinting at a return of cold after the late January warm up.
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MrMusic
post Jan 11 2018, 12:21 PM
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Wow...the snow is disappearing at a rapid rate! Tons of open grass now compared to this morning.
Currently at 12 degrees.

Hopefully we get rid of most snowbanks and piles to avoid a big icing on Fri night when the temp plummets.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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NortheastWind
post Jan 11 2018, 01:47 PM
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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Jan 11 2018, 12:21 PM) *
Wow...the snow is disappearing at a rapid rate! Tons of open grass now compared to this morning.
Currently at 12 degrees.

Hopefully we get rid of most snowbanks and piles to avoid a big icing on Fri night when the temp plummets.

16 C in St Catharines
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plowguy
post Jan 11 2018, 02:06 PM
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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Jan 11 2018, 12:21 PM) *
Wow...the snow is disappearing at a rapid rate! Tons of open grass now compared to this morning.
Currently at 12 degrees.

Hopefully we get rid of most snowbanks and piles to avoid a big icing on Fri night when the temp plummets.

Those freezing snow banks keep my kids in private school. i hope a few stay! smile.gif
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snowgeek93
post Jan 11 2018, 03:40 PM
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Welcome back grass... for now at least dry.gif sad.gif

Attached File  IMG_20180111_1530312281.jpg ( 1.96MB ) Number of downloads: 3



--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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Lake effect
post Jan 12 2018, 10:18 AM
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Huron and GB are almost completely open. With another warm up next weekend, should keep things pristine for LES, just need the winds to play ball, which has been the problem this season...lots of Northerlies, and now Easterlies. Need a good dose of NW winds.

Attached File  hicecon_00__1_.gif ( 22.08K ) Number of downloads: 2


This post has been edited by Lake effect: Jan 12 2018, 10:19 AM
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knorthern_knight
post Jan 12 2018, 10:40 PM
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Is that a clipper I see on the 15th/16th/17th?
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Lake effect
post Jan 13 2018, 08:13 AM
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QUOTE(knorthern_knight @ Jan 12 2018, 10:40 PM) *
Is that a clipper I see on the 15th/16th/17th?


Barely a flake mate. This is the total snowfall for the next ten days:

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snowgeek93
post Jan 13 2018, 09:20 AM
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Well there's still SOME snow out there, mostly a dusting but enough to whiten the grass up. Better than nothing.

Monday's clipper looks to freshen that up a bit.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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MrMusic
post Jan 13 2018, 12:49 PM
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welp, I'm glad I snagged that 15cm on Christmas Eve....it might be the closest thing to a 'storm' we see for a while. All the talk of a stormy east sure hasn't panned out in this particular region.

Looking at the long range, it's not out of the question that we don't see any major snowstorm the rest of January, which would leave Feb to hopefully deliver one.
I'm glad those various clippers and small systems had lots of cold air in December...that was a great month!


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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Apocalypse
post Jan 13 2018, 12:56 PM
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Anyone going to start a thread for the clipper on the 16th and the cutter on the 22nd (Hope it moves SW like a lot the storms have been). biggrin.gif

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Attached File  cutter.png ( 208.77K ) Number of downloads: 1
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snowgeek93
post Jan 13 2018, 06:16 PM
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Snow or no snow, the days getting longer is always a morale booster. Daylight is now inching closer to 6pm on clear nights!

5:50pm biggrin.gif
Attached File  IMG_20180113_1750322371.jpg ( 1.66MB ) Number of downloads: 0


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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SNOWBOB11
post Jan 14 2018, 09:44 AM
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The euro ensembles continue to advertise a much above temperature period from around the 19th-23rd for Ontario/Quebec. The coming western trough is to blame for the warmer conditions downstream.

After about the 23rd things look to drop below normal for a few days before getting back closer to but generally warmer than average until the end of the run. I think this time period from the 23rd onward could be a time to watch for storms for the east. There looks to be slight ridging in the SE so precip type will have to be watched for S ON but I think the pattern could turn stormy around this time.


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Apocalypse
post Jan 14 2018, 11:50 AM
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Maybe this will slowly drift south east? laugh.gif

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Lake effect
post Jan 14 2018, 12:53 PM
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QUOTE(Apocalypse @ Jan 14 2018, 11:50 AM) *
Maybe this will slowly drift south east? laugh.gif

Attached File  new_gfs.png ( 174.21K ) Number of downloads: 4


Everytime we start a thread we jinx these things...I think we need to treat it like a beautiful (or handsome) flirt and let's ignore it till Friday, and maybe it will do everything it can to attract our attention until it's too late and it can't escape (anyone after dating advice, ignore this).
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newfiebrit
post Jan 15 2018, 08:07 AM
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Well our thaw was bigger than all yours tongue.gif , totally crazy actually with +9c Friday, near +15c Friday and near +14c Sunday and stayed well above freezing for 3 days. We never went into the mild spell with a big snowpack (14cm) but it was decimated by Saturday morning, and by sunday even all the snow banks (bar maybe a few left in the big lots). The funny thing is I doubt we will see a weekend as warm as that even in May. This winter so far has had some extreme warm spells, we had the warmest December day on record and the warmest 2 consecutive days on record in January.....I guess this is climate change....made hay whilst the warmth reigned as it made it easy to take down all the Christmas lights etc, nice actually for hiking in lighter clothes without the worry of slipping too.

QUOTE
Brian Walsh
St Johns Airport #YYT set a record high both Saturday and Sunday (records since 1874):
Sat (Jan 13): 14.8C (old 11.1C in 1900/1901)
Sun (Jan 14): 13.6C (old 12.5C in 2005)
These were the warmest back to back January days on record for St Johns (and it was a weekend!) #nlwx


Normal service is resumed today waking up to a dusting of snow this morning with flurries about, and a snowy/icy system here tonight/tomorrow.

This post has been edited by newfiebrit: Jan 15 2018, 08:09 AM
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